Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano prediction, odds & betting tips 08/03/2026
Sevilla have lost only one of their last 20 encounters with Rayo Vallecano. - Photo by IMAGO/Alberto Gardin
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Over 0.5 Rayo Vallecano red cards

Rayo Vallecano were awarded four red cards in their last four away games and finished with 10 men in two of the last three H2Hs.

Three valuable points will be at stake when Sevilla and Rayo Vallecano lock horns in the 27th round of La Liga at Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan on Sunday, 8 March 2026.

View our free Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano predictions with odds from Bet365 below.

Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano predictions: Goals at both ends

Key stats

  • Both teams found the net in six of Sevilla's last seven matches.
  • Sevilla and Rayo Vallecano have no losses in their last four respective games.
  • Six of the last seven H2Hs produced at least five cards.

Correct score prediction: Sevilla 1-1 Rayo Vallecano

While Sevilla are unbeaten in their last four matches, it is worth mentioning that three of those were stalemates, two of which ended 1-1.

Interestingly, two of Rayo Vallecano's last three games had the same scoreline, as did three of the last eight meetings between these sides.

On that note, we believe that both teams' respective unbeaten runs will continue with a draw.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Sevilla slightly favoured

  • HOME: 11/8 (2.38) – 42.1%
  • DRAW: 11/5 (3.20) – 31.3%
  • AWAY: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.3%

*Odds from Bet365, subject to change

Rayo Vallecano returned to winning ways with a comfortable 3-0 victory over Real Oviedo earlier this week. They are now on a four-game unbeaten run and will look to keep the momentum going ahead of their UEFA Conference League round of 16 tie next week.

On the other hand, Sevilla played out a 2-2 draw with local rivals Real Betis last weekend, extending their unbeaten run to four matches. The Andalusian giants are 13th in La Liga, tied on points (30) with Rayo Vallecano, who are currently in 12th place.

Ahead of this skirmish, Sevilla are the expected winners at 11/8 (2.38). Teams with these odds generally have a 42.1% probability of winning.

Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano predictions.

It is also fair to note that there were at least 11 corners in four of the last five clashes between these teams. For this reason, over 10.5 total corners has an appealing look at 11/10 (2.10). That one has a 47.6% chance of landing.

Most recent H2Hs: Sevilla have bragging rights

Sevilla are unbeaten in their last six encounters with Rayo Vallecano and have lost only one of their last 20 H2Hs, stretching back to the 2011/12 season.

Spain La Liga 28/09/25

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

0
Sevilla

Sevilla

1

Spain La Liga 01/03/25

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

1
Sevilla

Sevilla

1

Spain La Liga 24/11/24

Sevilla

Sevilla

1
Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

0

Spain La Liga 05/02/24

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

1
Sevilla

Sevilla

2

Spain La Liga 07/10/23

Sevilla

Sevilla

2
Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

2

Sevilla preview: Few absences

Sevilla will have to do without Ruben Vargas and Marcao this weekend due to injuries.

Head coach Almeyda will serve the second of his seven-match suspension in this clash, with the 52-year-old heavily punished by the Spanish Football Federation for improper conduct in the draw against Deportivo Alaves on 14 February. Also suspended for this trip are Joan Jordan (red card) and Tanguy Nianzhou (accumulated yellow cards).

Predicted lineup: Vlachodimos (GK), Salas, Gudelj, Azpilicueta, Carmona, Suazo, Mendy, Agoume, Fernandez, Maupay & Adams

Last five matches

  • 01/03/26: Real Betis 2-2 Sevilla (La Liga)
  • 22/02/26: Getafe 0-1 Sevilla (La Liga)
  • 14/02/26: Sevilla 1-1 Deportivo Alaves (La Liga)
  • 08/02/26: Sevilla 1-1 Girona (La Liga)
  • 02/02/26: Mallorca 4-1 Sevilla (La Liga)

Rayo Vallecano preview: Looking to extend their unbeaten run

Diego Mendez is sidelined with a knee injury and has not played a competitive game for Rayo Vallecano this season, while Pathe Ciss is listed as questionable.

Predicted lineup: Batalla (GK), Espino, Mendy, Lejeune, Ratiu, Gumbau, Valentin, Garcia, Palazon, Akhomach & de Frutos

Last five matches

  • 04/03/26: Rayo Vallecano 3-0 Real Oviedo (La Liga)
  • 28/02/26: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Athletic Bilbao (La Liga)
  • 21/02/26 Real Betis 2-2 Rayo Vallecano (La Liga)
  • 15/02/26 Rayo Vallecano 3-0 Atletico Madrid (La Liga)
  • 01/02/26 Real Madrid 2-1 Rayo Vallecano (La Liga)

Player to watch: Jorge de Frutos

Jorge de Frutos player to watch (Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano)
Jorge de Frutos is Rayo Vallecano's top scorer across all competitions this season. – Photo by IMAGO/Ricardo Larreina Amador

Jorge de Frutos is coming off an impressive performance, as he scored a brace in Rayo Vallecano's 3-0 victory over Real Oviedo last weekend. The former Levante and Real Madrid forward has three goals in his last two appearances and will look to extend that run on Sunday evening.

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Kelechi is a huge sports fan with over 10 years of betting experience. He has written for a few publications like Afrik-Foot, What Are The Odds, Mighty Tips and Pundit Feed