Prediction 1
Slovenia to win
7/2 (4.50)
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Prediction 2
Over 2.5 goals
21/20 (2.05)
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Odds from
* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.
Sweden vs Slovenia prediction: Our top betting tips
The Nations League might be a ‘minor' competition but Sweden won't want to be relegated from this group. If they don't win this game though, they will be. Can the hosts find a way to win in front of their home fans? Find out with our Sweden vs Slovenia prediction match preview with free tips, predictions and odds mentioned along the way.
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Sweden to lose and suffer relegation
Sweden might have home advantage heading into this match but we do not see them get any form of positive result against this Slovenia side; that means our first tip for this game is that Slovenia will win. Sweden have lost each of their last four games and have just two wins across their last 10 outings in all competitions. Slovenia's form isn't loads better – hence they're still in the relegation scrap with their hosts – but whilst they too only have two wins in 10, they have also only lost three and, notably, they recorded a really impressive win over Norway in their last outing. That result – and performance – swings this game from a draw to an away win for us.
Goals galore
Next up we are backing over 2.5 total goals in this match. Sweden have broken that threshold in each of their last two and in three of their past five; their game average across that five match period sits at 3.0. Slovenia have also seen goals of late; again, each of their last two and three of their past four have gone over 2.5 goals. Their game average across that four match spell also sits at 3.0 per match. With averages of three goals per game, the ‘over' wager isn't nailed on but given the odds of 21/20 (2.05) it's certainly a good value bet!
Here are the key stats & form guide for Sweden vs Slovenia prediction
Head to Head
24/09/24
England League 1 League 1
Huddersfield
Blackpool
0
2
07/09/24
England League 1 League 1
Huddersfield
Blackpool
0
0
07/02/23
England Championship CHA
Blackpool
Huddersfield
2
2
21/01/23
England Championship CHA
Blackpool
Huddersfield
0
0
04/09/22
England Championship CHA
Huddersfield
Blackpool
0
1
Last Five - Huddersfield
03/05/25
England League 1 League 1
Leyton Orient
Huddersfield
4
1
L
26/04/25
England League 1 League 1
Exeter
Huddersfield
3
1
L
21/04/25
England League 1 League 1
Stockport
Huddersfield
2
1
L
18/04/25
England League 1 League 1
Cambridge Utd
Huddersfield
2
1
L
12/04/25
England League 1 League 1
Burton Albion
Huddersfield
3
0
L
Last Five - Blackpool
03/05/25
England League 1 League 1
Bristol Rovers
Blackpool
1
4
W
30/04/25
England League 1 League 1
Birmingham
Blackpool
2
0
L
26/04/25
England League 1 League 1
Wigan
Blackpool
1
1
D
21/04/25
England League 1 League 1
Wrexham
Blackpool
2
1
L
18/04/25
England League 1 League 1
Stevenage
Blackpool
1
3
W
A bottom of the table clash to decide relegation
There would have been very few people who put Sweden in danger of relegation heading into this Nations League but that's not how things have played out and after collecting just three points from a possible 15 they now have to beat Slovenia, who have avoided defeat in three of their five games to date, to avoid finishing bottom.
It's been a poor tournament for Sweden but their last outing – a 4-1 loss to Serbia – was a new low. Will they ring changes here or will they let the same XI put some pride back on their names?
Sweden Predicted lineup – Olsen, Lindelof, Hien, Sundgren, Claesson, Svanberg, Cajuste, Augustinsson, Forsberg, Elanga, Kulusevski
Slovenia arrive here on the back of a three game unbeaten run. If they make it four then they will avoid relegation. Given how they played in their previous match, we expect an unchanged team.
Slovenia Predicted lineup – Oblak, Sikosek, Karnicnik, Bijol, Blazic, Verbic, Kkurtic, Gnezda, Stojanovic, Sporar, Sesko
A quickfire FAQ on Sweden vs Slovenia
- Where is the match being hosted? – Friends Arena
- Who do the bookmakers have as favourites? – Sweden
- What time does the match kick off? 7 45 GMT
