Real Salt Lake will aim to return to winning ways when they welcome struggling St Louis City to America First Field in Sandy this weekend, with both sides seeking to lift themselves from the lower reaches of the Western Conference table.
Check our Real Salt Lake vs St Louis City prediction below.
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Real Salt Lake vs St Louis City predictions: Hosts to exploit visitors’ away frailties?
Key stats
- St Louis have suffered defeat in each of their last five away league fixtures
- All three of Salt Lake’s home victories this season have seen them lead at the break
- The visitors have registered over 10.5 corners in three of their last five matches
- St Louis have failed to score in three of their last five away games
Correct score prediction: Real Salt Lake 2–0 St Louis City
This forecast is based on patterns from both clubs’ home and away records, respectively. Salt Lake have delivered three wins at home this season — all finishing 2-0 — and with St Louis misfiring in the final third during away outings and conceding at least twice in five of their last seven matches on the road, a similar result appears likely.
Pre-game odds and win probability: PSG favourites with bookmakers
- HOME:7/10 (1.70) – 58.8%
- DRAW:14/5 (3.80) – 26.3%
- AWAY:29/10 (3.90) – 25.6%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Salt Lake enter this match with a 58.8% implied win probability and are priced at 1.70, underlining their status as favourites despite recent inconsistencies, while four points collected from their last two matches suggest a modest upward trend.
St Louis, by contrast, are without a win in their last four matches and have recorded just one victory in 15 league appearances — a bleak record that makes their 25.6% win chance appear rather generous.
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Most recent H2Hs: Successive wins for Salt Lake?
Their last head-to-head was a 1-1 draw in a pre-season friendly earlier this year, but in competitive terms, Real Salt Lake secured a 3-1 triumph in their most recent MLS meeting, and a repeat would mark their first-ever back-to-back victories over St Louis in the top flight.
Friendlies 05/02/25
St. Louis City SC
Real Salt Lake
USA MLS 31/03/24
Real Salt Lake
St. Louis City SC
USA MLS 25/02/24
St. Louis City SC
Real Salt Lake
USA MLS 22/06/23
St. Louis City SC
Real Salt Lake
USA MLS 26/03/23
Real Salt Lake
St. Louis City SC
Real Salt Lake preview: Luna remains sidelined
The hosts come into this encounter off the back of a 1-1 draw away to Sporting Kansas City, which leaves them 13th in the standings and outside the playoff conversation.
They will again be without top scorer Diego Luna, who is away with the United States national team and set to feature in the CONCACAF Gold Cup final against Mexico on Monday.
Injury concerns also persist, with Zac MacMath, Javain Brown, Emeka Eneli and Matthew Bell all unavailable for selection due to various fitness issues.
Predicted lineup:Cabral (GK), Caliskan, Glad, Junqua, Katranis, Palacio, Ruiz, Goncalves, Gozo, Russell & Agada
USA MLS 11/05/25
D
FC Dallas
1
Real Salt Lake
1
USA MLS 04/05/25
L
Vancouver Whitecaps
2
Real Salt Lake
1
USA MLS 26/04/25
W
San Diego FC
1
Real Salt Lake
3
USA MLS 20/04/25
L
Toronto FC
1
Real Salt Lake
0
USA MLS 13/04/25
L
Nashville SC
2
Real Salt Lake
1
St Louis City preview: Injury cloud hangs over Critchley’s camp
The Missouri outfit suffered a narrow 1-0 defeat to Houston Dynamo last time out — a result that not only extended their winless run but also left them counting additional setbacks.
Both Jake Girdwood-Reich and Alfredo Morales were withdrawn during that match due to injury, and their participation this weekend remains uncertain.
They join an already depleted squad, with Rasmus Alm (hip) ruled out for the long term and Joakim Nilsson still undergoing rehabilitation for a knee problem.
Predicted lineup: Burki (GK), Totland, Hiebert, Reid, Watts, Wallem, Hartel, Pompeu, Ostrak, Becher & Klauss
USA MLS 11/05/25
L
San Diego FC
2
St. Louis City SC
1
USA US Open Cup 08/05/25
W
Union Omaha
0
St. Louis City SC
2
USA MLS 04/05/25
L
Seattle Sounders
4
St. Louis City SC
1
USA MLS 27/04/25
D
Los Angeles FC
2
St. Louis City SC
2
USA MLS 20/04/25
D
Vancouver Whitecaps
0
St. Louis City SC
0