Spain vs England prediction, odds & betting tips – 14/07/2024

Spain vs England prediction, odds & betting tips – 14/07/2024
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Both teams have scored in each of Spain's last three fixtures

Spain will meet England in Sunday's Euro 2025 Final and we're bringing you our predictions for the game.

La Roja beat France 2-1 to book their place in the final, becoming the first team to win all their games at the European Championship within the allotted 90 minutes, while England came from a goal down against the Netherlands to win 2-1 thanks to a final minute strike from Ollie Watkins.

Spain vs England prediction: Will the final be action-packed?

Key Stats

  • Four of England's last five games have produced goals at both ends of the pitch.
  • Four of Spain's last six outings have ended with at least three goals scored.
  • Over 2.5 goals have been produced in each of the last three head-to-heads between Spain and England.

Correct score prediction: Spain 2-2 England

Spain and England played out a 2-2 draw back in 2016 and each of their last three meetings have seen both teams score and over 2.5 goals.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Spain the clear favourite

  • HOME: 6/4 (2.50) – 40%
  • DRAW: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.3%
  • AWAY: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.8%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Spain are the expected winner of the Euro 2024 Final at 40%, and it's hard to disagree with the bookmakers on this one as Luis de la Fuente's side have been the best team in the competition.

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Last five H2Hs: Level pegging

The last five head-to-heads between Spain and England have produced two wins, one draw and two defeats for both sides. Also, both teams have scored in each of the last three meetings between these two nations, but it's important to note that their last meeting was back in 2018.

  • 15/10/2018 (UEFA Nations League) – Spain 2-3 England
  • 08/09/2018 (UEFA Nations League) – England 1-2 Spain
  • 15/11/2016 (International Friendly) – England 2-2 Spain
  • 13/11/2015 (International Friendly) – Spain 2-0 England
  • 12/11/2011 (International Friendly) – England 1-0 Spain

Spain preview: Have been the best team at Euro 2024

Spain slipped behind early on in the semi-final against France but a goal from their 16-year-old star Lamine Yamal got them back on level terms in the 21st minute.

Just four minutes after they equalised, Spain were at it again, this time Dani Olmo, who started the competition on the bench, made space in the box and fired into the back of the net off a French defender to make it 2-1.

Luis de la Fuente's side held firm to claim a deserved place in the Euro 2024 final where they will be many people's favourite to lift the trophy. The Spanish manager has blended a mix of youth and experience topped with class and skill that have impressed since their opening win against Croatia.

Predicted lineup: Simón (GK), Carvajal, Le Normand, Laporte, Cucurella, Ruiz, Rodri, Morata, Olmo, Williams & Yamal 

Euro 2024 14/07/24

W

England

England

1

Spain

Spain

2

Euro 2024 09/07/24

W

France

France

1

Spain

Spain

2

Euro 2024 05/07/24

W

Germany

Germany

1

Spain

Spain

2

Euro 2024 30/06/24

W

Georgia

Georgia

1

Spain

Spain

4

Euro 2024 24/06/24

W

Albania

Albania

0

Spain

Spain

1

England preview: Produced their best performance in the semi-final

Everybody knows that England haven't played much good football at Euro 2025 but Gareth Southgate's men saved their best for the semi-final against the Netherlands, a match the Three Lins deservedly won.

The Netherlands took an early lead through a Xavi Simons effort that flew past a helpless Jordan Pickford in the England goal. However, England got back onto level terms in the 18th minute after being awarded a debatable penalty which Harry Kane converted masterfully and the teams went in level at the interval.

England had dominated the opening 45 minutes but a change to the Dutch formation seemed to stifle the English creativity and the game appeared to be heading for extra-time. Southgate, who has come under much Luis de la Fuente during the tournament, subbed off Kane and England's best player up to that point Phil Foden for Ollie Watkins and Cole Palmer.

These two players combined in the final minute of the 90 as the Aston Villa striker received Palmer's pass inside the box, quickly turned and shot into the bottom corner of Bart Verbruggen's goal to dramatically win the game for Southgate's side.

Predicted lineup: Pickford (GK), Walker, Trippier, Stones, Guéhi, Rice, Bellingham, Mainoo, Kane, Foden & Saka 

Euro 2024 14/07/24

L

Spain

Spain

2

England

England

1

Euro 2024 10/07/24

W

Netherlands

Netherlands

1

England

England

2

Euro 2024 06/07/24

W

Switzerland

Switzerland

1 (3)

England

England

1 (5)

Euro 2024 30/06/24

W

Slovakia

Slovakia

1

England

England

2

Euro 2024 25/06/24

D

Slovenia

Slovenia

0

England

England

0

Spain's player to watch – Rodri

Spain and Manchester City midfielder Rodri has played a vital role for club and country this season and his performances at Euro 2024 have shown just how important the deep-lying playmaker is to Luis de la Fuente's tactics.

Rodri player to watch
Rodri celebrates reaching the Euro 2024 final – Photo by Icon Sport

Rodri, 28, has 55 caps and four goals for Spain, one of which arrived in Germany against Georgia in the last 16 tie which Spain won 4-1 after going a goal behind.

