Two struggling sides clash at Mestalla on Saturday. Our Valencia vs Real Valladolid prediction and La Liga betting tips consider whether Los Che can claim a much-needed victory in their survival push.
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Valencia vs Real Valladolid prediction: Sadiq to score in comfortable home win
Key stats
- Our Valencia vs Real Valladolid betting tips take into account that the visitors have lost 92% of their away games this season in the league.
- Valencia have won three of their last four home games in La Liga.
- In their 12 competitive games so far under Carlos Corberan, only the top three sides in La Liga have defeated Valencia.
Correct score prediction: Valencia 2-0 Real Valladolid
Real Valladolid might be the worst team in Europe’s top-five leagues this season, and they’ve suffered 5-1 and 7-1 defeats in their last two away games.
While Valencia don’t possess the kind of firepower needed to score quite that many, they’ve looked stronger since the appointment of Corberan and they should win this game by at least a couple.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Los Che the odds-on favourites
- HOME: 2/5 (1.40) – 71.4%
- DRAW: 17/5 (4.40) – 22.7%
- AWAY: 15/2 (8.50) – 11.8%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The hosts are the clear favourites according to the Valencia vs Real Valladolid odds, with an implied probability of 71.4% that they win this match.
They head into the game following a 3-3 draw at Osasuna last weekend, with Umar Sadiq grabbing two goals for the visitors.
As for Real Valladolid, they at least stopped the rot with a 1-1 home draw against 10-man Las Palmas last time out, with Juanmi Latasa their scorer.
For more from the upcoming matches in Europe, today’s football betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Valencia strong at home in this fixture
Our Valencia vs Real Valladolid prediction suggests Los Che can record a fourth straight home victory over this opposition.
All of the last four meetings between the clubs have been won by the side playing at home, with Real Valladolid 1-0 victors in the reverse fixture earlier this term.
Spain La Liga 13/12/24
Valladolid
Valencia
Spain La Liga 27/04/23
Valencia
Valladolid
Spain La Liga 29/01/23
Valladolid
Valencia
Spain La Liga 09/05/21
Valencia
Valladolid
Spain La Liga 10/01/21
Valladolid
Valencia
Valencia preview: Duro sidelined for the hosts
Top scorer Hugo Duro is missing for the home team due to an injury. They are also without long-term absentee Thierry Correia.
Predicted Lineup: Mamardashvili (GK), Gaya, Tarrega, Mosquera, Foulquier, Almeida, Guerra, Barrenechea, Rioja, Sadiq & D. Lopez
Spain La Liga 10/05/25
W Getafe 0 Valencia 3 Spain La Liga 03/05/25
W Las Palmas 2 Valencia 3 Spain La Liga 22/04/25
D Espanyol 1 Valencia 1 Spain La Liga 19/04/25
D Rayo Vallecano 1 Valencia 1 Spain La Liga 11/04/25
W Sevilla 0 Valencia 1
Real Valladolid preview: Martin serves ban
The away team will have to cope without the suspended Mario Martin. Defender Joseph Aidoo is also out injured for this game.
Predicted Lineup: Hein (GK), Aznou, J. Sanchez, Comert, Candela, Grillitsch, Nikitscher, Amallah, Moro, M. Andre & Anuar
Spain La Liga 13/05/25
L Girona 1 Valladolid 0 Spain La Liga 10/05/25
L Mallorca 2 Valladolid 1 Spain La Liga 03/05/25
L Barcelona 2 Valladolid 1 Spain La Liga 24/04/25
L Real Betis 5 Valladolid 1 Spain La Liga 20/04/25
L Osasuna 3 Valladolid 2
Player to watch – Umar Sadiq
Having joined Valencia on loan from Real Sociedad in January, Sadiq has already made a big impact with three goals in six appearances so far.
Sadiq’s improvement at Mestalla
Since moving to Valencia, Sadiq’s shots per game average in La Liga 2024/25 has increased from 0.7 at Real Sociedad to 1.3 in Valencia colours. His pass completion rate has also significantly increased to 74.3%.