Real Oviedo vs Atletico Madrid prediction, odds & betting tips 28/02/2026
Atletico Madrid are unbeaten in six consecutive meetings with Real Oviedo. - Photo by IMAGO/Zuma Press Wire
🔥 Our Hot tip

Over 2.5 Atletico Madrid goals

Atletico Madrid scored at least three goals in four of their last five matches.

Sparks will fly as Real Oviedo welcome Atletico Madrid to Carlos Tartiere Stadium for their La Liga clash on Saturday, 28 February 2026.

View our free Real Oviedo vs Atletico Madrid predictions below.

Real Oviedo vs Atletico Madrid predictions: Goals expected

Key stats

  • Three or more goals were scored in four of Real Oviedo's last five matches.
  • Atletico Madrid’s last five games have all gone above the 2.5-goal threshold.
  • Real Oviedo have lost three consecutive encounters between these sides.

Correct score prediction: Real Oviedo 1-3 Atletico Madrid

Real Oviedo have been La Liga's worst team this season, winning only three of their 24 league matches. They are up against an Atletico Madrid side that have won back-to-back games, scoring four goals in each victory.

Keeping in mind that Atletico Madrid came out on top the last three times these teams clashed, we are confident that the visitors will emerge victorious after all is said and done.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Atletico Madrid priced as favourites

  • HOME: 17/4 (5.25) – 19%
  • DRAW: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.8%
  • AWAY: 7/10 (1.70) – 58.8%

*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Atletico Madrid booked a place in the round of 16 of the UEFA Champions League with a comfortable 4-1 victory over Club Brugge earlier this week. Diego Simeone's troops will turn their attention to La Liga, where they trail leaders Barcelona by 13 points.

On the other hand, Real Oviedo are coming off a 3-3 draw at Real Sociedad. They have managed only one win in their last 18 matches and are last in the Spanish top flight ahead of their skirmish with fourth-placed Atletico Madrid.

Keeping that in mind, Atletico Madrid are the expected winners at 7/10 (1.70). Teams with these odds generally have a 58.8% probability of winning.

Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Real Oviedo vs Atletico Madrid predictions.

We have established that both teams were involved in their fair share of high-scoring games in recent weeks. On that note, over 2.5 total goals has an appealing look at 1/1 (2.00). That one has a 50% chance of landing.

Most recent H2Hs: One-sided affair

Rayo Vallecano suffered a 2-0 defeat in the reverse fixture last November. They have lost three consecutive clashes between these teams and are without a win in their last six H2Hs.

Spain La Liga 29/11/25

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

2
Oviedo

Oviedo

0

Spain Copa del Rey 04/01/23

Oviedo

Oviedo

0
Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

2

Real Oviedo preview: Few injury concerns

Real Oviedo will have to do without David Costas, as the former Celta Vigo defender is sidelined with a groin problem until March.

Holding midfielder Santiago Colombatto missed the thrilling 3-3 draw at Reale Arena last week because of suspension, but he will be back in the squad this weekend to feature alongside Kwasi Sibo in a double pivot.

It is expected that Federico Vinas will lead the line here, while veteran playmaker Santi Cazorla pulls the strings from the middle, but the trio of Ovie Ejaria, Eric Bailly, and Alberto Reina are questionable.

Predicted lineup: Escandell (GK), Vidal, Carmo, Bailly, Lopez, Sibo, Colombatto, Hassan, Reina, Chaira & Vinas

Last five matches

  • 21/02/26: Real Sociedad 3-3 Real Oviedo (La Liga)
  • 15/02/26: Real Oviedo 1-2 Athletic Club (LaLiga)
  • 31/01/26: Real Oviedo 1-0 Girona FC (LaLiga)
  • 25/01/26: Barcelona 3-0 Real Oviedo (LaLiga)
  • 17/01/26: Osasuna 3-2 Real Oviedo (LaLiga)

Atletico Madrid preview: Eyeing their third consecutive win

Los Colchoneros could have Nico Gonzalez and Pablo Barrios back in the squad for this game, as both players have returned to team training following thigh and groin injury layoffs, respectively.

With a key Copa del Rey semifinal second-leg clash against Barcelona coming up in a few days, Simeone could decide to rest some key players for this game, something the Argentine gaffer has done a few times this season.

Predicted lineup: Oblak (GK), Ruggeri, Lenglet, Gimenez, Molina, Cardoso, Llorente, Baena, Mendoza, Almada & Sorloth

Last five matches

  • 24/02/26: Atletico Madrid 4-1 Club Brugge (Champions League)
  • 21/02/26: Atletico Madrid 4-2 Espanyol (La Liga)
  • 18/02/26: Club Brugge 3-3 Atletico Madrid (Champions League)
  • 15/02/26: Rayo Vallecano 3-0 Atletico Madrid (La Liga)
  • 12/02/26: Atletico Madrid 4-0 Barcelona (Copa del Rey)

Player to watch: Alexander Sorloth

Alexander Sorloth player to watch (Real Oviedo vs Atletico Madrid)
Alexander Sorloth has nine goals in La Liga this season. – Photo by IMAGO/Alterphotos

Alexander Sorloth put in a man-of-the-match performance earlier this week, scoring a hat-trick in Atletico Madrid's 4-1 victory over Club Brugge in the UEFA Champions League. The former Villarreal forward has five goals in his last two appearances and will fancy his chances against Real Oviedo after scoring a brace in the reverse fixture.


Kelechi is a huge sports fan with over 10 years of betting experience. He has written for a few publications like Afrik-Foot, What Are The Odds, Mighty Tips and Pundit Feed