Brighton vs Roma prediction, odds & betting tips – 14/03/2024

14/03/24 - 20:00

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Brighton - Roma

UEFA Europa League - American Express Community Stadium

4th Round

Brighton will welcome Roma to the Amex Stadium on Thursday, 14 March in a match that will be special for the Seagulls regardless of the end result. Their first European adventure looks likely to end on Thursday night after losing the first leg 4-0 but they will be looking to put on one final show for their supporters before trying to qualify again for next season's competition. Ahead of the match, check out our Brighton vs Roma prediction below.

Brighton vs Roma prediction: Mission Impossible?

Key stats

• Roma have lost just once in 12 matches under Danielle de Rossi.
• Brighton have lost three of their last four matches in all competitions.
• A four-goal lead has never been overturned in a second leg of a Europa League tie.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Too close to call

• HOME: 17/20 (1.85) – 54.1%
• DRAW: 29/10 (3.90) – 25.6%
• AWAY: 27/10 (3.70) – 27%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The Brighton vs Roma odds have the Seagulls as the favourites to win on the night, which is perhaps surprising after what happened last week in Rome. While the home side will throw everything they have at Roma, this should play into the hands of the Italian side who are very efficient on the counter-attack.

Brighton's thumping at the hands of de Rossi's men last week has been a long time coming. Since the turn of the year, the Seagulls have been poor across all competitions and it may have prompted Roberto de Zerbi to tinker with his setup. They responded well at the weekend with a home win over Nottingham Forest but it's still difficult to see them beating a very confident and in-form Roma outfit.

As part of our free betting tips for this fixture, we have gone for Brighton 1-2 Roma in the correct score market as we believe the home side will give a better account of themselves before being picked off by the Italians. Another market to consider is both teams to score at 3.5 (1.60).

Last five H2Hs: A match to forget for the English side

Brighton and Roma have only ever met once before and that came last week at the Stadio Olimpico. Roma's 4-0 win improved their overall record against English teams but one thing that might give the Seagulls a glimmer of hope is their record in England. They have suffered some heavy defeats on English soil, including 7-1 and 6-2 losses at Old Trafford and a 5-2 loss at Anfield.

UEFA Europa League 07/03/24

Roma

4

Brighton

0

Brighton preview: Playing for pride

Injuries haven't helped Brighton's cause lately and Roberto de Zerbi is without five players for the match on Thursday, including his top scorer, Joao Pedro, and his most creative player, Kaoru Mitoma. Julio Enciso will look to hit top form for the first time since returning from injury.

Predicted lineup: Steele (GK), Veltman, Dunk, Webster, Estupinan, Gilmour, Gross, Adingra, Enciso, Fati, Ferguson

England Premier League 10/05/25

W

Wolverhampton

0

Brighton

2

England Premier League 04/05/25

D

Newcastle

1

Brighton

1

England Premier League 26/04/25

W

West Ham

2

Brighton

3

England Premier League 19/04/25

L

Brentford

4

Brighton

2

England Premier League 12/04/25

D

Leicester

2

Brighton

2

Roma preview: Can de Rossi afford to rest some players?

Roma followed up their 4-0 win over Brighton with a 2-2 draw away at Fiorentina at the weekend. Aside from Pellegrini, Danielle de Rossi picked his strongest available 11 which suggests he could give a few players a rest at the Amex Stadium on Thursday given the tie is all but over.

Predicted lineup: Svilar (GK) Celik, Mancini, Ndicka, Spinazzola, Cristante, Paredes, Pellegrini, Dybala, El Shaarawy, Lukaku

Italy Serie A 12/05/25

L

Atalanta

2

Roma

1

Italy Serie A 04/05/25

W

Fiorentina

0

Roma

1

Italy Serie A 27/04/25

W

Inter Milan

0

Roma

1

Italy Serie A 19/04/25

W

Verona

0

Roma

1

Italy Serie A 13/04/25

D

Lazio

1

Roma

1

Player to watch: Simon Adingra

If Brighton are to have any hope of making things interesting on Thursday night then they are going to need a big performance from Simon Adingra.

Looking to recapture his best form

Simon Adingra has shown flashes of brilliance in his debut season for the Seagulls and he will be hoping to make those flashes more consistent in the coming years. He has seven goals and three assists to his name in all competitions and with Joao Pedro out, he will be their main creative force.