Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad prediction, odds & betting tips – 24/05/2025
Luka Modric will play his final game at the Bernabeu on Saturday - Photo by IMAGO.
🔥 Our Hot tip

Real Madrid to win by 1 goal

10 of Real Madrid’s last 11 wins have come by one-goal margins.

Real Madrid play their final game under Carlo Ancelotti’s guidance on Saturday at the Bernabeu. Our Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad prediction and La Liga betting tips consider whether it’ll be a winning finale for the Italian.

Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad prediction: Mbappe to score and hosts to win by one

Key stats

  • Our Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad betting tips take into account that Los Blancos have won six of their last seven games in La Liga.
  • Real Sociedad had gone six without a win before defeating Girona last time out.
  • They’ve only taken two points from nine away games against current top-half teams this season.

Correct score prediction: Real Madrid 2-1 Real Sociedad

There are huge selection problems again for Ancelotti in his final game, but with Luka Modric and Lucas Vazquez also leaving this summer, that may just serve as a motivation for the home players to put in a performance in what is essentially a meaningless match.

Real Sociedad have been really poor this season, with many disappointing away showings and they look likely to leave empty-handed here, despite being up against a much-weakened Real Madrid defence.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Los Blancos expected to triumph

  • HOME: 4/9 (1.44) – 69.2%
  • DRAW: 19/5 (4.80) – 20.8%
  • AWAY: 11/2 (6.50) – 15.4%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The hosts are the favourites according to the Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad odds, with an implied probability of 69.2% that they win this match.

They won 2-0 at Sevilla last time out, although they were up against only nine men for much of that game.

As for La Real, they saw off Girona 3-2 in their last game as their long-serving boss Imanol got a good send-off from the Reale Arena.

For more from the upcoming matches in Europe, today’s free football betting tips look at some of the best picks.

Most recent H2Hs: Clubs meet again after cup cracker

Our Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad prediction suggests this will be a good deal tighter than the last meeting, which produced a 4-4 draw on this ground in the Copa del Rey in April.

Real Madrid had won all of the previous four meetings.

Spain La Liga 14/09/24

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

0
Real Madrid

Real Madrid

2

Spain La Liga 26/04/24

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

0
Real Madrid

Real Madrid

1

Spain La Liga 17/09/23

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

2
Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

1

Spain La Liga 02/05/23

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

2
Real Madrid

Real Madrid

0

Spain La Liga 29/01/23

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

0
Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

0

Real Madrid preview: At least nine absentees

Jude Bellingham is suspended for Real Madrid, along with Antonio Rudiger, who is also injured. The hosts will also be without the injured Dani Carvajal, Eder Militao, Eduardo Camavinga, David Alaba, Rodrygo, Endrick and Ferland Mendy. Vinicius Junior is rated doubtful.

Predicted Lineup: Lunin (GK), F. Garcia, Asencio, Jacobo, Vazquez, Modric, Tchouameni, Valverde, Brahim, Mbappe & Guler

Spain La Liga 11/05/25

L

Barcelona

Barcelona

4

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

3

Spain La Liga 04/05/25

W

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

2

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

3

Spain Copa del Rey 26/04/25

L

Barcelona

Barcelona

3

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

2

Spain La Liga 23/04/25

W

Getafe

Getafe

0

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

1

Spain La Liga 20/04/25

W

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

0

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

1

Real Sociedad preview: Imanol missing three

Imanol’s final game in charge of Real Sociedad will take place without the injured trio of Orri Oskarsson, Sheraldo Becker and Nayef Aguerd.

Predicted Lineup: Marrero (GK), Munoz, Martin, Zubeldia, Aramburu, Zubimendi, Marin, Turrientes, Barrenetxea, Oyarzabal & Mariezkurrena

Spain La Liga 13/05/25

L

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

1

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

0

Spain La Liga 10/05/25

L

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

4

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

0

Spain La Liga 04/05/25

D

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

0

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

0

Spain La Liga 23/04/25

L

CD Alaves

CD Alaves

1

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

0

Spain La Liga 20/04/25

D

Villarreal

Villarreal

2

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

2

Player to watch – Kylian Mbappe

Kylian Mbappe has been carrying Real Madrid’s attacking threat in recent weeks. The Frenchman has scored first in two of his last three games, and has scored eight in his last five matches in all competitions.

real madrid vs real sociedad prediction
Mbappe scored first against Sevilla last weekend – Photo by IMAGO.

Mbappe set to win the Pichichi

With 29 goals, Mbappe is four clear of his nearest rival Robert Lewandowski in the Pichichi race. The Polish striker would need to have a spectacular final day to prevent the Madrid forward from finishing as La Liga’s top scorer in his debut season in Spain.

spanish la liga predictions

Mark is a freelance football writer based in Madrid. He regularly attends and covers La Liga matches around Spain, whilst also following football across Europe.