Struggling Southampton face a tricky home game against Champions League-chasing Newcastle this weekend and we're bringing you our tips and predictions for the game.
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Southampton vs Newcastle prediction: Goals expected at St Mary's
Key Stats
- Over 3.5 goals have been produced in three of Southampton's last four fixtures.
- Two of Newcastle's last three games have witnessed at least four goals.
- Both teams have scored in three of the Saints' last five outings.
- Three of the Magpies' last five matches have also ended with both teams scoring.
Correct score prediction: Southampton 1-3 Newcastle
The Saints have conceded at least three goals in each of their last three Premier League games but Saturday's hosts have only failed to score in one of their last five games across all competitions. Newcastle scored three goals against both Wolves and Bromley and we're backing Eddie Howe's men to do the same against Southampton this weekend.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Odds stacked against the Saints
- HOME: 13/2 (7.50) – 13.3%
- DRAW: 17/4 (5.25) – 19%
- AWAY: 4/9 (1.44) – 69.2%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Newcastle are the expected winner of this game with a probability of 69.2%, and we can't argue with the bookmakers on this selection.
You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: The Magpies dominate
Newcastle have won each of their last five games against Southampton in league and cup, claiming a 1-0 victory when the pair met at St James' Park in August.
England Premier League 17/08/24
Newcastle
Southampton
England Premier League 30/04/23
Newcastle
Southampton
England EFL Cup 31/01/23
Newcastle
Southampton
England EFL Cup 24/01/23
Southampton
Newcastle
England Premier League 06/11/22
Southampton
Newcastle
Southampton preview: Lost last five in the league
Southampton made the trip to in-form Nottingham Forest last weekend where a poor first-half performance cost the Saints dearly.
Forest scored three times without a reply in the opening 45 and despite a spirited fightback from Southampton which produced two goals, the home side held on to secure another three points.
Tyler-Jay Dibling, Ross Stewart and Jack Stephens make up the trio of players Southampton could be without this weekend through injury.
Predicted lineup: Ramsdale (GK), Bednarek, Bree, Walker-Peters, Sugawara, Harwood-Bellis, Aribo, Downes, Fernandes, Armstrong & Archer
England Premier League 10/05/25
D
Man City
0
Southampton
0
England Premier League 03/05/25
L
Leicester
2
Southampton
0
England Premier League 26/04/25
L
Fulham
2
Southampton
1
England Premier League 19/04/25
D
West Ham
1
Southampton
1
England Premier League 12/04/25
L
Aston Villa
3
Southampton
0
Newcastle preview: Looking to bounce back
Newcastle would have been expecting a tough test at home against in-form Bournemouth but nobody would have predicted such an emphatic victory for the away side.
Justin Kluivert scored the first of his three goals in the sixth minute and although Bruno Guimaraes equalised for Newcastle, the Cherries scored again before the break and went on to win the match 4-1.
Callum Wilson, Jamaal Lascelles, Harvey Barnes and Nick Pope are all expected to miss the trip to St Mary's this weekend due to injury.
Predicted lineup: Dubravka (GK), Burn, Botman, Livramento, Hall, Murphy, Guimaraes, Tonali, Joelinton, Isak & Gordon
England Premier League 11/05/25
W
Chelsea
0
Newcastle
2
England Premier League 04/05/25
D
Brighton
1
Newcastle
1
England Premier League 26/04/25
W
Ipswich
0
Newcastle
3
England Premier League 19/04/25
L
Aston Villa
4
Newcastle
1
England Premier League 16/04/25
W
Crystal Palace
0
Newcastle
5
Player to watch – Jacob Murphy
Newcastle winger Jacob Murphy has been one of the club's most consistent performers this season and yet he hasn't received anywhere near as much of the praise that some of his teammates have.
Murphy, 29, has chipped in with three league goals so far this season but his most impressive stat is his assists. The Newcastle winger has seven assists to his name in the Premier League, making him the club's most creative player ahead of Guimaraes on six assists.
The Newcastle winger is often overlooked by the pundits
We're backing Purphy to put in another excellent performance for the Magpies this weekend, one which will help guide Howe's side back to winning ways at the expense of the division's bottom club.