If you can stop Rodri, you can stop Spain

We're backing the Spanish midfielder to control the tempo of the final this Sunday and if England are going to claim their first silverware since the 1966 World Cup then they will have to keep the Man City star very quiet.

England's player to watch – Phil Foden

Phil Foden had one of his best games in an England shirt in the semi-final against the Netherlands and could prove to be the key to his country's success on Sunday.

Phil Foden player to watch
Phil Foden of England goes close to scoring in the semi-final – Photo by Icon Sport

Playing more of a central role, Foden saw lots of the ball and came close to scoring on a number of occasions, having the ball cleared off the line and hitting the post in the opening 45 minutes.

The Man City midfielder impressed against the Netherlands

If the Man City midfielder can put in a similar performance against Spain on Sunday then England will be in with a chance of securing their first-ever European Championship trophy.

Predictions from other FW contributors

Ash Munson: Spain 2-1 England (After extra time)

Spain come into this game as the favourites to win it but, whilst they’ve been the nation to catch the eye in Germany, England haven’t lost at this tournament either and are showing a knack for grinding results out. That is a great quality to have and we don’t see this match being settled inside 90 minutes. With both teams having each seen their last three matches feature goals at both ends – and with the last three head to head meetings also seeing both teams score – a score draw is our pick.

As for the specific scoreline, Spain have scored exactly one goal in three of their six games at this tournament. England meanwhile have netted exactly one goal in four of their six. That leads us to 1-1 at the final whistle. After that, our heart says England to win on penalties but our head says Spain nick it in extra time.

Adam Clancy: Spain 1-1 England (England to win on penalties)

Spain have been the standout team of Euro 2024, winning all six of their games, while England have gradually performed better as the tournament has progressed. La Roja will be favourites, but the Three Lions boast several world-class individuals who can hurt anyone on their day. The fact their Euros trophy cabinet is empty may give Gareth Southgate’s men the extra edge needed to finally bring it home.

Vladimir Kovacevic: Spain 2-1 England

After nearly scrapping by in against Slovakia and Switzerland, England finally showed why they were one of the main favourites to go all the way coming into the tournament in the semi-finals against Netherlands, though they once again got the win as we were nearing extra time.

On the other hand, Spain have been the best team at the tournament so far and if they can do against England what they did so far, I can see them lifting the trophy. England will certainly put up a fight and it will be a close match, but Spain have the quality, the form, and the system to become the new European champions.

Most memorable matches between Spain and England

While these are two footballing nations with a huge pedigree and reputation, we didn't really see Spain and England meet in a lot of big matches. In fact, at the biggest tournaments like European Championship or World Cup, Spain and England have only met once in the knockout stages. All in all, we saw these two teams play each other only four times at the big stage — twice at World Cup and twice at EUROs.

In any case, let's remember some of the most interesting duels between Spain and England so far.

1996 EURO quarter-finals: Spain 0-0 (2-4 after penalties) England

The 1996 EURO was held in England, so the hosts had the highest hopes and a great team to back it up, led by one of England's best strikers ever Alan Shearer, who ended up being the top scorer of the tournament with five goals.

However, Shearer couldn't find the net against Spain, just like his teammates, but England also kept a clean sheet to take the game to extra time and eventually penalties. In front of the full Wembley, England had the calmer nerves and led by David Seaman at goal secured their spot in the semi-final.

David Seaman
David Seaman of England celebrates his victory during the Quarter Final of European Championship match between Spain and England at Wembley Stadium, London, England on 22 June 1996 – Photo by Icon Sport

Unfortunately for the Three Lions fans, Germany gave England the taste of their own medicine and eliminated them after penalties. The man who missed the final penalty for England was Gareth Southgate, current manager of England.

1980 EURO group stages: Spain 1-2 England

The only other time that Spain and England have met at EUROs, in addition to the quarter-final we mentioned above, was their duel in Italy in 1980. This was a duel in the last round of group stages, which only consisted of eight teams at the time. So, the first two teams of each group would secure a spot in the semi-finals.

Spain and England have met in the last round and both had a chance to reach the next stage with a win, but even a win wasn't enough for England after Belgium and Italy drew in their match. Still, England fans can remember this game with pride as Brooking and Woodcock scored to help the Three Lions win the game.

1950 World Cup group stages: Spain 1-0 England

The first World Cup after World War II was held in Brazil and a lot of teams have ended up withdrawing from the tournament, for various reasons. The ones that decided to participate were spread in four groups and the winner of each group would go to the “Final Group”, the winner of which would be crowned world champion.

At this tournament, teams were awarded two points for a win and Spain entered the final round of the first group stage with four points, while England had two. Still, a win would put England tied with Spain and according by the rules at the time, that would lead to another match between these teams to determine who gets to the next stage.

However, England's hopes were dispatched of by Zarra, who scored the only goal of the game and sent the Three Lions packing.


A lifelong Evertonian, James started writing for an Everton fan site in the mid-2000s and then developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer for Biggest Free Bets. James moved to Free Super Tips next, and then Racing Post, where he worked as a full-time betting tips writer for a few years. Following that, James joined Football Whispers in December 2020 and has been a permanent fixture ever-since, currently covering the Premier League amongst other things