Sevilla vs Athletic Club prediction, odds & betting tips – 16/03/2025
Nico Williams was at his best in midweek against Roma - Photo by IMAGO.
🔥 Our Hot tip

Draw no bet - Sevilla to win

Athletic Club have only won one of their nine league games this season immediately following European matches.

Athletic Club travel to Andalusia on Sunday, following an excellent night in Europe. Our Sevilla vs Athletic Club prediction and La Liga betting tips consider whether they can take all the points from this one.

Sevilla vs Athletic Club prediction: Lukebakio to strike in home win

Key stats

  • Our Sevilla vs Athletic Club betting tips take into account that the visitors have only won 36% of their away games this term in the Spanish top flight.
  • Sevilla have only lost one of their last nine games in La Liga.
  • 77% of Sevilla home games have served up under 2.5 goals.

Correct score prediction: Sevilla 1-0 Athletic Club

Athletic’s tendency for a European hangover suggests they could be vulnerable here, particularly against a strong Sevilla side that has grown in confidence as the season has progressed.

Garcia Pimienta’s side look quite well-organised defensively, and with Dodi Lukebakio impressing on the right flank, they may have just enough to edge this.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Athletic the slight favourites

  • HOME: 19/10 (2.90) – 34.5%
  • DRAW: 11/5 (3.20) – 31.3%
  • AWAY: 29/20 (2.45) – 40.8%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The visitors are the favourites according to the Sevilla vs Athletic Club odds, with an implied probability of 40.8% that they win this match.

They were 3-1 winners over Roma on Thursday night, with Nico Williams scoring twice to seal a 4-3 aggregate win in the Europa League.

As for Sevilla, they were 1-0 winners away to Real Sociedad in their last game, with Chidera Ejuke netting the winner.

For more from the upcoming matches around Europe, today’s free football tips look at some of the best picks.

Most recent H2Hs: Low-scoring games the norm

Our Sevilla vs Athletic Club prediction suggests we won’t get many goals in this, and all of the last six meetings have served up under 2.5 goals.

Sevilla have only won one of their last four at home to Athletic in La Liga.

Spain La Liga 29/09/24

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

1
Sevilla

Sevilla

1

Spain La Liga 19/05/24

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

2
Sevilla

Sevilla

0

Spain La Liga 04/01/24

Sevilla

Sevilla

0
Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

2

Spain La Liga 27/04/23

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

0
Sevilla

Sevilla

1

Spain La Liga 08/10/22

Sevilla

Sevilla

1
Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

1

Sevilla preview: Pimienta’s problems easing

The home team are doing much better on the fitness front now, with only defender Tanguy Nianzou expected to be unavailable for this game.

Predicted Lineup: Nyland (GK), Pedrosa, Salas, Bade, Carmona, Agoume, Sow, Saul, Ejuke, Romero & Lukebakio

Spain La Liga 13/05/25

W

Las Palmas

Las Palmas

0

Sevilla

Sevilla

1

Spain La Liga 10/05/25

L

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

3

Sevilla

Sevilla

2

Spain La Liga 04/05/25

D

Leganes

Leganes

2

Sevilla

Sevilla

2

Spain La Liga 24/04/25

L

Osasuna

Osasuna

1

Sevilla

Sevilla

0

Spain La Liga 20/04/25

D

CD Alaves

CD Alaves

1

Sevilla

Sevilla

1

Athletic Club preview: Rotation expected from Valverde

The away team are likely to make some changes following their European exploits. They still have doubts over key men Oihan Sancet and Dani Vivian.

Predicted Lineup: Simon (GK), Boiro, Paredes, Yeray, Gorosabel, Prados, Ruiz de Galarreta, N. Williams, Berenguer, I. Williams & Sannadi

Spain La Liga 11/05/25

W

CD Alaves

CD Alaves

0

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

1

UEFA Europa League 08/05/25

L

Man Utd

Man Utd

4

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

1

Spain La Liga 04/05/25

D

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

0

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

0

UEFA Europa League 01/05/25

L

Man Utd

Man Utd

3

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

0

Spain La Liga 23/04/25

W

Las Palmas

Las Palmas

0

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

1

Player to watch – Dodi Lukebakio

While Athletic have two of the best wingers in La Liga to call upon in the shape of the Williams brothers, neither can match Lukebakio’s goal return this season. The Belgian wideman has scored 11 times in 27 league appearances for Sevilla.

sevilla vs athletic club prediction
Lukebakio in action against Rayo – Photo by IMAGO.

Lukebakio scoring at the death

The 27-year-old has been particularly effective in the closing stages of games. 45% of his league goals this term have come after the 75th minute.

spanish league predictions

Mark is a freelance football writer based in Madrid. He regularly attends and covers La Liga matches around Spain, whilst also following football across Europe.