Aiming to end a seven-match winless run and escape the Bundesliga drop zone, Mainz travel to the Europa-Park-Stadion to take on SC Freiburg on Sunday.
The visitors sit 17th on just six points from 11 games, while their hosts dropped to 11th spot following a 6-2 beating to Bayern Munich last weekend.
Contents
SC Freiburg vs Mainz prediction: Visitors pull clear or hosts join title race?
Key stats
- Mainz are winless in their last seven league outings since late September.
- Only five teams have conceded more than the 20 Bundesliga goals SC Freiburg have allowed so far this term.
- Mainz are one of two Bundesliga sides still yet to keep a league clean sheet this season.
Correct score prediction: SC Freiburg 2-1 Mainz
As evident in the stats, both sides struggle defensively, and given their winless run and poor away record, we see the relegation-threatened visitors falling short again on Sunday.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Hearts fancied to pull clear at the top
- HOME: 19/20 (1.95) – 51.3%
- DRAW: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4%
- AWAY: 14/5 (3.80) – 26.3%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
As shown by the implied probabilities, bookmakers give SC Freiburg a clear edge with over a 50% chance.
A draw can be backed at 29.4% while Mainz are given a 26.3% chance. Also, feel free to check out our Today’s betting tips page, as well as our Bundesliga predictions & betting tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: Three consecutive draws
Last season's H2Hs ended in 0-0 and 2-2 draws, making it three consecutive stalemates between the sides.
In the 43 historic H2Hs, SC Freiburg have won 12 and Mainz have won 16.
Germany Bundesliga I 15/03/25
Mainz
SC Freiburg
Germany Bundesliga I 03/11/24
SC Freiburg
Mainz
Germany Bundesliga I 21/04/24
SC Freiburg
Mainz
Germany Bundesliga I 03/12/23
Mainz
SC Freiburg
Germany Bundesliga I 19/03/23
Mainz
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg preview: Can hosts bounce back from Bayern defeat?
Aiming to get back to winning ways after last week's beating to Bayern Munich and midweek Europa League stalemate, SC Freiburg are without Eren Dinkci, Jordy Makengo and Max Rosenfelder through injuries.
Predicted lineup: Atubolo (GK); Kubler, Ginter, Lienhart, Gunter; Eggestein, Manzambi; Beste, Suzuki, Grifo & Adamu
Last five results:
- Viktoria Plzen 0-0 SC Freiburg
- Bayern Munich 6-2 SC Freiburg
- SC Freiburg 2-1 St. Pauli
- Nice 1-3 SC Freiburg
- Union Berlin 0-0 SC Freiburg
Mainz preview: Die Nullfunfer needing climb to safety
In search of a first Bundesliga win in eight outings to escape the bottom two, Mainz are on the back of a midweek 1-0 Conference League loss to Universitatea Craiova.
Dominik Kohr and Nadiem Amiri will serve suspensions while goalkeeper Robin Zentner will miss out through injury.
Predicted lineup: Riess (GK); Hanche-Olsen, Bell, Maloney; Widmer, Sano, Nebel, Veratschnig; Nordin, Sieb & Lee
Last five results:
- Universitatea Craiova 1-0 Mainz
- Mainz 1-1 Hoffenheim
- Frankfurt 1-0 Mainz
- Mainz 2-1 Fiorentina
- Mainz 1-1 Werder Bremen
Player to watch: Yuito Suzuki
Yuito Suzuki has hit the ground running since arriving at SC Freiburg from Brondby in July, notching up three goals and three assists in his first 11 appearances.
The Japanese midfielder got off the mark in the Bundesliga with goals in their last two league outings, putting his side 1-0 up against St. Pauli and Bayern Munich, and has quickly established himself as a key part of their attack.