🔥 Our Hot tip

Seattle Sounders to win (+2 handicap)

Atletico Madrid have won just one of their last 10 games away from the Estadio Metropolitano by more than a single goal.

The bottom two sides in Group B at the Club World Cup meet on Thursday. Our Seattle Sounders vs Atletico Madrid prediction considers whether Diego Simeone’s team can bounce back from a heavy opening defeat.

Seattle Sounders vs Atletico Madrid prediction: Alvarez to score in narrow Atleti win

Key stats

  • Our Seattle Sounders vs Atletico Madrid betting tips take into account that the MLS side have only lost one out of eight at home in their league this season.
  • They’ve only failed to score on one occasion at Lumen Field in 2025.
  • Atletico Madrid conceded four goals, received a red card, and conceded a penalty in a single competitive game for the first time under Simeone in their opening match.

Correct score prediction: Seattle Sounders 1-2 Atletico Madrid

It was a really poor start to the competition from Atleti, and that’s a worry for their boss given they were not particularly convincing in the latter stages of their domestic season either.

This game is clearly a much more winnable one against unfancied Seattle, but they do have defensive flaws, and with key forward Antoine Griezmann badly out of form, Los Rojiblancos may struggle to win this by more than a single goal.

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Pre-game odds and win probability: Spaniards expected to triumph

  • SEATTLE: 9/1 (10.00) – 10.0%
  • DRAW: 19/4 (5.75) – 17.4%
  • ATLETICO: 2/7 (1.29) – 77.8%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The team from La Liga are the favourites according to the Seattle Sounders vs Atletico Madrid odds, with an implied probability of 77.8% that they win this match.

They were beaten 4-0 by PSG in the opener, with Clement Lenglet capping a miserable afternoon with a red card.

As for Seattle, they are already faced with an almost impossible task in terms of trying to get out of this group, following a 2-1 defeat to Botafogo.

For more from the upcoming matches, today’s free football betting tips look at some of the best picks.

Most recent H2Hs: Clubs set for first meeting

Our Seattle Sounders vs Atletico Madrid prediction suggests the Spanish side will edge the first ever competitive meeting between the clubs.

Seattle Sounders preview: Two players missing

Brian Schmetzer is missing two players to injury, with Stuart Hawkins and Paul Arriola both sidelined currently.

Predicted Lineup: Frei (GK), Tolo, Kim, Ragen, A. Roldan, C. Roldan, Vargas, Ferreira, Rusnak, Kent & Musovski

USA MLS 11/05/25

W

Houston Dynamo

Houston Dynamo

1

Seattle Sounders

Seattle Sounders

3

USA MLS 04/05/25

W

St. Louis City SC

St. Louis City SC

1

Seattle Sounders

Seattle Sounders

4

USA MLS 27/04/25

D

Colorado Rapids

Colorado Rapids

1

Seattle Sounders

Seattle Sounders

1

USA MLS 19/04/25

W

Nashville SC

Nashville SC

0

Seattle Sounders

Seattle Sounders

3

USA MLS 13/04/25

W

FC Dallas

FC Dallas

0

Seattle Sounders

Seattle Sounders

1

Atletico Madrid preview: Lenglet serves ban with changes likely

After seeing red against PSG, Lenglet won’t be available for this game. Simeone is likely to make other changes too, with Alexander Sorloth potentially coming in up front.

Predicted Lineup: Oblak (GK), Galan, Le Normand, Gimenez, Llorente, Lino, Barrios, De Paul, Simeone, Alvarez & Sorloth

Spain La Liga 10/05/25

W

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

0

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

4

Spain La Liga 03/05/25

D

CD Alaves

CD Alaves

0

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

0

Spain La Liga 24/04/25

W

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

0

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

3

Spain La Liga 19/04/25

L

Las Palmas

Las Palmas

1

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

0

Spain La Liga 14/04/25

W

Valladolid

Valladolid

2

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

4

Player to watch – Julian Alvarez

If Atletico Madrid are going to get their Club World Cup campaign back on track, they may need Julian Alvarez to produce his best football. The Argentina international scored 17 goals in 37 appearances in his debut season in La Liga.

Alvarez’s early and late impact

45% of Alvarez’s goals in all competitions for Atleti in the 2024/25 season were scored in either the opening 15 minutes, or after the 75th minute.


Mark is a freelance football writer based in Madrid. He regularly attends and covers La Liga matches around Spain, whilst also following football across Europe.