Kilmarnock vs St Mirren predictions
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Kilmarnock to win

Kilmarnock won three of the last four encounters between these teams

An interesting fixture is on the cards as Kilmarnock and St Mirren draw swords at Rugby Park on Thursday, 2 January. View our free Kilmarnock vs St Mirren predictions below.

Kilmarnock vs St Mirren predictions: A low-scoring affair

Key stats

  • Fewer than three goals were scored in six of the last eight meetings between these teams.
  • Four of Kilmarnock’s last five matches went south of the 2.5-goal marker.
  • Kilmarnock are unbeaten in their last nine clashes with St Mirren.
  • At least one team blanked in three of Kilmarnock's last four games.

Correct score prediction: Kilmarnock 1-0 St Mirren

St Mirren have not won a Premier game at this stadium since May 2013. They are also without a win in their last nine encounters with Kilmarnock and have lost three of the last four skirmishes between these sides. On that note, we are leaning towards Kilmarnock for the win.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookmakers favour Kilmarnock

  • HOME: 23/20 (2.15) – 46.5%
  • DRAW: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4%
  • AWAY: 9/4 (3.25) – 30.8%

*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Kilmarnock have been a tough team to beat at home, losing only once in their last eight matches at Rugby Park across all competitions. They are up against an in-form St Mirren side that won three of their last four road games.

Ahead of this clash, Kilmarnock are ninth in the table, four places behind their visitors after earning 21 points from 20 league games.

On that note, Kilmarnock are the expected winners at 23/20 (2.15). Teams with these odds usually have a 46.5% probability of winning.

Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Kilmarnock vs St Mirren predictions.

We have also established that one team failed to score in three of Kilmarnock's last four matches. Given that this was also the case with five of the last eight meetings between these outfits, BTTS – No has an appealing look at 1/1 (2.00). That one has a 50% chance of landing.

Most recent H2Hs: A fairly one-sided contest

Despite their fine form, St Mirren have a poor track record against Kilmarnock, having failed to win any of the last nine encounters between these teams.

Scotland Premiership 14/09/24

St Mirren

St Mirren

2
Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock

2

Scotland Premiership 11/05/24

St Mirren

St Mirren

0
Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock

1

Scotland Premiership 16/03/24

Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock

5
St Mirren

St Mirren

2

Scotland Premiership 27/12/23

St Mirren

St Mirren

0
Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock

1

Scotland Premiership 30/09/23

Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock

1
St Mirren

St Mirren

1

Kilmarnock preview: A couple of absentees

Kilmarnock will head into the new year with a recent injury to defender Joe Wright and a red-card suspension for Danny Armstrong. Both setbacks occurred during their loss at Hibernian last Sunday.

Predicted lineup: McCrorie (GK), Ndaba, Mayo, Deas, Lyons, Magennis, Watson, Polworth, Murray, Wales & Vassell.

Scotland Premiership 01/02/25

W

Dundee Utd

Dundee Utd

0

Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock

1

Scotland Premiership 25/01/25

L

Hearts

Hearts

3

Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock

2

Scotland FA Cup 18/01/25

L

Celtic

Celtic

2

Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock

1

Scotland Premiership 08/01/25

D

Motherwell

Motherwell

0

Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock

0

Scotland Premiership 05/01/25

L

Ross County

Ross County

1

Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock

0

St Mirren preview: No injury concerns

On the other hand, St Mirren have no suspended or injured players going into their first game of 2025.

Predicted lineup: Balcombe (GK), Fraser, Gogic, Iacovitti, Bwomono, Phillips, Smyth, John, Idowu, Kiltie & Olusanya.

Scotland FA Cup 10/02/25

D

Hearts

Hearts

1

St Mirren

St Mirren

1

Scotland Premiership 01/02/25

L

St Johnstone

St Johnstone

1

St Mirren

St Mirren

0

Scotland Premiership 25/01/25

W

Aberdeen

Aberdeen

0

St Mirren

St Mirren

3

Scotland FA Cup 18/01/25

W

Queen of South

Queen of South

1

St Mirren

St Mirren

3

Scotland Premiership 11/01/25

L

Dundee Utd

Dundee Utd

1

St Mirren

St Mirren

0

Player to watch: Kyle Vassell

Kilmarnock vs St Mirren predictions
Photo by IMAGO

Kyle Vassell has an excellent track record against St Mirren, having scored three times in the last three meetings between these teams. However, the former Brentford player has scored only twice in 18 league assignments this season. It will be interesting to see how he performs on Thursday evening.


Kelechi is a huge sports fan with over 10 years of betting experience. He has written for a few publications like What Are The Odds, Mighty Tips and Betting Detectives