rayo vallecano vs real sociedad predictions
La Real crashed out of the Europa League on Thursday - Photo by IMAGO.
🔥 Our Hot tip

Draw no bet - Rayo Vallecano to win

Real Sociedad haven’t won any of their last five matches, losing four of them.

Real Sociedad are hoping to bounce back from European disappointment when they travel to Madrid this weekend. Our Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad prediction and La Liga betting tips consider whether Imanol’s side can get anything from this game.

Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad prediction: Hosts to edge tight game

Key stats

  • Our Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad betting tips take into account that the visitors have lost six of their last seven away games in all competitions.
  • 89% of Rayo games and 96% of La Real games in La Liga have produced under 3.5 goals.
  • Rayo have only lost four of their last 16 matches in all competitions.

Correct score prediction: Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Real Sociedad

Imanol has really targeted the cups this season, often prioritising them in terms of team selection, and we’re likely to see a number of fringe players rotate in again here.

They’ve been struggling away from home of late, and with this being their 20th match already in 2025, they may find this tough going against an energetic Rayo Vallecano side.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Hosts the slight favourites

  • HOME: 29/20 (2.45) – 40.8%
  • DRAW: 2/1 (3.00) – 33.3%
  • AWAY: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.3%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The hosts are the favourites according to the Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad odds, with an implied probability of 40.8% that they win this match.

They come into the game following a 2-1 defeat away to Real Madrid last time out, although they played well and had 20 shots on the home goal in that one.

As for Real Sociedad, they exited the Europa League on Thursday night, going down 4-1 to Man Utd in a game of penalties and controversial moments.

For more from the upcoming action, today’s football betting tips look at some of the best picks.

Most recent H2Hs: Just one win in 10 for Rayo

Our Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad prediction suggests the Madrid-based club can improve on a poor recent record in this fixture.

La Real have avoided defeat on all of their last five trips to Vallecas, although all but one of those games did end in draws.

Spain Copa del Rey 16/01/25

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

3
Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

1

Spain La Liga 18/08/24

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

1
Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

2

Spain La Liga 27/01/24

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

0
Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

0

Spain La Liga 29/10/23

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

2
Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

2

Spain La Liga 22/04/23

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

2
Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

1

Rayo Vallecano preview: Injury problems for the hosts

The home team are missing Isi Palazon, Randy Nteka, Sergio Camello and Abdul Mumin to injuries.

Predicted Lineup: Batalla (GK), Chavarria, A. Hernandez, Lejeune, Ratiu, Ciss, Diaz, A. Garcia, U. Lopez, De Frutos & Embarba

Spain La Liga 09/05/25

W

Las Palmas

Las Palmas

0

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

1

Spain La Liga 02/05/25

W

Getafe

Getafe

0

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

1

Spain La Liga 24/04/25

L

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

3

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

0

Spain La Liga 19/04/25

D

Valencia

Valencia

1

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

1

Spain La Liga 13/04/25

L

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

3

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

1

Real Sociedad preview: Mendez blow for La Real

The away team are missing Brais Mendez after he fractured a metatarsal at Old Trafford. Jon Pacheco and Luka Sucic are rated doubtful.

Predicted Lineup: Remiro (GK), J. Lopez, Aguerd, Zubeldia, Aramburu, Olasagasti, Zubimendi, Marin, S. Gomez, Oskarsson & Barrenetxea

Spain La Liga 10/05/25

L

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

4

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

0

Spain La Liga 04/05/25

D

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

0

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

0

Spain La Liga 23/04/25

L

CD Alaves

CD Alaves

1

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

0

Spain La Liga 20/04/25

D

Villarreal

Villarreal

2

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

2

Spain La Liga 12/04/25

L

Mallorca

Mallorca

2

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

0

Player to watch – Jorge de Frutos

The hosts at least have winger Jorge de Frutos available again. He has scored four goals this term in La Liga, more than any other Rayo player.

rayo vallecano vs real sociedad prediction
De Frutos returns from suspension this weekend – Photo by IMAGO.

De Frutos shining on the right

The ex-Levante man has registered 1.6 shots, 1.0 key passes and 1.0 dribbles per game in the league this season.

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Mark is a freelance football writer based in Madrid. He regularly attends and covers La Liga matches around Spain, whilst also following football across Europe.