Spain are back in action in the UEFA Nations League on Tuesday. Our Spain vs Serbia prediction considers which team will prevail in Cordoba.
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Spain vs Serbia prediction: Hosts to claim narrow win to nil
Key stats
- Our Spain vs Serbia betting tips take into account that La Roja have won 10 of their last 11 matches, including one victory in Extra Time.
- There have been under 2.5 goals in all of Serbia’s last six matches.
- Serbia have failed to score in four of their last six matches.
Correct score prediction: Spain 1-0 Serbia
Serbia operated defensively in the reverse fixture last month and ground out a 0-0 draw and they’ll likely employ similar tactics here. Spain are missing a host of key players so a big victory seems unlikely, but they should still have enough quality to secure three points.
Pre-game odds and win probability: La Roja the clear favourites
- HOME: 1/3 (1.33) – 75.0%
- DRAW: 4/1 (5.00) – 20.0%
- AWAY: 7/1 (8.00) – 12.5%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The hosts are the favourites according to the Spain vs Serbia odds with an implied probability of 75.0% that they win this match.
They were late 1-0 winners over Denmark last time out, with Martin Zubimendi firing in a long-range strike to settle the game in Murcia.
As for Serbia, they head into this after defeating Switzerland 2-0 with Aleksandar Mitrovic sealing the win.
For more of the best picks, today’s free football betting tips look at the upcoming action in Europe and beyond.
Most recent H2Hs: Sides meet again after Belgrade stalemate
Our Spain vs Serbia prediction suggests that unlike last month, La Roja will find a way through. Three of the last four meetings have been drawn, with Spain’s last win coming in a 2012 friendly.
UEFA Nations League A 05/09/24
Serbia
Spain
Spain preview: Yamal returns to Barca
Youngster Lamine Yamal has withdrawn from the squad due to an injury concern. Spain are also missing Euro 2024 winners Unai Simon, Robin Le Normand, Dani Carvajal, Rodri, Dani Olmo and Nico Williams.
Predicted Lineup: Raya (GK), Cucurella, Laporte, Cubarsi, Porro, Zubimendi, Merino, Pedri, Zaragoza, Morata & Baena
UEFA Nations League 23/03/25 W Netherlands 3 (4) Spain 3 (5) UEFA Nations League 20/03/25 D Netherlands 2 Spain 2 UEFA Nations League A 18/11/24 W Switzerland 2 Spain 3 UEFA Nations League A 15/11/24 W Denmark 1 Spain 2 UEFA Nations League A 15/10/24 W Serbia 0 Spain 3
Serbia preview: Visitors to opt for continuity?
After a good win over Switzerland, the away team may limit the changes here. There will be at least one though, given Fulham’s Sasa Lukic has withdrawn injured.
Predicted Lineup: Rajkovic (GK), Erakovic, Milenkovic, Pavlovic, Nedeljkovic, Maksimovic, Grujic, Birmancevic, Samardzic, Cumic & Mitrovic
UEFA Nations League 23/03/25 W Austria 0 Serbia 2 UEFA Nations League 20/03/25 D Austria 1 Serbia 1 UEFA Nations League A 18/11/24 D Denmark 0 Serbia 0 UEFA Nations League A 15/11/24 D Switzerland 1 Serbia 1 UEFA Nations League A 15/10/24 L Spain 3 Serbia 0
Player to watch – Alvaro Morata
With seven of the Spanish players who started the Euro 2024 final missing, there’ll likely be even more dependence on captain Alvaro Morata to provide the experience up top. The often criticised striker has scored 36 times in 81 appearances for his country.
Morata two off becoming Spain’s third highest scorer
By any standards, Morata has a healthy goal return in international football. He needs just two more goals to go level with Fernando Torres on 38 goals for La Roja.