The 2024/25 Nations League kicks off this week and Scotland will be desperate to secure all three points in their opening game against Poland as the rest of Group 1 is made up of two even tougher opponents in the form of Portugal and Croatia.
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Scotland vs Poland prediction: A possible stalemate on the cards?
Key Stats
- Scotland have only managed to win one of their last six matches, recording two draws.
- Poland have only lost two of their last six outings, two of which ended in draws.
- Both teams have scored in three of Scotland's last four fixtures.
- Each of Poland's last five matches have ended with both teams scoring,
Correct score prediction: Scotland 1-1 Poland
The last meeting between these two sides in 2022 ended in a 1-1 draw and the pair have played out five stalemates in their last six encounters, all of which ended with both teams scoring.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Scotland the slight favourite
- HOME: 31/21 (2.48) – 40.4%
- DRAW: 9/4 (3.25) – 30.8%
- AWAY: 41/19 (3.16) – 31.7%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Scotland are the expected winner of this game with a probability of 40.4%, but we're expecting a tight and tense 90 minutes between the two countries.
You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: Scotland edge it
Thursday's hosts have picked up one win and four draws from their last five meetings with Poland across all competitions. That victory arrived in a 2014 friendly held in Poland in which Scotland scored the only goal of the game.
International Match 24/03/22
Scotland
Poland
Euro 2015 Qualifying 08/10/15
Scotland
Poland
Euro 2014 Qualifying 14/10/14
Poland
Scotland
Scotland preview: Disappointed at Euro 2024
Scotland got off to the worst possible start at Euro 2024 against the hosts, losing the game 5-1 and having a man sent off.
Steve Clarke's team kept their hopes of qualifying from the group stage alive via a 1-1 draw with Switzerland but lost their third game against Hungary 1-0 and were dumped out of the competition.
Much of that squad remains in Clarke's latest selection but there are a few uncapped players looking to make their mark in the form of goalkeeper Robby McCrorie, defender Max Johnston as well as midfielders Ben Doak and Ryan Gauld.
Predicted lineup: Gunn (GK), Hanley, Robertson, McKenna, Hendry, Ralston, Christie, McGinn, McTominay, Gilmour & Dykes
UEFA Nations League A 08/09/24
L
Portugal
2
Scotland
1
UEFA Nations League A 05/09/24
L
Poland
3
Scotland
2
Euro 2024 23/06/24
L
Hungary
1
Scotland
0
Euro 2024 19/06/24
D
Switzerland
1
Scotland
1
Euro 2024 14/06/24
L
Germany
5
Scotland
1
Poland preview: Only picked up one point in Germany
Poland were never expected to get out of their group at Euro 2024 which consisted of France, Austria and the Netherlands.
The Eastern European side lost their opening two games but did manage to hold the mighty France to a 1-1 draw before heading on the next plane home.
Poland's captain and talisman Robert Lewandowski continues to turn up for his country and will be looking to add to his 152 caps and 83 international goals this week.
Predicted lineup: Skorupski (GK), Bednarek, Dawidowicz, Kiwior, Zielinski, Frankowski, Moder, Szymanski, Zalewski, Urbanski & Lewandowski
UEFA Nations League A 08/09/24
L
Croatia
1
Poland
0
UEFA Nations League A 05/09/24
W
Scotland
2
Poland
3
Euro 2024 25/06/24
D
France
1
Poland
1
Euro 2024 21/06/24
L
Austria
3
Poland
1
Euro 2024 16/06/24
L
Netherlands
2
Poland
1
Player to watch: Scott McTominay
Scotland's 27-year-old midfielder was signed by Serie A side Napoli on transfer deadline day along with fellow Scot Billy Gilmour.
McTominay who began his career with Manchester United and played over 200 games for the club, scoring 29 goals, was first called up for his country in 2018.
The new Napoli signing will be looking to impress following his deadline day transfer
In 2023, McTominay scored seven goals in ten appearances for his country, guiding Scotland to qualification for Euro 2024 and we're backing the Napoli midfielder to shine against Poland on Thursday.
