Scotland are targeting their first victory of this UEFA Nations League campaign on Friday. Our Scotland vs Croatia prediction considers whether they’ll be able to get it.
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Scotland vs Croatia prediction: Both teams to score in away win
Key stats
- Our Scotland vs Croatia betting tips take into account that three of the home team’s last four matches have seen both teams score.
- It’s just one win in 16 matches for Scotland, with that victory coming against minnows Gibraltar.
- Croatia have taken seven points from their last three Nations League matches.
Correct score prediction: Scotland 1-2 Croatia
Scotland are having a miserable year on the international stage and they look likely to finish bottom of this group.
They have been competitive in all of their Nations League games, but have tended to fall just short and a repeat is possible here, with Croatia taking decent form into this match.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Visitors the clear favourites
- HOME: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4%
- DRAW: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%
- AWAY: 21/20 (2.05) – 48.8%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The visitors are the favourites according to the Scotland vs Croatia odds with an implied probability of 48.8% that they win this match.
They head into this following a 3-3 draw in Poland last time out, in a game which saw the Croats score three quick-fire goals in the space of seven First Half minutes.
As for Scotland, they held Portugal to a 0-0 draw in their last game, to collect their first point in this group.
For more from the upcoming matches in Europe, today’s free football betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Croatia targeting third straight win
Our Scotland vs Croatia prediction suggests the visitors are capable of building on back-to-back wins over the Tartan Army.
Croatia won the reverse fixture 2-1 last month and also defeated Scotland 3-1 in Glasgow at Euro 2020. Scotland did win both meetings during 2014 World Cup qualifying though.
UEFA Nations League A 12/10/24
Croatia
Scotland
Euro 2021 22/06/21
Croatia
Scotland
Scotland preview: Pair carrying injuries
Che Adams and Lewis Morgan have both been included in the Scotland squad, but are both injury concerns heading into this match.
Predicted Lineup: Gordon (GK), Robertson, Hanley, Souttar, Ralston, Gilmour, McLean, McGinn, McTominay, Christie & Dykes
UEFA Nations League 23/03/25
L Greece 3 Scotland 0 UEFA Nations League 20/03/25
W Greece 0 Scotland 1 UEFA Nations League A 18/11/24
W Poland 1 Scotland 2 UEFA Nations League A 15/11/24
W Croatia 0 Scotland 1 UEFA Nations League A 15/10/24
D Portugal 0 Scotland 0
Croatia preview: Two suspended for the visitors
After his red card in Poland, Croatia goalkeeper Dominik Livakovic is suspended here. Ante Budimir is also banned, while fellow striker Bruno Petkovic has pulled out with an injury.
Predicted Lineup: Labrovic (GK), Gvardiol, Caleta-Car, Sutalo, Sosa, Kovacic, Modric, Perisic, Baturina, Matanovic & Kramaric
UEFA Nations League 23/03/25
L France 2 Croatia 0 UEFA Nations League 20/03/25
W France 0 Croatia 2 UEFA Nations League A 18/11/24
D Portugal 1 Croatia 1 UEFA Nations League A 15/11/24
L Scotland 1 Croatia 0 UEFA Nations League A 15/10/24
D Poland 3 Croatia 3
Player to watch – Scott McTominay
With two goals in this campaign so far, Scott McTominay has been the most prolific of any player in either of these squads during the Nations League to date. He also scored three times in 10 appearances so far for Napoli.
McTominay striking early in Serie A
The midfield’s two Serie A goals so far have both broken the deadlock inside the opening 25 minutes. That includes a first minute strike against Como on matchday seven.