St Mirren vs Motherwell prediction, odds & betting tips – 09/08/2025
Elijah Just, Motherwell star (Photo: Imago)
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First half draw

Their last two recent meetings have ended in a tie in the first half.

St Mirren host Motherwell on Saturday, 9 August, at the Smisa Stadium, in their second game of the 2025/2026 Scottish Premiership season, with both teams aiming to get their first win of the season.

The host opened the new season with a narrow 1-0 defeat at the hands of last season's Scottish League champions, Celtic, following a late goal from Luke McCowan to seal the three points for the Bhoys.

Motherwell, on the other hand, held last season’s runner-up Rangers to a 1-1 draw at the Fir Park stadium. Emmanuel Longelo scored the equaliser late in the game to deny the Gers the win.

St Mirren vs Motherwell: Tightly contested clash

Key statistics

  • Motherwell have won by a lone goal in two of their last four visits to St Mirren.
  • Both teams have scored fewer than three goals in four of their last six meetings.
  • St Mirren’s last two games against Motherwell have ended without a goal in the first half. 

Correct score prediction: St Mirren 0-1 Motherwell

This predicted result reflects both sides' recent form. Based on recent head-to-head results between the Saints and the Steelmen, predicting a 0-1 win for Motherwell is a logical choice. 

Three of their last six meetings ended in 1-0 scorelines, twice in Jens Berthel Askou's team's favour and once for Stephen Robinson’s side.

Pre-match odds and win probability: Motherwell to beat underdog odds

  • St Mirren: 19/20 (1.95) – 51.3%
  • Draw: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%
  • Motherwell: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4%

*Odds provided by Ladbrokes. Subject to change.*

St Mirren are the slight favourite according to the odds, with decimal odds of 1.95 and an implied chance of 51.3%, and the bookmakers believe they have the strongest chance of winning.

Meanwhile, Motherwell is considered the underdog, though not by a wide margin; their implied chance of winning is around 29.4%. However, despite the relatively high odds, for the Steelmen, we still pick them as favourites to win this encounter.

After reviewing our key St Mirren vs Motherwell predictions, be sure to visit our website for the remaining football betting tips today.

Head-to-head: Evenly balanced record 

Based on the recent head-to-head record between Berthel’s side and Robinson’s team, their encounters have been tight, low-scoring affairs with very little to separate the sides.

The record shows a very even rivalry, although the Saints have proven they can win away at St Mirren, which gives them confidence going into their next clash. Both teams have won twice in their last six meetings, and two other games have ended in draws.

Scotland Premiership 15/03/25

Motherwell

Motherwell

2
St Mirren

St Mirren

2

Scotland Premiership 07/12/24

St Mirren

St Mirren

0
Motherwell

Motherwell

1

Scotland Premiership 28/09/24

Motherwell

Motherwell

2
St Mirren

St Mirren

1

Scotland Premiership 30/03/24

Motherwell

Motherwell

1
St Mirren

St Mirren

1

Scotland Premiership 16/12/23

St Mirren

St Mirren

0
Motherwell

Motherwell

0

St Mirren preview: Clean bill of health  

St Mirren currently have a clean bill of health in their squad, with all their players available for the clash against Robinson’s men.

Predicted starting XI: George (GK), Richardson, Fraser, Gogić, King, John, Phillips, O'Hara, Idowu, Mandron, Ayunga

Scotland Premiership 10/05/25

W

Dundee Utd

Dundee Utd

0

St Mirren

St Mirren

2

Scotland Premiership 03/05/25

W

Aberdeen

Aberdeen

0

St Mirren

St Mirren

1

Scotland Premiership 26/04/25

D

Rangers

Rangers

2

St Mirren

St Mirren

2

Scotland Premiership 12/04/25

W

Ross County

Ross County

2

St Mirren

St Mirren

3

Scotland Premiership 05/04/25

L

Dundee

Dundee

2

St Mirren

St Mirren

0

Motherwell preview: Injury woes ahead of difficult trip

Motherwell have been hit with lots of injuries in their team, with Filip Stuparevic sidelined with a cruciate ligament injury and will not return until early November 2025, a major blow to the team’s attacking depth. 

Jordan McGhee is nursing a thigh injury and is expected back by mid-August , limiting defensive options in the short term. Sam Nicholson is out with a knee injury until late August, affecting the team’s wing play and creativity. 

Zach Robinson’s Achilles tendon injury, also keeping him out until late August, reduces the team's striking options and overall firepower in front of goal.

Predicted starting XI: Ward (GK), Koutroumbis, Gordon, McGinn, Longelo; Watt, Slattery; Maswanhise, Fadinger, Just, Stamatelopoulos

Scotland Premiership 10/05/25

L

Hearts

Hearts

3

Motherwell

Motherwell

0

Scotland Premiership 03/05/25

W

Dundee

Dundee

1

Motherwell

Motherwell

2

Scotland Premiership 26/04/25

W

St Johnstone

St Johnstone

2

Motherwell

Motherwell

3

Scotland Premiership 12/04/25

D

Hearts

Hearts

0

Motherwell

Motherwell

0

Scotland Premiership 05/04/25

L

Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock

2

Motherwell

Motherwell

0

Player to watch: Elijah Just

Elijah Just started the season with an assist for Motherwell's equaliser to secure a draw against Rangers. His importance in their attack makes him a key threat and player to watch. The forward will be looking to have a better season after scoring seven goals in his previous campaign.

Elijah Just in action for Motherwell (Photo: Imago)
Elijah Just in action for Motherwell (Photo: Imago)

Stephen is a dynamic sports journalist, writer, and reporter who brings passion and expertise to the world of sports, captivating audiences with insightful articles and in-depth analysis of the game.