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Newcastle - Southampton
England EFL Cup - St James' Park
2nd Round
Prediction 1
Under 2.5 goals
4/5 (1.80)
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Odds from
Prediction 2
BTTS - No
8/11 (1.73)
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Odds from
* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.
We bring you EFL Cup odds and predictions of Newcastle vs Southampton here with the game due to take place on January 31st.
Newcastle vs Southampton: Our top betting predictions
Newcastle are just 90 minutes away from an EFL Cup final, which is something nobody outside their fanbase would have predicted a year and a half ago. Can they finish the job they started on the south coast to advance? Find out with our Newcastle vs Southampton match preview with free tips, predictions and odds mentioned along the way.
Contents
A low scoring game
Our first prediction for this game sees us steering clear of the match result outcome – largely owing to the odds on a Newcastle win being wholly unattractive – and instead dipping into the total goals market. We're predicting under 2.5 goals. Why? Well, that's simple. Newcastle have seen each of their last four games go south of that all important 2.5 cut off point with a mere total of just four goals being scored; that's a game average of just 1.0 goals. Southampton's recent record isn't exactly high scoring either. Three of their last five games have gone under the 2.5 threshold with a total of 10 goals. That's just 2.0 per game. The first leg only saw the solitary goals as well!
Both teams will not score
We now turn to the both teams to score market and we are betting on at least one side to fail to score. Newcastle have only seen both teams score in one of their last five matches whilst Southampton have seen both teams score in just two of their last five. That gives them both a minimum of 60% in the ‘no' category. Considering the 8/11 (1.73) odds on offer, we think this is a good value bet. Newcastle boast one of the best defensive records in Europe this season after all.
Here are the key stats & form guide for Newcastle vs Southampton
Head to Head
24/01/23
England EFL Cup EFL Cup
Southampton
Newcastle
0
1
06/11/22
England Premier League EPL
Southampton
Newcastle
1
4
10/03/22
England Premier League EPL
Southampton
Newcastle
1
2
28/08/21
England Premier League EPL
Newcastle
Southampton
2
2
06/02/21
England Premier League EPL
Newcastle
Southampton
3
2
Last Five - Newcastle
17/03/23
England Premier League EPL
Nottm Forest
Newcastle
1
2
W
12/03/23
England Premier League EPL
Wolverhampton
Newcastle
1
2
W
04/03/23
England Premier League EPL
Man City
Newcastle
2
0
L
26/02/23
England EFL Cup EFL Cup
Man Utd
Newcastle
2
0
L
18/02/23
England Premier League EPL
Liverpool
Newcastle
2
0
L
Last Five - Southampton
18/03/23
England Premier League EPL
Tottenham
Southampton
3
3
D
15/03/23
England Premier League EPL
Brentford
Southampton
2
0
L
12/03/23
England Premier League EPL
Man Utd
Southampton
0
0
D
04/03/23
England Premier League EPL
Leicester
Southampton
0
1
W
01/03/23
England FA Cup FA Cup
Grimsby
Southampton
2
1
L
So, that gives you some insight to how the different bookmakers see the action unfolding. How though do the bookies odds translate into probabilities ahead of this game and how might that impact your view of our predictions? Let's find out.
Newcastle odds: 12/25 (1.48) – 68%
Draw odds: 16/5 (4.20) – 24%
Southampton odds: 17/3 (6.67) – 15%
As you can see from the above odds, Newcastle are heavy favourites to win this match but, what's more telling, is how clear it is that the bookies fancy them to qualify. Southampton are a longshot to even get a draw in this game, which doesn't bode well considering they trail from the first leg – albeit narrowly. The trouble Southampton face is they're not particularly fancied to score in this game. The Saints blanking is odds on in the ‘Southampton exact goals' market!!
Check out the predicted lineups ahead of Newcastle vs Southampton
Newcastle
With the way Newcastle have been going this season there is no reason for them to change a thing for this game. They don't give much away as a defensive unit and a clean sheet will be enough for them to book their place in the final. The back five will unquestionably be the usual suspects but an entirely unchanged XI wouldn't be a huge surprise given what is at stake.
Predicted lineup – Pope, Burn, Botman, Schar, Trippier, Willock, Longstaff, Guimaraes, Joelinton, Almiron, Wilson
Southampton
Southampton have started to show signs of things coming together under Nathan Jones but you just feel this game might be too big for them. That being said, it is only one goal that needs to be overturned so it's far from an impossibility and they will come to St James' Park with nothing at all to lose. Duje Caleta-Car won't be playing; he was sent off in the first leg but Romain Perraud might get a chance to shine!
Predicted lineup – Bazunu, Walker-Peters, Perraud, Salisu, Lyanco, Alcaraz, Diallo, Djenpo, Ward-Prowse, Orsic, Mara
Starting Lineups
Newcastle
Southampton
*Starting lineups are usually announced one hour prior to kick off.
Player to watch
There are a fair few talents who will be on show in this game but it's Romain Perraud who we want to pick out. He was given a chance to start in the other cup, the FA Cup, at the weekend and did his case no harm at all by bagging a brace. With Southampton needing goals, could the full back produce again?
A quickfire FAQ on Newcastle vs Southampton
- Where is the match being played? – St James' Park
- Who do the bookmakers have as favourites? – Newcastle
- What time does the match kick off? 8 PM GMT
