West Ham vs Southampton prediction
West Ham in action against Chelsea - Photo by Imago
🔥 Our Hot tip

West Ham to win

The Saints set a new club record for most for league defeats (26) in a season in the top four tiers when they lost 3-0 at home to Aston Villa.

West Ham play host to the already-relegated Southampton on Saturday afternoon and we're bringing you all our tips and predictions for the game.

West Ham vs Southampton prediction: A home banker?

Key Stats

  • Southampton have lost 13 of their 16 away games in the Premier League this season.
  • Five of West Ham's nine league wins this season have arrived at the London Stadium.
  • Both teams have scored in 56% of West Ham's home games.
  • Both teams have scored in 62% of Southampton's away games.

Correct score prediction: West Ham 2-1 Southampton

Southampton are scoring an average of 0.75 goals per away game in the Premier League this season and Saturday's guests are conceding an average of 2.13 goals on the road, which is why we've backed West Ham to claim a 2-1 victory against the division's bottom club.

Pre-game odds and win probability: West Ham the clear favourite

  • HOME: 20/39 (1.51) – 66.1%
  • DRAW: 18/5 (4.60) – 21.7%
  • AWAY: 6/1 (7.00) – 14.3%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

West Ham are the expected winner of this game with a probability of 66.1% and we tend to agree with the bookmakers on this selection.

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: Level pegging

With two wins, one draw and two defeats apiece, the last five meetings between these two clubs across all competitions have been split evenly, though, the Hammers did claim a 1-0 victory at St Mary's back in December.

England Premier League 26/12/24

Southampton

Southampton

0
West Ham

West Ham

1

England Premier League 02/04/23

West Ham

West Ham

1
Southampton

Southampton

0

England Premier League 16/10/22

Southampton

Southampton

1
West Ham

West Ham

1

England FA Cup 02/03/22

Southampton

Southampton

3
West Ham

West Ham

1

England Premier League 26/12/21

West Ham

West Ham

2
Southampton

Southampton

3

West Ham preview: Lost late on at Anfield

The Hammers fell behind in the 18th minute away against Liverpool last weekend but looked like they might have done enough to earn a share of the spoils when Andrew Robertson put one through his own goal in the 86th minute.

However, Liverpool responded really well and secured all three points thanks to an 89th-minute goal from Virgil van Dijk which leaves the Hammers sitting one place and 14 points above the relegation places.

Michail Antonio, Crysencio Summerville and Aaron Cresswell could all miss the Southampton game through injury.

Predicted lineup: Areola (GK), Mavropanos, Wan-Bissaka, Kilman, Todibo, Scarles, Ward-Prowse, Soler, Paquets, Kudus & Bowen

England Premier League 19/04/25

D

Southampton

Southampton

1

West Ham

West Ham

1

England Premier League 13/04/25

L

Liverpool

Liverpool

2

West Ham

West Ham

1

England Premier League 05/04/25

D

Bournemouth

Bournemouth

2

West Ham

West Ham

2

England Premier League 01/04/25

L

Wolverhampton

Wolverhampton

1

West Ham

West Ham

0

England Premier League 15/03/25

D

Everton

Everton

1

West Ham

West Ham

1

Southampton preview: Outdone by Aston Villa

Southampton lost 3-0 at home to Aston Villa last time out but it could, and probably should, have been by a greater margin.

Villa scored all three goals late in the second half and saw two penalties missed by Marco Asensio.

Flynn Downes is available once again following a suspension but Ebere Paul Onuachu, Albert Gronbaek Erlykke and Charlie Taylor are all doubts for the game due to injury.

Predicted lineup: Ramsdale (GK), Stephens, Bednarek, Manning, Walker-Peters, Harwood-Bellis, Ugochukwu, Sulemana, Fernandes, Dibling & Archer

England Premier League 19/04/25

D

West Ham

West Ham

1

Southampton

Southampton

1

England Premier League 12/04/25

L

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

3

Southampton

Southampton

0

England Premier League 06/04/25

L

Tottenham

Tottenham

3

Southampton

Southampton

1

England Premier League 02/04/25

D

Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace

1

Southampton

Southampton

1

England Premier League 15/03/25

L

Wolverhampton

Wolverhampton

2

Southampton

Southampton

1

Player to watch: Niclas Fullkrug

Niclas Fullkrug's debut season with the Hammers has been plagued by injury but the 32-year-old has featured more regularly of late and has scored a couple of goals.

Niclas Fullkrug
Photo by IMAGO

The German international has a total of three Premier League goals to his name this season and two of those have arrived in his last four appearances. Fullkrug has only started three of his 12 league games for West Ham and might not start against Southampton this weekend.

The German striker has two goals in his last four league games

However, we do expect the veteran striker to feature against the Saints and wouldn't be surprised if he added to his goal tally for the campaign.

epl predictions this weekend

James developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer and now has 10+ years experience covering club and international leagues and competitions across the globe.