Brighton vs Southampton Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips 21/05/2023

Brighton
21/05/23 - 14:00

Finished

3

-

1

Southampton

Brighton - Southampton

England Premier League - American Express Community Stadium

* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.

Brighton vs Southampton: Top Two Tips

We're bringing you our Premier League predictions for the south coast derby between Brighton and Southampton. The Saints have nothing to play for but pride this weekend and there is plenty of pride at stake whenever they go up against their Neighbours Brighton. The Seagulls have been hit and miss in recent weeks but remain in pole position to finish 6th in the table ahead of Spurs and Aston Villa.

Brighton and Both Teams to Score

Our first Brighton vs Southampton prediction is for a home win and both teams to score. Brighton have won three and lost just one of their last six meetings with the Saints, securing a 3-1 victory at St Mary's back in December. The Seagulls have won three of their last six league games and both teams have scored in three of those matches, while Southampton have lost five of their last six matches and both teams have found the back of the net in three of those fixtures.

Over 2.5 Goals

Our second Brighton vs Southampton prediction regards the total goals scored. Four of the last five meetings between these two clubs have ended with over 2.5 goals being scored, and we're expecting more of the same on Sunday. The goals have been flowing in both teams' recent fixtures with four of Brighton's and three of Southampton's last six league games witnessing at least three goals being scored.

Brighton vs Southampton Odds and Probabilities

Head to Head

26/12/22

England Premier League EPL

Southampton

Southampton

Brighton

Brighton

1

3

24/04/22

England Premier League EPL

Brighton

Brighton

Southampton

Southampton

2

2

04/12/21

England Premier League EPL

Southampton

Southampton

Brighton

Brighton

1

1

07/12/20

England Premier League EPL

Brighton

Brighton

Southampton

Southampton

1

2

16/07/20

England Premier League EPL

Southampton

Southampton

Brighton

Brighton

1

1

Last Five - Brighton

19/05/24

England Premier League EPL

Man Utd

Man Utd

Brighton

Brighton

2

0

L

15/05/24

England Premier League EPL

Chelsea

Chelsea

Brighton

Brighton

2

1

L

11/05/24

England Premier League EPL

Newcastle

Newcastle

Brighton

Brighton

1

1

D

05/05/24

England Premier League EPL

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

Brighton

Brighton

0

1

W

28/04/24

England Premier League EPL

Bournemouth

Bournemouth

Brighton

Brighton

3

0

L

Last Five - Southampton

26/05/24

England Championship CHA

Leeds

Leeds

Southampton

Southampton

0

1

W

17/05/24

England Championship CHA

West Brom

West Brom

Southampton

Southampton

1

3

W

12/05/24

England Championship CHA

West Brom

West Brom

Southampton

Southampton

0

0

D

04/05/24

England Championship CHA

Leeds

Leeds

Southampton

Southampton

1

2

W

27/04/24

England Championship CHA

Stoke

Stoke

Southampton

Southampton

1

0

L

Let's take a look at the latest markets and odds ahead of Brighton vs Southampton.

Brighton odds: 1/4 (1.25) – 80%

Draw odds: 13/2 (7.50) – 13.3%

Southampton odds: 12/1 (13.00) – 7.7%

*all odds provided are the best price at the time of publication and come from various bookmakers and therefore the probabilities won't always add up to 100%.

Brighton are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 80%, and it's difficult to argue with the bookmakers on this one given that the Saints have already been relegated. For more of our football betting tips on this game, check out the Anytime Goalscorer market. You can back Ferguson to score in this game at 21/20 (2.05) which has a probability of 48.8%, while Undav is priced at 12/5 (3.40) with a probability of 29.4%. If you fancy a Southampton player to score in this game then Adams would be the obvious choice at 27/5 (6.40) and that has a probability of 15.6%.

Brighton vs Southampton Lineups and Last Match

Brighton

Brighton made the trip to St James' Park to face Champions League-casing Newcastle where the Seagulls suffered a heavy defeat. Brighton were outplayed for the majority of the game, trailing 2-0 at the interval. Undav finished a neat one on one to get Brighton back into the game but two late goals for the hosts made the final scoreline 4-1. March, Lallana, Webster, Veltman, Moder, Sarmiento, Lamptey and Sanchez are all injury concerns for the hosts this weekend.

