Real Madrid vs Osasuna prediction – 19/08/2025
Mbappe won the European Golden Boot last season- Photo by IMAGO.
🔥 Our Hot tip

Real Madrid to win and over 1.5 goals

With their strong home record and squad quality, a comfortable win for the Real Madrid looks likely.

Real Madrid will hope to start their season on a high note when they take on Osasuna at the Bernabeu in their La Liga opener.

With Barcelona already off to a great start with a 3-0 win over Real Mallorca, Los Blancos will hope to avoid playing catch-up from the first match day as they look to wrestle the title back from the Catalans.

Check out our Real Madrid vs Osasuna prediction, including correct score, lineups and key statistics.

La Liga betting tips consider whether Xabi Alonso’s side will be able to leave with maximum points.

Real Madrid vs Osasuna prediction: Los Blancos looking to extend dominance

Key stats

  • Real Madrid have not lost to Osasuna in La Liga since January 2011, staying unbeaten in 20 straight meetings.
  • Real Madrid have not lost their opening La Liga game in the last 16 seasons.
  • Real Madrid have not lost at home to Osasuna since 2004.

Correct score prediction: Real Madrid 3-0 Osasuna

After an unsuccessful Club World Cup campaign where they lost 4-0 to Paris Saint-Germain in the semi-finals, Madrid are looking to begin their first league campaign under new manager Xabi Alonso.

Los Blancos have only played one friendly, winning 4-0 over WSG Tirol, and they will hope new signings Dean Huijsen, Alvaro Carreras, Trent Alexander-Arnold and Franco Mastantuono make the difference.

After reviewing our Real Madrid vs Osasuna predictions, you can check our other football betting tips today on our website.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Real Madrid are overwhelming favourites

  • Real Madrid: 1/4 (1.25) – 80%
  • Draw: 5/1 (6.50) – 15.4%
  • Osasuna: 10/1 (11.00) – 9.1%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Real Madrid head into the clash as overwhelming favourites with a strong win probability of 80%, while Osasuna are heavy underdogs with a less than 10% chance, underlining the uphill battle they face against the reigning Spanish giants.

For more from the upcoming action around Europe, today’s football betting tips look at some of the best picks.

Most recent H2Hs: Real Madrid looking to avoid slip-up

Los Blancos have not lost to Osasuna in La Liga since January 2011, demonstrating the size of the away team's task, but it was 1-1 when the two teams last locked horns in February 2025.

Prior to that, Madrid had won five consecutive encounters between the two teams across all competitions, including four in La Liga.

Spain La Liga 15/02/25

Osasuna

Osasuna

1
Real Madrid

Real Madrid

1

Spain La Liga 09/11/24

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

4
Osasuna

Osasuna

0

Spain La Liga 16/03/24

Osasuna

Osasuna

2
Real Madrid

Real Madrid

4

Spain La Liga 07/10/23

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

4
Osasuna

Osasuna

0

Spain Copa del Rey 06/05/23

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

2
Osasuna

Osasuna

1

Real Madrid preview: Xabi Alonso hoping for a great start

Real Madrid finished four points behind the champions, Barcelona, last season, and there is pressure on Alonso to topple them this season.

After adding four new players to the team, the retired midfielder will be hoping to put the CWC run behind for a fresh start in the league.

However, he will also need players such as Vinicius Junior, who has an underwhelming campaign, to rediscover the form that propelled him to win the FIFA Player of the Year award in 2024.

Predicted Lineup: Courtois (GK), Alexander-Arnold, Militao, Huijsen, Carreras, Guler, Tchouameni, Valverde, Brahim, Mbappe & Vinicius

Spain La Liga 11/05/25

L

Barcelona

Barcelona

4

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

3

Spain La Liga 04/05/25

W

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

2

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

3

Spain Copa del Rey 26/04/25

L

Barcelona

Barcelona

3

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

2

Spain La Liga 23/04/25

W

Getafe

Getafe

0

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

1

Spain La Liga 20/04/25

W

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

0

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

1

Osasuna preview: Hoping for another top-half finish

Osasuna are set for their seventh consecutive season in the top flight, aiming to secure another top-half finish, while a surprise push for Europe remains possible.

Their summer business has been modest, with just two arrivals, Victor Munoz from Real Madrid and Valentin Rosier on a free from Leganes.

Alessio Lisci’s men warmed up with five pre-season matches, winning only once, though that victory came in their final outing against Mirandes earlier this month.

Predicted Lineup: Herrera (GK), Rosier, Catena, Boyomo, Bretones, Torro, Moncayola, Oroz, K Barja, Budimir & M Gomez

Spain La Liga 11/05/25

D

Real Betis

Real Betis

1

Osasuna

Osasuna

1

Spain La Liga 03/05/25

L

Villarreal

Villarreal

4

Osasuna

Osasuna

2

Spain La Liga 24/04/25

W

Sevilla

Sevilla

0

Osasuna

Osasuna

1

Spain La Liga 20/04/25

W

Valladolid

Valladolid

2

Osasuna

Osasuna

3

Spain La Liga 13/04/25

W

Girona

Girona

1

Osasuna

Osasuna

2

Player to Watch: Kylian Mbappe

After his high-profile arrival last season, many thought Real Madrid would go all the way and win the title, but it was not to be.
However, the French star still won the European Golden Boot with 31 goals in the league, and he remains their most dangerous player.

real madrid vs osasuna prediction
Mbappe was the league's top scorer last season – Photo by IMAGO.
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Joshua Cole is a passionate football writer with a keen eye for the game’s biggest stories and hidden gems. He blends sharp analysis with engaging storytelling, covering players, matches, and trends from across the football world.