Atletico Madrid head to the Ramon Sanchez-Pizjuan this weekend looking to bounce back from their latest setback. Our Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid prediction and La Liga betting tips consider whether Diego Simeone’s side can claim a morale-boosting victory in Andalusia.
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Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid prediction: Hosts to win the corner count and get a result
Key stats
- Our Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid betting tips take into account that 93% of Sevilla’s home league games this term have produced under 3.5 goals.
- 86% of Atleti away fixtures in La Liga have done likewise.
- Sevilla average 5.43 corners per home game, while Atleti have averaged just 3.57 per game away in La Liga.
Correct score prediction: Sevilla 1-1 Atletico Madrid
Atleti’s season is as good as over now, after some painful defeats over the past few weeks. Their squad is likely to be feeling deflated as a result, and this is a decent opportunity for Sevilla.
Garcia Pimienta should be able to field a stronger Sevilla lineup this weekend than was the case in the derby last time out, and his team look capable of getting a result.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Atleti favoured by the bookies
- HOME: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4%
- DRAW: 11/5 (3.20) – 31.3%
- AWAY: 23/20 (2.15) – 46.5%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The visitors are the favourites according to the Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid odds, with an implied probability of 46.5% that they win this match.
They head into this game after losing 1-0 to Barcelona in midweek, with Ferran Torres scoring to settle their Copa del Rey tie which was level at 4-4 from the first leg.
As for Sevilla, they suffered derby disappointment last time out, going down 2-1 away to city rivals Real Betis.
For more from the upcoming matches in Europe, today’s football betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Positive memories for Sevilla
Our Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid prediction suggests that Simeone’s men will struggle on this ground again, having lost on three of their last four visits.
Only one of the last six meetings in Seville has served up over 2.5 goals.
Spain La Liga 08/12/24
Atletico Madrid
Sevilla
Spain La Liga 11/02/24
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
Spain Copa del Rey 25/01/24
Atletico Madrid
Sevilla
Spain La Liga 23/12/23
Atletico Madrid
Sevilla
Spain La Liga 03/09/23
Atletico Madrid
Sevilla
Sevilla preview: Changes in midfield likely
Lucien Agoume and Djibril Sow are available again here and may come into the midfield, but defender Tanguy Nianzou is still out injured.
Predicted Lineup: Nyland (GK), Pedrosa, Salas, Bade, Carmona, Sow, Agoume, Saul, Vargas, Romero & Lukebakio
Spain La Liga 11/04/25 L Valencia 1 Sevilla 0 Spain La Liga 06/04/25 L Atletico Madrid 2 Sevilla 1 Spain La Liga 30/03/25 L Real Betis 2 Sevilla 1 Spain La Liga 16/03/25 L Athletic Bilbao 1 Sevilla 0 Spain La Liga 09/03/25 W Real Sociedad 0 Sevilla 1
Atletico Madrid preview: Two suspensions for Simeone
The visitors are doing well on the injury front, but they are set to be without Angel Correa and Jose Maria Gimenez due to suspensions.
Predicted Lineup: Oblak (GK), Galan, Lenglet, Le Normand, Molina, Gallagher, Barrios, De Paul, Simeone, Alvarez & Griezmann
Spain La Liga 14/04/25 W Valladolid 2 Atletico Madrid 4 Spain La Liga 06/04/25 W Sevilla 1 Atletico Madrid 2 Spain Copa del Rey 02/04/25 L Barcelona 1 Atletico Madrid 0 Spain La Liga 29/03/25 D Espanyol 1 Atletico Madrid 1 Spain La Liga 16/03/25 L Barcelona 4 Atletico Madrid 2
Player to watch – Dodi Lukebakio
The main attacking weapon from a Sevilla perspective is certainly Dodi Lukebakio. The Belgian winger has chipped in with 11 goals in 29 appearances so far this term.
Lukebakio not shy to shoot
The 27-year-old averages 2.4 shots per game in La Liga. That’s more than any other player who could potentially feature in this match.