Real Sociedad are hoping to bounce back from European disappointment when they travel to Madrid this weekend. Our Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad prediction and La Liga betting tips consider whether Imanol’s side can get anything from this game.
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Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad prediction: Hosts to edge tight game
Key stats
- Our Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad betting tips take into account that the visitors have lost six of their last seven away games in all competitions.
- 89% of Rayo games and 96% of La Real games in La Liga have produced under 3.5 goals.
- Rayo have only lost four of their last 16 matches in all competitions.
Correct score prediction: Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Real Sociedad
Imanol has really targeted the cups this season, often prioritising them in terms of team selection, and we’re likely to see a number of fringe players rotate in again here.
They’ve been struggling away from home of late, and with this being their 20th match already in 2025, they may find this tough going against an energetic Rayo Vallecano side.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Hosts the slight favourites
- HOME: 29/20 (2.45) – 40.8%
- DRAW: 2/1 (3.00) – 33.3%
- AWAY: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.3%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The hosts are the favourites according to the Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad odds, with an implied probability of 40.8% that they win this match.
They come into the game following a 2-1 defeat away to Real Madrid last time out, although they played well and had 20 shots on the home goal in that one.
As for Real Sociedad, they exited the Europa League on Thursday night, going down 4-1 to Man Utd in a game of penalties and controversial moments.
For more from the upcoming action, today’s football betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Just one win in 10 for Rayo
Our Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad prediction suggests the Madrid-based club can improve on a poor recent record in this fixture.
La Real have avoided defeat on all of their last five trips to Vallecas, although all but one of those games did end in draws.
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Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano
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Rayo Vallecano preview: Injury problems for the hosts
The home team are missing Isi Palazon, Randy Nteka, Sergio Camello and Abdul Mumin to injuries.
Predicted Lineup: Batalla (GK), Chavarria, A. Hernandez, Lejeune, Ratiu, Ciss, Diaz, A. Garcia, U. Lopez, De Frutos & Embarba
Spain La Liga 09/05/25 W Las Palmas 0 Rayo Vallecano 1 Spain La Liga 02/05/25 W Getafe 0 Rayo Vallecano 1 Spain La Liga 24/04/25 L Atletico Madrid 3 Rayo Vallecano 0 Spain La Liga 19/04/25 D Valencia 1 Rayo Vallecano 1 Spain La Liga 13/04/25 L Athletic Bilbao 3 Rayo Vallecano 1
Real Sociedad preview: Mendez blow for La Real
The away team are missing Brais Mendez after he fractured a metatarsal at Old Trafford. Jon Pacheco and Luka Sucic are rated doubtful.
Predicted Lineup: Remiro (GK), J. Lopez, Aguerd, Zubeldia, Aramburu, Olasagasti, Zubimendi, Marin, S. Gomez, Oskarsson & Barrenetxea
Spain La Liga 10/05/25 L Atletico Madrid 4 Real Sociedad 0 Spain La Liga 04/05/25 D Athletic Bilbao 0 Real Sociedad 0 Spain La Liga 23/04/25 L CD Alaves 1 Real Sociedad 0 Spain La Liga 20/04/25 D Villarreal 2 Real Sociedad 2 Spain La Liga 12/04/25 L Mallorca 2 Real Sociedad 0 
Player to watch – Jorge de Frutos
The hosts at least have winger Jorge de Frutos available again. He has scored four goals this term in La Liga, more than any other Rayo player.
De Frutos shining on the right
The ex-Levante man has registered 1.6 shots, 1.0 key passes and 1.0 dribbles per game in the league this season.