Sagan Tosu and Gamba Osaka are bound to meet in the next round in the J1 League on Sunday, 14 July.
With both teams in good form at the moment, who will prevail in this match? Learn more about this match from our Sagan Tosu vs Gamba Osaka prediction and preview.
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Sagan Tosu vs Gamba Osaka prediction: A narrow win for the guests
Key stats
- We saw both teams score in three of the last four Sagan Tosu's matches in the league.
- Gamba Osaka have won six of their last eight matches in the J1 League.
- Sagan Tosu are in the relegation zone with 23 points from 22 games.
Correct score prediction: Sagan Tosu 1-2 Gamba Osaka
While both teams enter this match in good form, Gamba Osaka have been doing well this entire season and we can see them getting a win. However, with both teams scoring in most of their H2H matches recently, we can see that win being a narrow one.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Gamba Osaka backed by the bookies
- HOME: 2/1 (3.00) – 33.30%
- DRAW: 23/10 (3.30) – 30.30%
- AWAY: 11/10 (2.10) – 47.60%
We can conclude from these Kashima Antlers vs Gamba Osaka odds that the guests are the expected winners, which is hardly a surprise given that Gamba Osaka are 18 points ahead of Sagan Tosu in the standings right now.
That being said, Sagan Tosu have won three games in a row in all competitions and they are in good form, so this matchup might be closer than it seems on first glance.
So, we expect an exciting duel and if you like our picks for it, remember to also look at our favourite betting tips for today.
Last five H2Hs: A very close matchup lately
In the last five duels between these teams, we saw one win for Gamba Osaka, two wins for Sagan Tosu, and a couple of draws. Meanwhile, Gamba Osaka have the advantage in the overall H2H record against Sagan Tosu: 14-5-9.
Japan J-League 14/04/24
Gamba Osaka
Sagan Tosu
Japan J-League 26/08/23
Sagan Tosu
Gamba Osaka
Japan J-League 25/02/23
Gamba Osaka
Sagan Tosu
Japan J-League 03/09/22
Gamba Osaka
Sagan Tosu
Japan J-League 29/05/22
Sagan Tosu
Gamba Osaka
Sagan Tosu preview: Can they win third in a row?
With two wins in a row in the league, Sagan Tosu have come closer to escaping the relegation zone since they are now just one point behind the first team outside of it. Still, they have a long way to go to secure their place in the top flight for the next season, but at least their form gives them a lot of reasons for optimism.
Meanwhile, Yoshiki Narahara, Masahiro Okamoto, and Fuchi Honda are sidelined with injuries.
Predicted lineup: Park, (GK), Harada, Yamazaki, Kimura, Naganuma, Fukuta, Kikuchi, Togashi, Hino, Yokoyama & Ryan
Japan J-League 31/08/24
L
Shonan Bellmare
2
Sagan Tosu
1
Japan J-League 25/08/24
L
Vissel Kobe
2
Sagan Tosu
0
Japan FA Cup 21/08/24
L
Renofa Yamaguchi
2
Sagan Tosu
0
Japan J-League 16/08/24
L
Consadole Sapporo
5
Sagan Tosu
3
Japan J-League 11/08/24
D
Urawa Red Diamonds
1
Sagan Tosu
1
Gamba Osaka preview: Chasing the very top of the table
After winning eight of their last 11 games in the J1 League, Gamba Osaka have climbed to the fourth place in the standings and are now just five points behind league leaders Machida Zelvia. So, with a few more wins in the upcoming rounds, we could see Gamba Osaka get truly involved in the title race.
When it comes to team news, Genta Miura, Yuya Fukuda, and Jiro Nakamura will miss this match through injuries.
Predicted lineup: Ichimori (GK), Handa, Nakatani, Fukuoka, Kurokawa, Dawhan, Suzuki, Juan, Sakamoto, Welton & Usami
Japan J-League 24/08/24
D
Avispa Fukuoka
2
Gamba Osaka
2
Japan FA Cup 21/08/24
W
Shonan Bellmare
2
Gamba Osaka
3
Japan J-League 17/08/24
D
Vissel Kobe
2
Gamba Osaka
2
Japan J-League 11/08/24
D
Kashiwa Reysol
0
Gamba Osaka
0
Japan J-League 07/08/24
D
FC Tokyo
0
Gamba Osaka
0
Player to watch: Takashi Usami
With eight goals and four assists in the J1 League this season, the experienced Japanese international has been the key player or Gamba Osaka so far and he's our player to watch in this match.
Will Usami score from the spot again?
Three of the eight goals scored by Usami in the league this season were scored from penalties. Will Usami get another chance from a penalty spot in this match?