Newcastle vs Southampton prediction, odds & betting tips – 17/08/2024

Newcastle vs Southampton prediction
Newcastle took on Brest in their final pre-season game - Photo by Imago
🔥 Our Hot tip

Newcastle to win-to-nil

Newcastle have won and kept clean sheets in three of their last five fixtures

Eddie Howe will be looking to get off to a winning start when Newcastle play host to Southampton in the Premier League this weekend.

The Magpies fans will be pleased to see that Anthony Gordon, Alexander Isak and Bruno Guimaraes remain Newcastle players and will be hoping to see all three in action against newly-promoted Southampton on Saturday.

Newcastle vs Southampton prediction: Home win and a clean sheet?

Key Stats

  • Southampton have failed to score in two of their last four fixtures.
  • Newcastle have won each of their last five games against the Saints.
  • Alexander Isak top-scored for Newcastle last season with 25 goals, 21 of which were in the Premier League.

Correct score prediction: Newcastle 3-0 Southampton

With no European football to contend with, we're expecting a big season from Newcastle who should be challenging for the Champions League places. The Saints simply don't have anywhere near as good a squad as their hosts on paper and we're expecting that to show in what could be a dominant performance from the Magpies.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookies backing a home win

  • HOME: 4/11 (1.36) – 73.3%
  • DRAW: 23/5 (5.60) – 17.9%
  • AWAY: 15/2 (8.50) – 11.8%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Newcastle are the expected winner of this game with a probability of 73.3%, and we can only see this game ending in a home win.

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: Newcastle dominate

The Magpies have won their last five encounters with Southampton, securing a 3-1 win when the pair last met at St James' Park in 2023.

England Premier League 30/04/23

Newcastle

Newcastle

3
Southampton

Southampton

1

England EFL Cup 31/01/23

Newcastle

Newcastle

2
Southampton

Southampton

1

England EFL Cup 24/01/23

Southampton

Southampton

0
Newcastle

Newcastle

1

England Premier League 06/11/22

Southampton

Southampton

1
Newcastle

Newcastle

4

England Premier League 10/03/22

Southampton

Southampton

1
Newcastle

Newcastle

2

Newcastle preview: Should thrive with no European football

Newcastle have done very well to keep their best players at the club this summer after it was rumoured that the Magpies would need to sell a star asset.

Danish forward William Osula looks like an exciting new signing while midfielder Sandro Tonali will return from his suspension soon and that's going to feel like a brand new signing for Eddie Howe as the Italian international only made eight appearances in the league before being banned for 10 months.

Sven Botman, Jamaal Lascelles, Lewis Miley, Matt Targett, Fabian Schar and Callum Wilson won't be available for selection this weekend due to injury.

Predicted lineup: Pope (GK), Burn, Krafth, Livramento, Hall, Murphy, Longstaff, Miley, Joelinton, Isak & Gordon

England EFL Cup 01/10/24

W

AFC Wimbledon

AFC Wimbledon

0

Newcastle

Newcastle

1

England Premier League 28/09/24

D

Man City

Man City

1

Newcastle

Newcastle

1

England Premier League 21/09/24

L

Fulham

Fulham

3

Newcastle

Newcastle

1

England Premier League 15/09/24

W

Wolverhampton

Wolverhampton

1

Newcastle

Newcastle

2

England Premier League 01/09/24

W

Tottenham

Tottenham

1

Newcastle

Newcastle

2

Southampton preview: Going to be a tough season for the Saints

The Saints are going to find it tough to remain in the Premier League this season but their board have backed the club with £60m worth of new players this summer.

Taylor Harwood-Bellis, Flynn Downes, Ben Brereton Díaz, Yukinari Sugawara, Nathan Wood and Ronnie Edwards have all joined the club this summer for fees, while Welington, Charlie Taylor, Adam Lallana, Juan and Rento Takaoka arrive on free transfers.

Pacey winger Kamaldeen Sulemana could miss the trip to Newcastle with a foot injury.

Predicted lineup: McCarthy (GK), Sugawara, Harwood-Bellis, Bednarek, Stephens, Walker-Peters, Downes, Smallbone, Aribo, Armstrong & Brereton Díaz

England Premier League 30/09/24

L

Bournemouth

Bournemouth

3

Southampton

Southampton

1

England Premier League 21/09/24

D

Ipswich

Ipswich

1

Southampton

Southampton

1

England EFL Cup 17/09/24

W

Everton

Everton

1 (5)

Southampton

Southampton

1 (6)

England Premier League 14/09/24

L

Man Utd

Man Utd

3

Southampton

Southampton

0

England Premier League 31/08/24

L

Brentford

Brentford

3

Southampton

Southampton

1

Player to watch – Alexander Isak

Alexander Isak massively improved in his second season with the Magpies, going from 10 goals in 27 appearances to 25 goals in 40 matches.

Alexander Isak player to watch
Alexander Isak of Newcastle United celebrates 2nd goal during the Pre-Season Friendly match against Hull City – Photo by Imago

The 24-year-old striker is expected to enjoy another fruitful season in front of goal for Newcastle and will be looking to score more than the 21 league goals he managed in the 2023/24 campaign.

Newcastle's Swedish striker was phenomenal last season

The Southampton defecne won't have come across a striker like Isac before and we're backing the Swedish international to score this weekend.


A lifelong Evertonian, James started writing for an Everton fan site in the mid-2000s and then developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer for Biggest Free Bets. James moved to Free Super Tips next, and then Racing Post, where he worked as a full-time betting tips writer for a few years. Following that, James joined Football Whispers in December 2020 and has been a permanent fixture ever-since, currently covering the Premier League amongst other things