Real Madrid head to the Ramon Sanchez-Pizjuan on Sunday. Our Sevilla vs Real Madrid prediction and La Liga betting tips consider whether Carlo Ancelotti’s injury-ravaged squad can leave with three points.
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Sevilla vs Real Madrid prediction: Mbappe to score, but hosts to compete in draw
Key stats
- Our Sevilla vs Real Madrid betting tips take into account that Los Blancos have conceded 76 goals in 60 games in all competitions this season, their highest tally in a single campaign since 2003/04 (also 76).
- Real Madrid haven’t won any of their last 18 games by more than a single goal.
- Sevilla have scored three headed goals in five games so far under Joaquin Caparros, two more than in their 31 league games under Garcia Pimienta.
Correct score prediction: Sevilla 2-2 Real Madrid
The pressure is off Sevilla now after they secured survival in midweek, so that may help their players here given the intense scrutiny they’ve come under in recent weeks.
Real Madrid have a major selection issues at the back, and that should serve up some opportunities for the home team, but the visitors should still have enough individual quality to get a result.
Place your bet on this prediction at bet365.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Visitors the odds-on favourites
- HOME: 16/5 (4.20) – 23.8%
- DRAW: 3/1 (4.00) – 25.0%
- AWAY: 8/11 (1.73) – 57.9%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The visitors are the favourites according to the Sevilla vs Real Madrid odds, with an implied probability of 57.9% that they win this match.
They head into this following a 2-1 win over Mallorca, with Real Madrid scoring the winner with their 39th attempt of the game from Jacobo.
As for Sevilla, youngster Alvaro Garcia Pascual scored the only goal as they claimed a vital 1-0 win over Las Palmas on Tuesday.
For more from the upcoming matches, today’s free betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Madrid dominant of late
Our Sevilla vs Real Madrid prediction suggests this one could end level, although six of the last seven meetings have been won by the side from the Spanish capital.
Sevilla last tasted success in this fixture with a 3-0 home victory over Los Blancos in September 2018.
Spain La Liga 22/12/24
Real Madrid
Sevilla
Spain La Liga 25/02/24
Real Madrid
Sevilla
Spain La Liga 21/10/23
Sevilla
Real Madrid
Spain La Liga 27/05/23
Sevilla
Real Madrid
Spain La Liga 22/10/22
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Sevilla
Sevilla preview: Hosts missing at least four
Caparros will have to cope without the injured quartet of Ruben Vargas, Akor Adams, Tanguy Nianzou and Diego Hormigo. Kike Salas is also a doubt.
Predicted Lineup: Nyland (GK), Carmona, Ramon, Bade, Juanlu, Gudelj, Agoume, Lukebakio, Sow, Suso & Garcia Pascual
Spain La Liga 13/05/25
W Las Palmas 0 Sevilla 1 Spain La Liga 10/05/25
L Celta Vigo 3 Sevilla 2 Spain La Liga 04/05/25
D Leganes 2 Sevilla 2 Spain La Liga 24/04/25
L Osasuna 1 Sevilla 0 Spain La Liga 20/04/25
D CD Alaves 1 Sevilla 1
Real Madrid preview: Big problems remain for Ancelotti
The visitors are missing Dani Carvajal, Antonio Rudiger, Eder Militao, David Alaba, Eduardo Camavinga and Ferland Mendy once more due to injuries. They also have major doubts over Vinicius, Rodrygo, Andriy Lunin, Brahim Diaz, Lucas Vazquez and Raul Asencio.
Predicted Lineup: Courtois (GK), F. Garcia, Jacobo, Vallejo, Valverde, Ceballos, Tchouameni, Mbappe, Bellingham, Guler & Endrick
Spain La Liga 11/05/25
L Barcelona 4 Real Madrid 3 Spain La Liga 04/05/25
W Celta Vigo 2 Real Madrid 3 Spain Copa del Rey 26/04/25
L Barcelona 3 Real Madrid 2 Spain La Liga 23/04/25
W Getafe 0 Real Madrid 1 Spain La Liga 20/04/25
W Athletic Bilbao 0 Real Madrid 1
Player to watch – Kylian Mbappe
The visitors can still count on Kylian Mbappe to pose a goal threat. He had nine shots in midweek, scoring once against Mallorca.
Madrid’s top-scoring debutant
The Frenchman has scored 28 goals in 32 games in La Liga 2024/25, the most by a player in his first season for Real Madrid in the history of the Spanish top flight. This betters Alfredo Di Stefano’s tally of 27 in 1953/54.