Sweden vs Slovenia prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 27/09/2022

* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.

Sweden vs Slovenia prediction: Our top betting tips

The Nations League might be a ‘minor' competition but Sweden won't want to be relegated from this group. If they don't win this game though, they will be. Can the hosts find a way to win in front of their home fans? Find out with our Sweden vs Slovenia prediction match preview with free tips, predictions and odds mentioned along the way.

Sweden to lose and suffer relegation

Sweden might have home advantage heading into this match but we do not see them get any form of positive result against this Slovenia side; that means our first tip for this game is that Slovenia will win. Sweden have lost each of their last four games and have just two wins across their last 10 outings in all competitions. Slovenia's form isn't loads better – hence they're still in the relegation scrap with their hosts – but whilst they too only have two wins in 10, they have also only lost three and, notably, they recorded a really impressive win over Norway in their last outing. That result – and performance – swings this game from a draw to an away win for us.

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Goals galore

Next up we are backing over 2.5 total goals in this match. Sweden have broken that threshold in each of their last two and in three of their past five; their game average across that five match period sits at 3.0. Slovenia have also seen goals of late; again, each of their last two and three of their past four have gone over 2.5 goals. Their game average across that four match spell also sits at 3.0 per match. With averages of three goals per game, the ‘over' wager isn't nailed on but given the odds of 21/20 (2.05) it's certainly a good value bet!

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Here are the key stats & form guide for Sweden vs Slovenia prediction

Highest odds accross 0 bookmakers

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2

Bookmakers comparison
Bookmaker 1 X 2

Last Five - HuddersfieldHuddersfield

01/12/22

Europe Friendlies Europe

Olympiakos

Olympiakos

Huddersfield

Huddersfield

2

0

L

12/11/22

England Championship CHA

Swansea

Swansea

Huddersfield

Huddersfield

0

0

D

08/11/22

England Championship CHA

QPR

QPR

Huddersfield

Huddersfield

1

2

W

05/11/22

England Championship CHA

Blackburn

Blackburn

Huddersfield

Huddersfield

1

0

L

02/11/22

England Championship CHA

Sunderland

Sunderland

Huddersfield

Huddersfield

2

0

L

Last Five - BlackpoolBlackpool

12/11/22

England Championship CHA

Wigan

Wigan

Blackpool

Blackpool

2

1

L

08/11/22

England Championship CHA

Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

Blackpool

Blackpool

3

0

L

05/11/22

England Championship CHA

Luton

Luton

Blackpool

Blackpool

1

0

L

01/11/22

England Championship CHA

West Brom

West Brom

Blackpool

Blackpool

1

0

L

29/10/22

England Championship CHA

Coventry

Coventry

Blackpool

Blackpool

1

2

W

A bottom of the table clash to decide relegation

There would have been very few people who put Sweden in danger of relegation heading into this Nations League but that's not how things have played out and after collecting just three points from a possible 15 they now have to beat Slovenia, who have avoided defeat in three of their five games to date, to avoid finishing bottom.

It's been a poor tournament for Sweden but their last outing – a 4-1 loss to Serbia – was a new low. Will they ring changes here or will they let the same XI put some pride back on their names?

Sweden Predicted lineup – Olsen, Lindelof, Hien, Sundgren, Claesson, Svanberg, Cajuste, Augustinsson, Forsberg, Elanga, Kulusevski

Slovenia arrive here on the back of a three game unbeaten run. If they make it four then they will avoid relegation. Given how they played in their previous match, we expect an unchanged team.

Slovenia Predicted lineup – Oblak, Sikosek, Karnicnik, Bijol, Blazic, Verbic, Kkurtic, Gnezda, Stojanovic, Sporar, Sesko

A quickfire FAQ on Sweden vs Slovenia

Sweden vs Slovenia prediction

  • Where is the match being hosted? – Friends Arena
  • Who do the bookmakers have as favourites? – Sweden
  • What time does the match kick off?  7 45 GMT