Sparks will fly as two of the top 3 teams in the Portuguese Primeira Liga battle for supremacy at Estadio do Dragao on Friday, 7 February 2025. View our free Porto vs Sporting Lisbon predictions below.
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Porto vs Sporting Lisbon predictions: Visitors to draw first blood
Key stats
- While Porto conceded first in six of their last seven matches, Sporting Lisbon opened the scoring in six of their last nine games.
- Sporting Lisbon drew first blood in five of the last six clashes between these teams.
- Four of Sporting Lisbon's last six matches featured goals at both ends.
- Over three goals were scored on average in the last five skirmishes between these outfits.
Correct score prediction: Porto 1-2 Sporting Lisbon
To be fair, Porto have not lost a league game at home to Sporting Lisbon since April 2016. However, their recent form does not inspire much confidence.
The hosts have managed one win in their last seven matches in all competitions (D2, L4). Considering Sporting Lisbon were the victors in the last two clashes between these sides, we are leaning towards the visitors for the win.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookmakers favour Sporting Lisbon
- HOME: 13/8 (2.63) – 38.1%
- DRAW: 23/10 (3.30) – 30.3%
- AWAY: 8/5 (2.60) – 38.5%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Porto have been the best home team in the Portuguese top flight this season. They have a near-perfect record at home with nine wins and a draw in 10 Primeira Liga games at Estadio do Dragao.
Conversely, Sporting Lisbon have been one of the best travellers, as they have lost only once in 10 league matches away from home (W7, D2).
As it stands, Porto are third in the Primeira Liga while Sporting Lisbon are leading the standings.
With that in mind, Sporting Lisbon are the expected winners at 8/5 (2.60). Teams with these odds usually have a 38.5% probability of winning.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Porto vs Sporting Lisbon predictions.
We have also pointed out that both teams were amongst the goals in four of Sporting Lisbon's last six matches. For this reason, BTTS – Yes has an appealing look at 7/10 (1.70). That one has a 58.8% chance of landing.
Most recent H2Hs: Can Porto avoid a third consecutive defeat?
Sporting Lisbon were the victors in their last two meetings with Porto. However, in the last five skirmishes between these sides, both teams have two wins apiece with a draw between them.
Portugal League Cup 07/01/25
Sporting
FC Porto
Portugal Primeira Liga 31/08/24
Sporting
FC Porto
Portugal Super Cup 03/08/24
Sporting
FC Porto
Portugal Cup 26/05/24
FC Porto
Sporting
Portugal Primeira Liga 28/04/24
FC Porto
Sporting
Porto preview: Aiming to revive their title hopes
Coach Martin Anselmi can no longer call on the services of Nico Gonzalez after the midfielder moved to Manchester City on Deadline Day.
Expected to be out of this contest are defender Ivan Marcano, who has a knee injury, and Marko Grujic, who is yet to recover from a muscle problem.
Predicted lineup: Costa (GK), Otavio, Perez, Djalo, Mario, Eustaquio, Varela, Moura, Borges, Mora & Aghehowa.
Portugal Primeira Liga 11/05/25
W
Boavista
1
FC Porto
2
Portugal Primeira Liga 02/05/25
W
Moreirense
1
FC Porto
3
Portugal Primeira Liga 26/04/25
L
Estrela
2
FC Porto
0
Portugal Primeira Liga 18/04/25
W
Famalicao
1
FC Porto
2
Portugal Primeira Liga 12/04/25
W
Casa Pia
0
FC Porto
1
Sporting Lisbon preview: Looking to improve their fortunes on the road
Sporting will be aiming to be the first club since Vitoria de Guimaraes in April 2024 to beat Porto in a league game at home when these sides clash on Friday.
However, they could be without their star forwards, Viktor Gyokeres and Hidemasa Morita, as both players will be assessed a few hours before the game to accurately determine their fitness status. But ruled out for the Lions this weekend are Pedro Goncalves and Nuno Santos due to knee injuries.
Predicted lineup: Silva (GK), Fresneda, Diomande, Inacio, Araujo, Hjulmand, Simoes, Braganca, Quenda, Trincao & Harder.
Portugal Primeira Liga 10/05/25
D
Benfica
1
Sporting
1
Portugal Primeira Liga 04/05/25
W
Gil Vicente
1
Sporting
2
Portugal Primeira Liga 27/04/25
W
Boavista
0
Sporting
5
Portugal Cup 22/04/25
W
Rio Ave
1
Sporting
2
Portugal Primeira Liga 18/04/25
W
Moreirense
1
Sporting
3
Player to watch: Victor Gyokeres
Victor Gyokeres has had a great track record against Porto, scoring five times and providing three assists in the last six meetings between these outfits. The Swedish forward is the league's top scorer with 22 goals. He will fancy his chances against Porto if he passes a late fitness test.