Slovenia vs Denmark prediction, odds & betting tips – 16/06/2024

Slovenia and Denmark clash in their UEFA Euro 2024 Group C opener on Sunday. Our Slovenia vs Denmark prediction considers whether either side can make it a winning start in Stuttgart.

Slovenia vs Denmark prediction: Sesko to strike, but Danes to triumph

Key stats

  • Our Slovenia vs Denmark betting tips take into account that five of the last seven matches involving Slovenia have seen both teams score, including a Euro 2024 qualifier against the Danes.
  • Denmark have only kept two clean sheets in their last eight internationals.
  • Kasper Hjulmand’s side have a 75% win ratio over the past 12 months.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Denmark favourites to make winning start

  • SLOVENIA: 4/1 (5.00) – 20.0%
  • DRAW: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%
  • DENMARK: 8/11 (1.73) – 57.9%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The Danes are the favourites according to the Slovenia vs Denmark odds with an implied probability of 57.9% that they make the perfect start to Group C which also features England and Serbia.

Denmark come into this game after friendly wins over Nordic neighbours Sweden and Norway with Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg, Jannik Vestergaard and Yussuf Poulsen on target in a 3-1 win over the Norwegians last weekend.

It was a less convincing build-up for Slovenia who beat Armenia 2-1 and drew 1-1 against Bulgaria in friendlies with Andraz Sporar scoring in the latter match.

For more of the latest football picks, today’s betting tips feature some of the best bets from this weekend’s action.

Last five H2Hs: Sides clash again after close qualifiers

Our Slovenia vs Denmark prediction takes into account the two close games between the sides in Euro 2024 qualifying. Both teams scored in each match with a 1-1 draw in Ljubljana followed by a 2-1 Denmark win in Copenhagen. The Danes have won three of the last four meetings overall.

Euro 2023 Qualifying 17/11/23

Denmark

Denmark

2
Slovenia

Slovenia

1

Euro 2023 Qualifying 19/06/23

Slovenia

Slovenia

1
Denmark

Denmark

1

Slovenia preview: Kek expected to have full squad available

There are no major issues for the underdogs with Benjamin Verbic expected to be fit after a minor issue. They’re likely to line up 4-4-2 with Benjamin Sesko their main goal threat up top.

Predicted Lineup: Oblak (GK), Janza, Bijol, Blazic, Karnicnik, Mlakar, Elsnik, Cerin, Horvat, Sesko & Sporar

Euro 2024 01/07/24

L

Portugal

Portugal

0 (3)

Slovenia

Slovenia

0 (0)

Euro 2024 25/06/24

D

England

England

0

Slovenia

Slovenia

0

Euro 2024 20/06/24

D

Serbia

Serbia

1

Slovenia

Slovenia

1

Euro 2024 16/06/24

D

Denmark

Denmark

1

Slovenia

Slovenia

1

International Match 08/06/24

D

Bulgaria

Bulgaria

1

Slovenia

Slovenia

1

Denmark preview: Nelsson blow ahead of tournament

There has been one change already to Denmark’s Euro 2024 squad with defender Victor Nelsson having to pull out with an injury. Mathias Jorgensen has been called up as his replacement with Kasper Hjulmand expected to play with three centre-backs and two wing-backs.

Predicted Lineup: Schmeichel (GK), Vestergaard, Christensen, Andersen, Kristiansen, Hojbjerg, Eriksen, Hjulmand, Maehle, Hojlund & Damsgaard

Euro 2024 29/06/24

L

Germany

Germany

2

Denmark

Denmark

0

Euro 2024 25/06/24

D

Serbia

Serbia

0

Denmark

Denmark

0

Euro 2024 20/06/24

D

England

England

1

Denmark

Denmark

1

Euro 2024 16/06/24

D

Slovenia

Slovenia

1

Denmark

Denmark

1

International Match 08/06/24

W

Norway

Norway

1

Denmark

Denmark

3

Player to watch – Benjamin Sesko

If Slovenia are going to make any progress in this tournament, forward Benjamin Sesko will need to play well and he takes great form into the Euros. The 21 year old averaged a goal every 110 minutes in the Bundesliga for RB Leipzig this term, scoring in all of his final seven league appearances.

slovenia vs denmark predictions
Benjamin Sesko has scored 11 times for his country in 29 appearances – Photo by Icon Sport

Sesko striking after the break

The talented young forward tended to do most of his damage after the interval in the Bundesliga. 71% of his goals came in the Second Half while both of his Champions League goals also came after the break against Young Boys.

The latest Tweets from each camp

Slovenia

Denmark


Mark is a freelance football writer based in Madrid. He regularly attends and covers La Liga matches around Spain, whilst also following football across Europe.