Senegal and Sudan will get the ball rolling in the round of 16 of the Africa Cup of Nations when they clash at Grande de Tangier on Saturday, with a quarter-final place up for grabs.
Pape Thiaw's team finished top of Group D with seven points after two victories and a draw, while Sudan only managed to book their place in this round as one of the best third-placed teams after the first round.
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Contents
- 1 Senegal vs Sudan predictions: Senegal looking to make up for 2023 disappointment
- 2 Most recent H2Hs: Senegal have dominated this fixture
- 3 Senegal Preview: The West Africans will miss Kalidou Koulibaly
- 4 Sudan preview: Sudan are seeking their first last-eight appearance since 1970
- 5 Player to watch: Nicolas Jackson
Senegal vs Sudan predictions: Senegal looking to make up for 2023 disappointment
Key stats
- Senegal are unbeaten in their last four fixtures (W3, D1).
- The Teranga Lions scored seven goals and conceded only one in their last three matches.
- Sudan won only one of their last five matches (W1, L4).
- Senegal are unbeaten in their last seven meetings against Sudan.
Correct score prediction: Senegal 2-0 Sudan
Heading into this contest, Senegal are widely favoured to come away with a victory in this match, and the reason for that is not far-fetched. The Senegalese remain unbeaten after three matches in the competition, and they are bringing their attacking quality to bare scoring three times in two matches, and conceding only once.
Meanwhile, Sudan have been inconsistent, winning only two of their last 15 encounters across all competitions and struggling in front of goal. With that in mind, Senegal are a good value for a 2-0 win.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Senegal all the way
- HOME: 1/6 (1.16) – 85.6%
- DRAW: 19/4 (5.75) – 17.39%
- AWAY: 12/1 (13.0) – 7.69%
**Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The bookmakers are backing Senegal to carry the day, with a Senegal victory priced at 1/6 (1.16), which means an implied probability of 85.6% that Pape Thiaw's charges will emerge victorious.
A win for Sudan is valued at 12/1 (13.0), which translates to 7.69% chance that the North Africans will spring a surprise and dump out Senegal from the competition.
Most recent H2Hs: Senegal have dominated this fixture
Considering the last seven meetings between these teams, Senegal have emerged victorious five times, with two encounters ending in draws. More so, the Sudanese have all been able to breach the Senegalese defence once in those meetings.
Africa - World Cup Qualifying 05/09/25
Senegal
Sudan
African Nations Championship 29/08/25
Sudan
Senegal
African Nations Championship 19/08/25
Sudan
Senegal
Africa - World Cup Qualifying 22/03/25
Sudan
Senegal
Senegal Preview: The West Africans will miss Kalidou Koulibaly
Senegal has a vast majority of their players available for this encounter, but they will be without Kalidou Koulibaly, who got his marching orders against Benin Republic. In his absence, Abdoulaye Seck could start on Saturday.
Ilay Camara (muscle) and Assane Diao (thigh) will not be involved as well, as they are currently recovering from injuries.
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Predicted lineup: Mendy (GK), Jakobs, Niakhate, Seck, Diatta; P. Gueye, I.Gueye, Ndiaye, Mane, Sarr & Jackson
Last five matches
- Benin 0-3 Senegal
- Senegal 1-1 DR Congo
- Senegal 3-0 Botswana
- Senegal 8-0 Kenya
- Brazil 2-0 Senegal
Sudan preview: Sudan are seeking their first last-eight appearance since 1970
Since lifting the trophy in 1970, Sudan have done next to nothing at the Africa Cup of Nations; now that they have managed to reach the second round in decades, they will be looking to cause an upset.
Predicted lineup: Elneel (GK), Awad, Saeed Ahmed, Karshom, Khamis, Taifour, Alhassan Omer, Nooh, Eisa & Abdelrahman
Last five matches
- Sudan 0-1 Burkina Faso
- Equatorial Guinea 0-1 Sudan
- Algeria 3-0 Sudan
- Bahrain 3-1Sudan
- Sudan 0-2 Iraq
Player to watch: Nicolas Jackson
Nicolas Jackson has scored twice in three matches, and going into their round of 16 encounter against Sudan, the Chelsea forward, who is on loan at Bayern Munich, will look to add to his tally on Saturday.
Nicolas Jackson will be eager to increase his goal-scoring with Senegal. Photo: Imago | Credit: STEINSIEK.CH