Villarreal are back at the Estadi Ceramica on Saturday. Our Villarreal vs Real Valladolid prediction and La Liga betting tips consider whether they can continue their push for a top four finish with another win.
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Villarreal vs Real Valladolid prediction: Hosts to win by more than one
Key stats
- Our Villarreal vs Real Valladolid betting tips take into account that the visitors have conceded 21 goals in their six matches against top six opposition.
- Villarreal’s average of 1.86 goals per game is the third best in La Liga.
- 60% of the Yellow Submarine’s home games have served up over 3.5 goals in total.
Correct score prediction: Villarreal 3-1 Real Valladolid
It’s hard to see anything other than a home win here, with Real Valladolid consistently looking very inferior whenever they’ve come up against strong opposition.
Marcelino’s side went through a wobble around the turn of the year, but they’ve impressed in their last two matches, and should win this with a bit of breathing space.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Villarreal the red hot favourites
- HOME: 2/9 (1.22) – 81.8%
- DRAW: 11/2 (6.50) – 15.4%
- AWAY: 11/1 (12.00) – 8.3%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The hosts are the favourites according to the Villarreal vs Real Valladolid odds with an implied probability of 81.8% that they win this match.
They secured an excellent 1-1 draw away to Atletico Madrid last time out, with Gerard Moreno scoring their goal from the penalty spot.
As for Real Valladolid, they were undone by a Kylian Mbappe hat-trick in a 3-0 loss against Real Madrid last weekend.
For more from the upcoming matches, today’s free betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Four wins in five for the Yellow Submarine
Our Villarreal vs Real Valladolid prediction suggests that the side from the Valencian region can make it five wins out of six against this opposition.
All of the last four meetings between these clubs have actually been won by the team playing away, with Real Valladolid victors on their last trip to the Ceramica.
Spain La Liga 26/10/24
Valladolid
Villarreal
Spain La Liga 15/04/23
Villarreal
Valladolid
Spain La Liga 13/08/22
Valladolid
Villarreal
Spain La Liga 13/05/21
Valladolid
Villarreal
Spain La Liga 02/11/20
Villarreal
Valladolid
Villarreal preview: Parejo rated doubtful
Midfield regular Dani Parejo is a doubt for the hosts. They’re also missing Ilias Akhomach and Alfonso Pedraza to injury.
Predicted Lineup: Junior (GK), Cardona, Costa, Foyth, Femenia, Baena, Comesana, Gueye, Pino, G. Moreno & Barry
Spain La Liga 10/05/25
W Girona 0 Villarreal 1 Spain La Liga 03/05/25
W Osasuna 2 Villarreal 4 Spain La Liga 27/04/25
W Espanyol 0 Villarreal 1 Spain La Liga 23/04/25
L Celta Vigo 3 Villarreal 0 Spain La Liga 20/04/25
D Real Sociedad 2 Villarreal 2
Real Valladolid preview: Martin serves ban
The away team will have to cope without the suspended Mario Martin. Raul Moro and Eray Comert are out injured.
Predicted Lineup: Hein (GK), Roca, J. Sanchez, Torres, L. Perez, I. Sanchez, Amallah, Juric, Anuar, Sylla & M. Andre
Spain La Liga 13/05/25
L Girona 1 Valladolid 0 Spain La Liga 10/05/25
L Mallorca 2 Valladolid 1 Spain La Liga 03/05/25
L Barcelona 2 Valladolid 1 Spain La Liga 24/04/25
L Real Betis 5 Valladolid 1 Spain La Liga 20/04/25
L Osasuna 3 Valladolid 2 
Player to watch – Alex Baena
With five goals and five assists in La Liga this term, Alex Baena has been one of Villarreal’s chief attacking threats. The Spain international is the only player who could feature in this match, aside from Thierno Barry, with 10 or more goal contributions.
Baena’s creative influence
Having set up 19 goals in La Liga since the start of last term, Baena has gained a reputation as the Spanish top flight’s assist king. He averages 3.1 key passes per game this term.