AZ Alkmaar vs RKC Waalwijk prediction, odds & betting tips – 13/04/2024

13/04/24 - 17:45

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AZ - RKC

Netherlands Eredivisie - AFAS Stadion

AZ Alkmaar will host RKC Waalwijk in the next round of the Eredivisie on Saturday, 13 April.

Will AZ Alkmaar justify the favourite's tag or will RKC surprise them to get important points in the battle against relegation? Read our AZ Alkmaar vs RKC Waalwijk prediction and preview below to find out.

AZ Alkmaar vs RKC Waalwijk prediction: A high-scoring win for the hosts

Key Stats

• Four of the previous five duels between AZ and RKC have gone over 3.5 total goals.
• AZ Alkmaar have averaged 3.21 total goals per game in home matches in the Eredivisie this season.
• With 25 goals this season, Vangelis Pavlidis is the top scorer in the Eredivisie.
• In eight matches against RKC Waalwijk in his career, Pavlidis has scored four goals.

Pre-game odds and win probability: AZ Alkmaar the absolute favourites 

• HOME: 3/10 (1.30) – 76.90%
• DRAW: 9/2 (5.50) – 18.20%
• AWAY: 8/1 (9.00) – 11.10%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

It's clear from the AZ Alkmaar vs RKC Waalwijk odds that the bookies consider the hosts to be the expected winners and it's not even close.

After all, AZ Alkmaar is currently 28 points ahead of RKC Waalwijk in the league standings. They've also been great at home this season, while RKC has struggled to get points from away matches in the Eredivisie so far.

Anyhow, we also have a few more betting tips for today for you, if you enjoyed our tips for this match.

Last five H2Hs: A surprisingly close matchup

Netherlands Eredivisie 30/08/24

RKC

0

AZ

3

Netherlands Eredivisie 20/08/23

RKC

1

AZ

3

Netherlands Eredivisie 23/04/23

AZ

3

RKC

0

Netherlands Eredivisie 06/11/22

RKC

3

AZ

1

Netherlands Eredivisie 15/05/22

AZ

1

RKC

3

Given the reputation of both teams and their results in recent years in the Eredivisie, we were surprised to see that in the last five meetings, RKC Waalwijk have managed to beat AZ twice. Of course, AZ Alkmaar also won three times, but it's still close. However, the overall H2H record is more in line with our expectations—25-2-11 in favour of AZ Alkmaar.

AZ Alkmaar preview: One hand on the trophy already

After going on a seven-game unbeaten run in the league, AZ Alkmaar have suffered a couple of tough losses in the last two rounds, conceding 10 goals in duels against Heracles and PSV. Despite these losses, AZ remain fourth in the standings, but now their advantage over NEC in the race for the final spot in the European competitions for next season has been reduced to six points.

Bruno Martins Indi and Lequincio Zeefuik remain on the sidelines with injuries, while Mayckel Lahdo and Sem Westerveld are doubtful. Also, Kristijan Belic will miss this match due to accumulated yellow cards.

Predicted Lineup – Ryan – Wolfe, Goes, Bazoer, Sugawara – Dantas, Clasie – Van Bommel, De Wit, Mijnans – Pavlidis

Netherlands Eredivisie 09/02/25

W

PEC Zwolle

0

AZ

2

Netherlands Cup 06/02/25

W

Quick Boys

1

AZ

3

Netherlands Eredivisie 02/02/25

W

Willem II

0

AZ

2

UEFA Europa League 30/01/25

L

Ferencvarosi TC

4

AZ

3

Netherlands Eredivisie 26/01/25

L

Sparta Rotterdam

2

AZ

1

RKC Waalwijk preview: Still fighting for their place in the top flight

While RKC have only lost once in their last five matches in the league, they also only managed to win one of those games, along with three draws. That was enough to keep Waalwijk outside of the relegation zone for now, but they are also just a couple of points ahead of the first team in the relegation zone at the moment.

Meanwhile, Nouri El Harmazi is the only player on the team's injury list and he is listed as doubtful with a shoulder injury.

Predicted Lineup: Vaessen – Lutonda, Gaari, Van den Buijs, Lelieveld – Oukili, Niemeijer – Lokesa, Seuntjens, Margaret – Kramer

Netherlands Eredivisie 09/02/25

W

NAC

0

RKC

5

Netherlands Eredivisie 02/02/25

W

Almere City FC

1

RKC

4

Netherlands Eredivisie 26/01/25

W

Willem II

0

RKC

2

Netherlands Eredivisie 19/01/25

D

Sparta Rotterdam

1

RKC

1

Netherlands Cup 15/01/25

L

FC Utrecht

2

RKC

1

Player to watch: Vangelis Pavlidis

The Greek forward is leading the league as the top goalscorer with 25 goals, one more than PSV's Luuk de Jong, so RKC will have to pay special attention to Pavlidis in this match or they will be punished.

Will Pavlidis score more than once?

Despite his impressive goalscoring record, the Greek forward only scored two or more goals in a match on four occasions. One of those occasions was AZ Alkmaar's first duel with RKC this season in the Eredivisie.