Predicted Lineup – Steele (GK), Dunk, Estupiñán, van Hecke, Groß, Gilmour, Mitoma, Caicedo, Buonanotte, Welbeck & Undav 

Southampton

Southampton's relegation was confirmed when they lost 2-0 at home to Fulham last time out. The Saints can have no real complaints about their relegation as they simply haven't scored enough goals and have conceded too many. Vinicius and Mitrovic scored the Fulham goals in the second half and while Southampton have nothing to play for in terms of the league, the visitors will be playing for pride against their Neighbours whose fans will handing out plenty of banter to the Southampton faithful. Perraud, Bella-Kotchap, Livramento, Adams, Salisu and Larios could all miss out on Sunday through injury.

Predicted Lineup – McCarthy (GK), Bednarek, Lyanco, Walker-Peters, Armstrong, Ward-Prowse, Maitland-Niles, Alcaraz, Lavia, Walcott & Onuachu

Starting Lineups

Brighton

Brighton
4-2-3-1
23
Jason Steele
gb
34
Joel Veltman
nl
6
Levi Colwill
gb
5
Lewis Dunk
gb
30
Pervis Estupinan
ec
13
Pascal Gross
de
25
Moises Caicedo
ec
10
Julio Enciso
py
10
Alexis Mac Allister
ar
22
Kaoru Mitoma
jp
28
Evan Ferguson
ie
Substitutes
11
Billy Gilmour
gb
49
Andrew Moran
ie
29
Jan Paul Van Hecke
nl
21
Deniz Undav
de
38
Tom McGill
ca
18
Danny Welbeck
gb
40
Facundo Valentin Buonanotte
ar
26
Yasin Abbas Ayari
se
44
Cameron Peupion
au

Southampton

Southampton
4-4-2
1
Alex McCarthy
gb
14
James Bree
gb
35
Jan Bednarek
pl
25
Lyanco
rs
2
Kyle Walker-Peters
gb
24
Mohamed Elyounoussi
no
8
James Ward Prowse
gb
45
Romeo Lavia
be
7
Joe Aribo
ng
22
Carlos Alcaraz
ar
Substitutes
21
Valentino Livramento
gb
34
Dominic Ballard
gb
17
Stuart Armstrong
gb
6
Duje Caleta-Car
hr
12
Paul Onuachu
ng
20
Kamaldeen Sulemana
gh
3
Ainsley Maitland-Niles
gb
31
Gavin Bazunu
ie
32
Kami Doyle
gb

*Lineups are usually announced 1hr before kick-off

Player to Watch: Pascal Gross

Brighton's German midfielder hasn't had the praise he deserves this season as he had played a massive part in the club challenging for the European places.

The 31-year-old has enjoyed his best season in front of goal for the Seagulls, netting 8-goals in the Premier League alone. Gross hasn't just been on the end of passes and putting the ball into the back of the net, he also has 7-assists to his name which is the joint-highest in the Brighton camp alongside Solly March.

Gross continues to shine for Brighton, especially in the important matches and games don't come much more important than local derbies. We're backing Gross to chip in with a goal or and assist against a leaky Southampton defence this weekend.

Brighton vs Southampton – FAQ

brighton vs southampton

  • Who is the favourite to win? – Brighton are the overwhelming favourite to win this weekend.
  • What was the score when these two teams last met? – Southampton 1-3 Brighton.
  • What time is kick-off? – 14:00 GMT, 15:00 CET.

A lifelong Evertonian, James started writing for an Everton fan site in the mid-2000s and then developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer for Biggest Free Bets. James moved to Free Super Tips next, and then Racing Post, where he worked as a full-time writer for a few years, taking on extra responsibilities such as creating the schedule and assigning out work. Following that, James wrote for a number of websites including Fore Bet before joining Football Whispers in December 2020.