Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid prediction, odds & betting tips – 11/02/2024

Sevilla
11/02/24 - 17:30

Finished

1

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0

Atletico Madrid

Sevilla - Atletico Madrid

Spain Primera Liga - Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan

Sevilla and Atletico Madrid meet at the Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan this Sunday. Our Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid prediction and La Liga betting tips consider whether the hosts have really turned a corner after a much needed win last time out.

Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid prediction – Betting tips & odds

Hot Tip – Atletico Madrid to Win

  • Sevilla are winless at home since September in all competitions.
  • They’ve picked up just 11 points in 12 games at the Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan this term. Only 3 teams have worse home records.

Our Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid betting tips suggest Diego Simeone’s team will be strong enough to go again despite a heavy schedule in recent weeks.

Latest odds

Head to Head

25/01/24

Spain Copa del Rey Spain

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

Sevilla

Sevilla

1

0

23/12/23

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

Sevilla

Sevilla

1

0

03/09/23

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

Sevilla

Sevilla

0

0

06/08/23

Elite Club Friendlies Elite

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

Sevilla

Sevilla

1

1

04/03/23

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

Sevilla

Sevilla

6

1

Last Five - Sevilla

25/02/24

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

Sevilla

Sevilla

1

0

L

17/02/24

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Valencia

Valencia

Sevilla

Sevilla

0

0

D

11/02/24

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

Sevilla

Sevilla

0

1

W

05/02/24

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

Sevilla

Sevilla

1

2

W

28/01/24

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Osasuna

Osasuna

Sevilla

Sevilla

1

1

D

Last Five - Atletico Madrid

24/02/24

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Almeria

Almeria

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

2

2

D

20/02/24

UEFA Champions League UCL

Inter Milan

Inter Milan

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

1

0

L

17/02/24

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Las Palmas

Las Palmas

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

0

5

W

11/02/24

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Sevilla

Sevilla

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

1

0

L

07/02/24

Spain Copa del Rey Spain

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

1

0

L

Win probability

  • HOME: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.8%
  • DRAW: 44/17 (3.59) – 27.9%
  • AWAY: 23/20 (2.15) – 46.5%

The Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid odds point towards a road win being the most likely outcome.

If you fancy the hosts to get a result, Sevilla-Draw Double Chance is available at 31/40 (1.78), an implied probability of 56.3%.

Alvaro Morata is the 24/5 (5.80) favourite to score first, an implied probability of 17.2%.

Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid prediction – Other tips

Sevilla 1-2 Atletico Madrid

  • Our Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid prediction suggests Sevilla will lose for the 4th time in 5 home league matches.
  • After a poor run of away defeats, Atleti have been more assured in recent road games, beating Granada and drawing the derby at the Santiago Bernabeu.

Both teams to score

  • All of Sevilla’s last four games have seen both teams score.
  • The Andalusians are offering a greater goal threat now with Youssef En-Nesyri back from AFCON duty and scoring twice last time out.

Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid prediction

Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid team news

Sevilla

The Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid lineups may see the hosts try to keep changes to a minimum after their win against Rayo last time out. Sevilla are still missing Kike Salas, Nemanja Gudelj, Dodi Lukebakio, Tanguy Nianzou, Marcao and Lucien Agoume to injury while Mariano is a doubt.

Predicted Lineup: Nyland (GK), Acuna, Ramos, Bade, Navas, Ocampos, Soumare, Sow, Suso, Romero, En-Nesyri

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid played on Wednesday night in the Copa del Rey Semi-Finals, losing 1-0 to Athletic and Diego Simeone could make light changes. Saul is suspended while Thomas Lemar and Cesar Azpilicueta are injured. Jose Maria Gimenez is a doubt.

Predicted Lineup: Oblak (GK), Hermoso, Witsel, Savic, Lino, Koke, De Paul, Llorente, Molina, Griezmann, Morata

Confirmed lineups will appear here around 60 minutes before kickoff.

Sevilla

Sevilla
4-4-2
4
Sergio Ramos
es
24
Boubakary Soumare
fr
20
Isaac Romero Bernal
es
22
Loic Bade
fr
5
Lucas Ocampos
ar
21
Oliver Torres
es
18
Djibril Sow
ch
19
Marcos Acuna
ar
13
Orjan Nyland
no
16
Jesus Navas
es
15
Youssef En-Nesyri
ma
Substitutes
8
Joan Jordan
es
3
Adria Pedrosa
es
46
Hannibal Mejbri
tn
26
Juanlu
es
29
Dario Benavides Fuentes
es
41
Stanis Idumbo-Muzambo
be
33
Matias Arbol
es
38
Diego Hormigo Iturralde
es
7
Suso
es
1
Marko Dmitrovic
rs
25
Adnan Januzaj
be
17
Erik Lamela
ar

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid
3-5-2
7
Antoine Griezmann
fr
6
Koke
es
24
Pablo Barrios Rivas
es
5
Rodrigo De Paul
ar
13
Jan Oblak
si
20
Axel Witsel
be
22
Mario Hermoso
es
12
Lino
pt
14
Marcos Llorente
es
4
Gabriel Paulista
br
19
Alvaro Morata
es
Substitutes
18
Arthur Vermeeren
be
10
Angel Correa
ar
9
Memphis Depay
nl
23
Reinildo Mandava
mz
16
Nahuel Molina
ar
31
Antonio Gomis Aleman
es
1
Horatiu Moldovan
ro
17
Rodrigo Riquelme
es
15
Stefan Savic
me

Player to watch – Alvaro Morata

Alvaro Morata has been struggling with a minor injury over the past fortnight but he’s expected to start here despite the good form of Memphis Depay.

Morata is having one of his best ever seasons with 19 goals in all competitions for Atleti. He averages 2.3 shots per game in La Liga.

Check out our football betting tips page for more free predictions and picks.


Avatar of Mark Sochon
Mark Sochon

Mark is a freelance football writer based in Madrid. He regularly attends and covers La Liga matches around Spain, whilst also following football across Europe.