Bottom-of-the-table Southampton go in search of their third league win of the campaign on Saturday when they play host to Brighton in a 15:00 kick-off.
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Southampton vs Brighton prediction: At least three goals for the visitors?
Key Stats
- Brighton have scored exactly three goals in each of their last two wins against the Saints and put three goals past Chelsea last time out.
- Both teams have scored in 69% of the Seagull's away games this season and have Saturday's guests have only won-to-nil in 23% of their games on the road.
- Southampton score an average of 0.75 goals per home game and have only managed to keep clean sheets in 8% of their matches at St Mary's.
Correct score prediction: Southampton 1-3 Brighton
Brighton have won two of their last three encounters with Southampton and on both occasions, the scoreline ended 3-1. Having put three goals past Chelsea last time out and another three in a recent away game against Manchester United, we're backing Brighton to win by three goals to one this weekend, especially as the Saints have lost three of their last five league games by the same scoreline.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Brighton backed by the bookmakers
- HOME: 19/4 (5.75) – 17.4%
- DRAW: 7/2 (4.50) – 22.2%
- AWAY: 8/13 (1.62) – 61.9%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Brighton are the expected winner of this game with a probability of 61.9% and we can't see this game ending in anything but victory for the visitors.
You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: The Seagulls lead
Brighton have won two and drawn three of their last five games against Southampton in the Premier League with the pair drawing 1-1 when they met in November at the AmEx.
England Premier League 29/11/24
Brighton
Southampton
England Premier League 21/05/23
Brighton
Southampton
England Premier League 26/12/22
Southampton
Brighton
England Premier League 24/04/22
Brighton
Southampton
England Premier League 04/12/21
Southampton
Brighton
Southampton preview: Another home defeat
The Saints would have been expecting a tough 90 minutes at home against in-form Bournemouth, and that's just what they got.
The visitors went in at the break 2-0 up and although Kamaldeen Sulemana pulled a goal back for the home side in the 72nd minute, the Cherries scored again late on to wrap up a 3-1 victory.
Flynn Downes, Ross Stewart, Ryan Fraser, Taylor Harwood-Bellis, Jack Stephens and Adam Lallana are all doubts for the Brighton game due to injury.
Predicted lineup: Ramsdale (GK), Bednarek, Bree, Walker-Peters, Wood-Gordon, Welington, Aribo, Smallbone, Sulemana, Fernandes & Onuachu
England Premier League 10/05/25
D
Man City
0
Southampton
0
England Premier League 03/05/25
L
Leicester
2
Southampton
0
England Premier League 26/04/25
L
Fulham
2
Southampton
1
England Premier League 19/04/25
D
West Ham
1
Southampton
1
England Premier League 12/04/25
L
Aston Villa
3
Southampton
0
Brighton preview: Back-to-back wins against Chelsea
Not content with knocking Chelsea out of the FA Cup six days earlier, Brighton secured all three points against the Londoners in the Premier League last Friday.
Karou Mitoma scored one of the goals of the season in the 27th minute to put Brighton in front and the Seagull's pacey winger Yankuba Minteh made it 2-0 before the break. Minteh scored the all-important third goal of the game just after the hour mark to wrap up an impressive 3-0 victory for the home side.
Igor Julio, Ferdi Kadioglu, James Milner, Jason Steele, Pervis Estupinan, Solomon March and Lewis Dunk make up the list of possible absentees for the Seagulls this weekend.
Predicted lineup: Verbruggen (GK), Webster, Veltman, Lamptey, van Hecke, Mitoma, Hinshelwood, Baleba, Welbeck, Rutter & Minteh
England Premier League 10/05/25
W
Wolverhampton
0
Brighton
2
England Premier League 04/05/25
D
Newcastle
1
Brighton
1
England Premier League 26/04/25
W
West Ham
2
Brighton
3
England Premier League 19/04/25
L
Brentford
4
Brighton
2
England Premier League 12/04/25
D
Leicester
2
Brighton
2
Player to watch: Karou Mitoma
Karou Mitoma has been a fantastic addition to Brighton and the Premier League ever since he made the move to England from Belgian side Unuon Saint-Gilloise in 2022.
This season, the Japanese international joint-top scores in the Premier League for Brighton with six goals and the 27-year-old has also chipped in with three assists.
Scored a goal-of-the-season contender against Chelsea
After his goal-of-the-season contender against Chelsea last time out, we're expecting another big performance from Mitoma who should cause the Southampton defence plenty of headaches.