All eyes will be on Santiago Bernabeu Stadium as two of La Liga's top 3 teams battle for supremacy on Saturday, 4 October 2025.
View our free Real Madrid vs Villarreal predictions below.
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Real Madrid vs Villarreal predictions: Goals expected to flow
Key stats
- Seven of Real Madrid's last eight matches went above the 2.5-goal line.
- Both teams were on the scoresheet in six of Real Madrid's last seven games.
- Villarreal have won their last three La Liga matches.
Correct score prediction: Real Madrid 2-1 Villarreal
Although Villarreal are on a three-match winning run in La Liga, it is important to note that they have struggled on the road this season, winning only one of four away games across all competitions.
Real Madrid, on the other hand, have nine wins in their last 10 games. They also won five of Villarreal's last seven trips to this stadium (D1, L1).
All things considered, Los Blancos should claim all the spoils after all is said and done.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Real Madrid are overwhelming favourites
- HOME: 4/9 (1.44) – 69.2%
- DRAW: 19/5 (4.80) – 20.8%
- AWAY: 5/1 (6.00) – 16.7%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Real Madrid suffered a disappointing 5-2 defeat against city rivals Atletico in their previous La Liga game last weekend. That loss saw them drop to second in the Spanish top flight with 18 points from a possible 21.
Los Blancos are closely followed by Villarreal, who have won five of seven La Liga games this campaign (D1, L1). The Yellow Submarine are unbeaten in their last four games across all competitions.
Ahead of this encounter, Real Madrid are the expected winners at 4/9 (1.44). Teams with these odds generally have a 69.2% probability of winning.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Real Madrid vs Villarreal predictions.
It is also important to note that Real Madrid had the lead at the half-time break in six of their last eight matches.
Keeping in mind that they also led at half-time in four consecutive encounters between these sides, HT Real Madrid to win has an appealing look at 17/20 (1.85). That one has a 54.1% chance of landing.
Most recent H2Hs: Real Madrid's dominance to continue?
Real Madrid came out on top the last two times these teams clashed and are unbeaten in their last four encounters (W3, D1).
Spain La Liga 15/03/25
Villarreal
Real Madrid
Spain La Liga 05/10/24
Real Madrid
Villarreal
Spain La Liga 19/05/24
Villarreal
Real Madrid
Spain La Liga 17/12/23
Real Madrid
Villarreal
Spain La Liga 08/04/23
Real Madrid
Villarreal
Real Madrid preview: Eyeing their ninth consecutive victory at home
A new ankle injury to Eder Militao deepens defensive problems for Real Madrid, as he joins the likes of Trent Alexander-Arnold (hamstring), Dani Carvajal (calf), Antonio Rudiger (thigh) and Ferland Mendy (thigh) in the treatment room for Los Blancos.
Energetic midfielder Eduardo Camavinga scored his first-ever Champions League goal during the midweek against Kairat Almaty, and could be set for a first start in La Liga this season.
Franco Mastantuono is expected to return to the XI after dropping to the bench in last weekend’s heavy defeat to city rivals Atletico Madrid. There could also be starts for Jude Bellingham in midfield and Fran Garcia at left back.
Predicted lineup: Courtois (GK), Valverde, Asensio, Huijsen, Garcia, Camavinga, Bellingham, Guler, Mastantuono, Vini & Mbappe.
Last five matches
- Kairat Almaty 0-5 Real Madrid
- Atletico Madrid 5-2 Real Madrid
- Levante 1-4 Real Madrid
- Real Madrid 2-0 Espanyol
- Real Madrid 2-1 Marseille
Villarreal preview: A fair few absentees
Villarreal, meanwhile, are not left out of injury problems, with up to four players effectively ruled out of this contest, including Juan Foyth (muscle), Logan Costa (ACL), Willy Kambwala (hamstring), and Pau Cabanes La Torre (ACL).
Veteran attacker Gerard Moreno, who has been sidelined for some time due to a hamstring issue, could be back for this game alongside Ayoze Perez, who has had a groin issue of late.
Goalkeeper Luis Junior sat out the 2-2 Champions League draw against Juventus in midweek, with Arnau Tenas given the nod for that match, but he's expected to be back between the sticks for Villarreal as they make the trip to the capital.
Predicted lineup: Junior (GK), Cardona, Veiga, Marin, Mourino, Moleiro, Partey, Gueye, Akhomach Mikautadze & Pepe.
Last five matches
- Villarreal 2-2 Juventus
- Villarreal 1-0 Athletic Bilbao
- Sevilla 1-2 Villarreal
- Villarreal 2-1 Osasuna
- Tottenham 1-0 Villarreal
Player to watch: Kylian Mbappe
It was business as usual for Kylian Mbappe, as the former Paris Saint-Germain forward scored his first hat-trick of the season in Real Madrid's 5-0 victory at Kairat Almaty.
The French forward has now scored in eight consecutive appearances across all competitions for club and country; he is La Liga's top scorer with eight goals and will look to add to his tally on Saturday night.