All eyes will be on the Bernabeu when Real Madrid host Real Sociedad in the 24th round of La Liga on Saturday, 14 February 2026.
View our free Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad predictions below.
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Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad predictions: Goals expected
Key stats
- At least three goals were scored in six of Real Sociedad's last eight matches.
- Real Sociedad are currently on an 11-match unbeaten run across all competitions.
- There were at least 11 corners in each of Real Madrid's last five games.
Correct score prediction: Real Madrid 2-1 Real Sociedad
To be fair, Real Sociedad have been a tough team to beat, as they have won three in a row and are unbeaten in 11 consecutive matches. However, the Basque giants are up against a Real Madrid side that have won each of their last seven La Liga games.
Moreover, Real Madrid have a solid track record against Real Sociedad, as they have won six of the last seven skirmishes between these outfits.
Taking everything into account, we are confident that Los Blancos will claim all the spoils at the end of this match.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Madrid clearly favoured
- HOME: 2/5 (1.40) – 71.4%
- DRAW: 17/4 (5.25) – 19%
- AWAY: 11/2 (6.50) – 15.4%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Real Madrid's 2-0 win at Valencia last weekend was their seventh consecutive victory in La Liga. Alvaro Arbeloa's men will return to the Bernabeu, where they have won five consecutive matches across all competitions.
On the other hand, Real Sociedad earned their third consecutive win in the Basque derby earlier this week, defeating arch-rivals Athletic Bilbao in the first leg of their Copa del Rey semifinal tie. Pellegrino Matarazzo’s troops are eighth in La Liga ahead of their skirmish with second-placed Real Madrid, who trail leaders Barcelona by one point.
Bearing that in mind, Real Madrid are the expected winners at 2/5 (1.40). Teams with these odds usually have a 71.4% probability of winning.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad predictions.
Also, we have established that each of Real Madrid's last five matches went above the 10.5-corner threshold. Bearing in mind that there were at least 11 corners in each of the last six skirmishes between these outfits, over 10.5 total corners has an appealing look at 1/1 (2.00). That one has a 50% chance of landing.
Most recent H2Hs: Business as usual for Real Madrid?
Real Madrid have been the dominant side in recent encounters between these teams, as they came out on top in six of their last seven clashes with Real Sociedad.
Spain La Liga 13/09/25
Real Sociedad
Real Madrid
Spain La Liga 24/05/25
Real Madrid
Real Sociedad
Spain Copa del Rey 01/04/25
Real Madrid
Real Sociedad
Spain Copa del Rey 26/02/25
Real Sociedad
Real Madrid
Spain La Liga 14/09/24
Real Sociedad
Real Madrid
Real Madrid preview: Eyeing their sixth consequence home win
Real Madrid are expected to be without Eder Militao (hamstring), Franco Mastantuono (knock), and Jude Bellingham (hamstring) for this La Liga fixture.
Vinicius Jr will be back in the final third for Los Blancos after serving a one-game suspension last weekend, but Ferland Mendy and Rodrygo Goes will need further assessment to determine their final status for this game. At the time of writing, both players are major doubts.
Predicted lineup: Courtois (GK), Alexander-Arnold, Asencio, Huijsen, Carreras, Valverde, Tchouameni, Camavinga, Guler, Vinicius Jr & Mbappe.
Last five matches
- 08/02/26: Valencia 0-2 Real Madrid (La Liga)
- 01/02/26: Real Madrid 2-1 Rayo Vallecano (La Liga)
- 28/01/26: Benfica 4-2 Real Madrid (UEFA Champions League)
- 24/01/26: Villarreal 0-2 Real Madrid (La Liga)
- 20/01/26: Real Madrid 6-1 Monaco (UEFA Champions League)
Real Sociedad preview: Few injury concerns
As for Real Sociedad, Takefusa Kubo (hamstring) and Unai Marrero (facial wound) are definitely ruled out of this contest.
While Orri Oskarsson is available after recovering from injury, Ander Barrenetxea, Arsen Zakharyan, and Luka Sucic are questionable, with the trio not match-fit for the weekend.
Moreover, Brais Mendez will serve the first of his two-match ban in this game after he received his marching orders in last weekend's battle against Athletic Bilbao.
Predicted lineup: Remiro (GK), Gomez, Caleta-Car, Zubeldia, Aramburu, Turrientes, Soler, Gorrotxategi, Guedes, Marin & Oyarzabal.
Last five matches
- 11/02/26: Athletic Bilbao 0-1 Real Sociedad (Copa del Rey)
- 07/02/26: Real Sociedad 3-1 Elche (La Liga)
- 04/02/26: Alaves 2-3 Real Sociedad (Copa del Rey)
- 01/02/26: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Real Sociedad (La Liga)
- 25/01/26: Real Sociedad 3-1 Celta Vigo (La Liga)
Player to watch: Mikel Oyarzabal
Mikel Oyarzabal has been nothing short of impressive, scoring five goals in his last six appearances across all competitions. The 28-year-old has three goals in the last three H2Hs and will fancy his chances against Los Blancos once again.