Poland will take on Scotland as part of the final round of UEFA Nations League fixtures on Monday, 18 November.
The match has plenty riding on it after Scotland's shock win over Croatia earlier in the week. Another win here for Steve Clarke's men would see them earn themselves a playoff to remain in League A for the next edition of the Nations League.
Poland, meanwhile, need to just draw the match to stay above Scotland thanks to their win at Hampden Park earlier in the campaign.
As part of our latest round of Nations League betting tips, here is our Poland vs Scotland prediction.
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Poland vs Scotland prediction: The hosts to get the job done
Key Stats
- Scotland haven't won any of their last nine away matches.
- Poland are unbeaten in their last four matches against Scotland.
- Scotland have scored and conceded in six of their last nine matches in all competitions.
- Poland have scored and conceded in four of their five Nations League matches so far.
Correct score prediction: Poland 1-1 Scotland
There isn't too much separating these two teams but home advantage should mean that Poland have enough to at least avoid defeat at a bare minimum. Neither side are particularly strong at the back so expect goal action at both ends.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Poland are the slight favourites
- HOME: 23/20 (2.15) – 46.5%
- DRAW: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4%
- AWAY: 9/4 (3.25) – 30.8%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The Poland vs Scotland odds do a good job of summarising how evenly matches these two sides are and most bookies feel as if any result is possible on Monday night. Ladbrokes have given the hosts a 46.5% chance of winning the match while Scotland have been given a 30.8% chance of picking up the three points they need to avoid automatic relegation.
Check out our betting tips today page for more Nations League predictions this week.
Most recent H2Hs: Plenty of draws
Our prediction of a 1-1 draw gains more weight when you look at the recent meetings between Poland and Scotland. Three of the last four matches between the two teams have ended level which makes the price of 12/5 on another draw this week look very attractive.
UEFA Nations League A 05/09/24

Scotland

Poland
International Match 24/03/22

Scotland

Poland
Euro 2015 Qualifying 08/10/15

Scotland

Poland
Euro 2014 Qualifying 14/10/14

Poland

Scotland
Poland preview: Stumbling over the line
Poland's Nations League campaign got off to the best possible start back in September when they defeated Scotland at Hampden Park but it has been all downhill since. They have only picked up another point in the four matches since that triumph so their will be plenty of doubt in the Polish camp ahead of this one.
Predicted lineup: Bulka (GK), Piatkowski, Bednarek, Kiwior, Bereszynski, Zielinski, Urbanski, Szymanski, Zalewski, Swiderski, Piatek
Europe - World Cup Qualifying 24/03/25
W

Malta
0

Poland
2
Europe - World Cup Qualifying 21/03/25
W

Lithuania
0

Poland
1
UEFA Nations League A 18/11/24
L

Scotland
2

Poland
1
UEFA Nations League A 15/11/24
L

Portugal
5

Poland
1
UEFA Nations League A 15/10/24
D

Croatia
3

Poland
3
Scotland preview: An deserved lifeline
Despite only being on four points, Scotland have actually impressed during the Nations League. They deserved more from their two matches against Portugal and were well worthy of their win on Friday night against a strong and experienced Croatian side. They now have a chance to pick up a huge away win and they will be bang up for it.
Predicted lineup: Gordon (GK), Ralston, Souttar, Hanley, Robertson, Gilmour, McLean, Doak, McTominay, Christie, Dykes
UEFA Nations League 23/03/25
L

Greece
3

Scotland
0
UEFA Nations League 20/03/25
W

Greece
0

Scotland
1
UEFA Nations League A 18/11/24
W

Poland
1

Scotland
2
UEFA Nations League A 15/11/24
W

Croatia
0

Scotland
1
UEFA Nations League A 15/10/24
D

Portugal
0

Scotland
0
Player to watch: Scott McTominay
Scott McTominay is having an excellent season for both club and country and the Napoli midfielder comes into this one with a swagger. McTominay is performing at a brilliant level in Serie A and is a big reason why Napoli are currently top of the league. As ever, goals from midfield are a big part of his game and it wouldn't be a shock to see him get on the scoresheet again on Monday.