St Pauli’s pursuit of Bundesliga survival continues this Sunday afternoon when they welcome Freiburg to the Millerntor-Stadion.
Die Kiezkickers have seen a recent upswing in results, but more points are needed if the team are to drag themselves out of the bottom three and secure their top-flight status for another season.
Freiburg, meanwhile, arrive in Hamburg on the back of an emphatic victory in the Europa League on Thursday night, and they will be determined to shake off their three-match winless run in the Bundesliga.
Check out our prediction, preview and betting tips, including the latest odds. If you want more, make sure to visit our Today’s betting tips page for more expert predictions.
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St Pauli vs Freiburg key stats
St Pauli have failed to score a single goal in 11 Bundesliga outings this season.
St Pauli are unbeaten at home in six league games.
No team has picked up fewer points away from home in 2026 than Freiburg (1).
Freiburg have won four of their previous five meetings with St Pauli.
St Pauli vs Freiburg: Hosts fighting for Bundesliga survival
| St Pauli | vs | Freiburg |
|---|---|---|
| 16th | Position | 8th |
| 24 | Points | 34 |
| 23 | Goals For | 37 |
| 42 | Goals Against | 43 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 13th | Home Rank | 6th |
| 17th | Away Rank | 16th |
St Pauli needed a late-season surge to try and avoid relegation, and to their credit, Alexander Blessin’s men have been delivering results.
The club have won 10 of their overall 24 points across their last six Bundesliga matches - a run which includes victories over Stuttgart, Werder Bremen and Hoffenheim.
Despite the recent improvements, St Pauli’s last two matches have seen a goalless draw with Eintracht Frankfurt and a 2-0 defeat against Borussia Monchengladbach last weekend.
No team in the Bundesliga has scored fewer goals at home this season than St Pauli (13).
Blessin’s side have now failed to score in over 180 minutes of competitive football, and they will need to turn that around to keep their survival hopes alive.
One big positive for St Pauli is their impressive home record this season, with the club currently enjoying a six-match unbeaten run. In fact, their last home defeat took place all the way back in November.
While Die Kiezkickers continue to battle for Bundesliga survival, Freiburg also find themselves in a dangerous position in the standings, but for totally different reasons.
The Breisgau Brazilians are 10 points clear of relegation and 11 points adrift of the top six, meaning their domestic campaign is at serious risk of losing direction.
Only two teams in the Bundesliga have a worse away record than Freiburg, who have won nine points this season.
On the plus side, Freiburg will be able to concentrate on their epic Europa League campaign, which has seen them reach a major continental quarter-final for the first time ever.
Julian Schuster’s side will be looking to break new ground for the club when they battle Spanish outfit Celta Vigo.
On top of their European duties, Freiburg are a month away from their third DFB Pokal semi-final in five years. Should results go their way, Schuster’s side could be on course for a sensational double come the business end of the season.
St Pauli vs Freiburg form guide & betting tips
| St Pauli | vs | Freiburg |
|---|---|---|
| L-W-W-D-L | Form | L-D-L-L-W |
| 7 | Points | 4 |
| 7th | Form Table | 15th |
| 3 | Goals For | 5 |
| 7 | Goals Against | 10 |
| L-W-W-D-L | Form (Bundesliga) | L-W-L-D-L |
Whispers predicts: St Pauli 2-1 Freiburg
We expect St Pauli’s determination and desperation to get them over the line in Sunday’s encounter.
Despite playing at home and boasting a solid record at their own ground, Die Kiezkickers are still available at a juicy price of 17/10.
Both teams to score landed when these two teams met last November, and we expect that trend to continue at 19/20.
If you are looking for a big money bet, the correct score market offers serious value. Backing the match to end with a 2-1 St Pauli victory is available at a massive price of 10/1.
> St Pauli to win at 17/10 | Likelihood: Probable
> Correct Score 2-1 at 10/1 | Likelihood: Ousider
> Both teams to score - yes at 19/20 | Likelihood: Probable