Southampton vs Burnley prediction, odds & betting tips – 08/02/2025

Premier League strugglers Southampton take on Championship side Burnley at St. Mary’s Stadium in the FA Cup on Saturday, 8 February. Read our FA Cup betting tips for the contest below.

Southampton vs Burnley prediction: Low-scoring contest anticipated

Key Stats

• 80% of Burnley’s last ten games in all competitions have featured under 2.5 goals.
• Burnley have failed to score in four of their last nine assignments in league and cup.
• Southampton beat Championship outfit Swansea 3-0 in the previous round of the FA Cup.
• Southampton have picked up more cards (73) than any other team in the Premier League this season.

Correct score prediction: Southampton 1-0 Burnley

Burnley have failed to score in four of their last nine games while 80% of their last ten fixtures have featured under 2.5 goals. Expect margins to be similarly slim when they visit Southampton.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Saints are favourites

• HOME: 3/4 (1.75) – 57.1%
• DRAW: 23/10 (3.30) – 30.3%
• AWAY: 17/4 (5.25) – 19%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Southampton beat relegation rivals Ipswich in their last outing and the Saints have been playing better football in general of late. The hosts look like good value at 3/4 to win on Saturday.

Burnley are in the midst of a 19-game unbeaten run in all competitions, though they score very few goals and have just a 19% of outscoring Southampton here. View more of our latest football predictions and analysis on our dedicated page.

Most recent H2Hs: Southampton have had the better of it

Southampton have lost only one of their last four meetings with Burnley. The clubs’ last encounter in April 2022 (Premier League) finished 2-0 in the Clarets’ favour, however.

England Premier League 21/04/22

Burnley

2

Southampton

0

England Premier League 23/10/21

Southampton

2

Burnley

2

England Premier League 04/04/21

Southampton

3

Burnley

2

England Premier League 26/09/20

Burnley

0

Southampton

1

England Premier League 15/02/20

Southampton

1

Burnley

2

Southampton preview: Downes and Stephens are out

Ross Stewart, Cameron Archer, Ryan Manning, Flynn Downes and Jack Stephens are out of action for Southampton while Taylor Harwood-Bellis, Nathan Wood-Gordon and Ryan Fraser could also miss out.

Predicted lineup: Ramsdale (GK), Bree, Bednarek, Harwood-Bellis, Walker-Peters, Ugochukwu, Aribo, Welington, Fernandes, Gronbaek, Onuachu

England Premier League 10/05/25

D

Man City

0

Southampton

0

England Premier League 03/05/25

L

Leicester

2

Southampton

0

England Premier League 26/04/25

L

Fulham

2

Southampton

1

England Premier League 19/04/25

D

West Ham

1

Southampton

1

England Premier League 12/04/25

L

Aston Villa

3

Southampton

0

Burnley preview: Visitor’s squad looks strong

Burnley have very few injury issues, though attacker Enock Agyei is a slight doubt. The Clarets are in second place in the Championship and Burnley beat Oxford 1-0 in their last assignment.

Predicted lineup: Trafford (GK), Roberts, Egan-Riley, Esteve, Humphreys, Cullen, Laurent, Anthony, Mejbri, Foster, Flemming

England Championship 03/05/25

W

Millwall

1

Burnley

3

England Championship 26/04/25

W

QPR

0

Burnley

5

England Championship 21/04/25

W

Sheff Utd

1

Burnley

2

England Championship 18/04/25

W

Watford

1

Burnley

2

England Championship 11/04/25

W

Norwich

1

Burnley

2

Player to watch – Paul Onuachu

Paul Onuachu has been getting more game time for Southampton since the appointment of new head coach Ivan Juric and the Nigerian attacker has been taking his opportunities with both hands.

Onuachu is hitting form

Onuachu scored a crucial goal against Ipswich last weekend and that was his second strike in his last three appearances. The 28-year-old is playing with plenty of confidence, so he should be a threat on Saturday.