The league leaders travel to the bottom club in the Spanish top flight on Saturday evening. Our Real Valladolid vs Real Madrid prediction and La Liga betting tips consider whether this one will go as expected, or whether Diego Cocca’s side stand any chance.
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Real Valladolid vs Real Madrid prediction: Both teams to score in big road win
Key stats
- Our Real Valladolid vs Real Madrid betting tips take into account that Los Blancos have only dropped two points in 11 matches this season against current bottom half opposition.
- It’s 15 conceded for Real Valladolid in their three matches against top three opposition this term.
- Their average of 1.95 goals against per match is the worst in La Liga.
Correct score prediction: Real Valladolid 1-4 Real Madrid
It’s hard to look past the visitors here. They have been dominant in games against weaker opponents of late, and they’ve responded well to a heavy defeat in el clasico in the Supercopa, with four or more scored in each of their last three matches.
Real Valladolid have played a bit better since changing their coach, and could get on the scoresheet against an unconvincing visiting defence. However, the gulf in class is likely to be clear over 90 minutes.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Los Blancos the red hot favourites
- HOME: 17/2 (9.50) – 10.5%
- DRAW: 5/1 (6.00) – 16.7%
- AWAY: 2/7 (1.29) – 77.8%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The visitors are the favourites according to the Real Valladolid vs Real Madrid odds with an implied probability of 77.8% that they win this match.
They were dominant 5-1 winners against Salzburg in the Champions League midweek, with Vinicius Junior and Rodrygo both scoring twice.
As for Real Valladolid, they were on the wrong end of a 2-1 scoreline in a key relegation six-pointer at Espanyol last time out. Javi Sanchez grabbed their goal.
For more from the upcoming action in Europe, today’s football betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Los Blancos dominant in recent times
Our Real Valladolid vs Real Madrid prediction suggests the visitors will extend a six-game winning run in this fixture overall.
They’ve also won on their last four trips to the Jose Zorrilla, with the last point for the hosts coming back in 2014.
Spain La Liga 25/08/24
Real Madrid
Valladolid
Spain La Liga 02/04/23
Real Madrid
Valladolid
Spain La Liga 30/12/22
Valladolid
Real Madrid
Spain La Liga 20/02/21
Valladolid
Real Madrid
Spain La Liga 30/09/20
Real Madrid
Valladolid
Real Valladolid preview: Juric serves ban
Stanko Juric is suspended for the hosts. They are also missing Raul Moro and Eray Comert to injuries.
Predicted Lineup: Hein (GK), Rosa, J. Sanchez, Torres, L. Perez, Martin, Amallah, K. Perez, Amath, Andre & Anuar
Spain La Liga 13/05/25
L Girona 1 Valladolid 0 Spain La Liga 10/05/25
L Mallorca 2 Valladolid 1 Spain La Liga 03/05/25
L Barcelona 2 Valladolid 1 Spain La Liga 24/04/25
L Real Betis 5 Valladolid 1 Spain La Liga 20/04/25
L Osasuna 3 Valladolid 2
Real Madrid preview: Vinicius missing again
Carlo Ancelotti will have to cope without Vinicius, with the Brazilian completing a two-game league ban. Dani Carvajal, Eder Militao and Eduardo Camavinga are out injured.
Predicted Lineup: Courtois (GK), F. Garcia, Rudiger, Tchouameni, L. Vazquez, Ceballos, Valverde, Bellingham, Rodrygo, Mbappe & Guler
Spain La Liga 11/05/25
L Barcelona 4 Real Madrid 3 Spain La Liga 04/05/25
W Celta Vigo 2 Real Madrid 3 Spain Copa del Rey 26/04/25
L Barcelona 3 Real Madrid 2 Spain La Liga 23/04/25
W Getafe 0 Real Madrid 1 Spain La Liga 20/04/25
W Athletic Bilbao 0 Real Madrid 1 
Player to watch – Kylian Mbappe
Real Madrid fans are starting to see a bit more from Kylian Mbappe, with the Frenchman showing signs that he’s getting back to his best. The striker has scored 19 goals in 31 appearances so far for Los Blancos.
Mbappe striking just before the break
In La Liga, the World Cup winner has tended to be at his most dangerous just before the interval. 33% of his league goals have come between the 35th and 45th minutes, including a strike against Las Palmas only last weekend.