All eyes will be on Stadion Stozice as Slovenia and Slovakia battle for a place in the second tier of the UEFA Nations League on Sunday, 23 March 2025.
View our free Slovenia vs Slovakia predictions below.
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Slovenia vs Slovakia predictions: A low-scoring affair
Key stats
- Fewer than three goals were scored in five of Slovenia's last six meetings with Slovakia.
- The last three encounters between these sides ended in stalemates.
- Slovakia opened the scoring in 10 of their last 13 games in all competitions.
- The first leg of this tie was a goalless draw.
Correct score prediction: Slovenia 1-1 Slovakia
Eight of Slovenia's last 12 matches across all competitions were tied at the end of regulation time. Keeping in mind that three consecutive meetings between these teams ended in stalemates, we believe this match will go into extra time.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Slovenia are expected winners
- HOME: 6/4 (2.50) – 40%
- DRAW: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.3%
- AWAY: 19/10 (2.90) – 34.5%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Slovenia were third in the UEFA Nations League B2 with a 2-2-2 win-draw-loss record. The hosts have been a tough team to beat, especially at home, where they have lost only once since June 2022.
Slovakia, on the other hand, finished second in League C1 with a 4-1-1 record. While they are battling for promotion, Slovenia will be fighting to stay in the second tier of the Nations League.
Interestingly, Slovakia have lost only one away game since October 2023.
Ahead of this encounter, Slovenia are the expected winners at 6/4 (2.50). Teams with these odds generally have a 40% probability of winning.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Slovenia vs Slovakia predictions.
It is also worth mentioning that four of Slovakia's last five away games produced goals at both ends. On that note, BTTS – Yes has an appealing look at 1/1 (2.00). That one has a 50% chance of landing.
Most recent H2Hs: Another stalemate on the cards?
In the last five clashes between Slovenia and Slovakia, both teams have one win apiece with three draws between them.
UEFA Nations League 20/03/25
Slovakia
Slovenia
Europe - World Cup Qualifying 11/11/21
Slovakia
Slovenia
Europe - World Cup Qualifying 01/09/21
Slovenia
Slovakia
Europe - World Cup Qualifying 01/09/17
Slovakia
Slovenia
Europe - World Cup Qualifying 08/10/16
Slovenia
Slovakia
Slovenia preview: Looking to get back to winning ways
Midfielder Jan Mlakar picked up an injury during the first leg and is now questionable for the return fixture.
Predicted lineup: Oblak (GK), Janza, Bijol, Drkusic, Karnicnik, Stojanovic, Lovric, Elsnik, Vipotnik, Petrovic & Sesko.
UEFA Nations League 23/03/25
W
Slovakia
0
Slovenia
1
UEFA Nations League 20/03/25
D
Slovakia
0
Slovenia
0
UEFA Nations League B 17/11/24
D
Austria
1
Slovenia
1
UEFA Nations League B 14/11/24
L
Norway
4
Slovenia
1
UEFA Nations League B 13/10/24
W
Kazakhstan
0
Slovenia
1
Slovakia preview: Eyeing a return to League B
Defender Denis Vavro is expected to be ruled out for Francesco Calzona's side after picking up an injury on Thursday in Bratislava.
Predicted lineup: Dubravka (GK), Gyomber, Mesik, Skriniar, Hancko, Bero, Lobotka, Duda, Haraslin, Bozenik & Suslov.
UEFA Nations League 23/03/25
L
Slovenia
1
Slovakia
0
UEFA Nations League 20/03/25
D
Slovenia
0
Slovakia
0
UEFA Nations League C 19/11/24
W
Estonia
0
Slovakia
1
UEFA Nations League C 16/11/24
L
Sweden
2
Slovakia
1
UEFA Nations League C 14/10/24
W
Azerbaijan
1
Slovakia
3
Player to watch: Lukas Haraslin
Lukas Haraslin was unimpressive in the first leg. Not only did he fail to register a shot on target, but the Sparta Prague forward was 0 for 3 in dribble attempts. However, Haraslin has scored four goals in his last four appearances, so it will be interesting to see how he performs on Sunday evening.