Real Madrid are back at the Bernabeu this weekend, three days on from a cup thriller. Our Real Madrid vs Las Palmas prediction and La Liga betting tips consider whether they can see off their Canarian opponents.
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Real Madrid vs Las Palmas prediction: Bellingham to strike in home win
Key stats
- Our Real Madrid vs Las Palmas betting tips take into account that Los Blancos have let in seven goals in their last two competitive matches.
- Las Palmas have only failed to score in one of their last seven league games.
- Their average of 1.26 goals per game sees them rank in the top eight of La Liga for goals scored.
Correct score prediction: Real Madrid 3-1 Las Palmas
Las Palmas have been one of the form teams in Spain in recent months under new boss Diego Martinez, but they have lost two in a row in disappointing fashion.
That suggests the honeymoon may finally be over, but they could still get on the scoresheet here against a Real Madrid side that has been poor defensively in recent games.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Los Blancos the red hot favourites
- HOME: 2/13 (1.15) – 86.7%
- DRAW: 15/2 (8.50) – 11.8%
- AWAY: 14/1 (15.00) – 6.7%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The hosts are the favourites according to the Real Madrid vs Las Palmas odds with an implied probability of 86.7% that they win this match.
They head into the game after a 5-2 win over Celta Vigo in the Copa del Rey, with Endrick coming off the bench to score twice and seal victory in Extra Time.
As for Las Palmas, they lost 2-1 at home to Getafe last weekend in La Liga, with Adnan Januzaj scoring their goal.
For more from the upcoming action across Europe, today’s football betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Four wins out of five for Madrid
Our Real Madrid vs Las Palmas prediction suggests the home team can record a fifth victory in six league meetings between the clubs.
They’ve scored 23 goals in their last six home fixtures against Las Palmas.
Spain La Liga 29/08/24
Las Palmas
Real Madrid
Spain La Liga 27/01/24
Las Palmas
Real Madrid
Spain La Liga 27/09/23
Real Madrid
Las Palmas
Spain La Liga 31/03/18
Las Palmas
Real Madrid
Spain La Liga 05/11/17
Real Madrid
Las Palmas
Real Madrid preview: Vinicius begins ban
Vinicius Junior starts a two game ban for Los Blancos, while Luka Modric is also suspended. Dani Carvajal, Eder Militao and Eduardo Camavinga are out injured.
Predicted Lineup: Courtois (GK), Mendy, Rudiger, Asencio, Vazquez, Bellingham, Tchouameni, Valverde, Guler, Mbappe & Rodrygo
Spain La Liga 11/05/25
L Barcelona 4 Real Madrid 3 Spain La Liga 04/05/25
W Celta Vigo 2 Real Madrid 3 Spain Copa del Rey 26/04/25
L Barcelona 3 Real Madrid 2 Spain La Liga 23/04/25
W Getafe 0 Real Madrid 1 Spain La Liga 20/04/25
W Athletic Bilbao 0 Real Madrid 1
Las Palmas preview: Visitors missing three
Martinez will have to cope without the suspended Dario Essugo, meanwhile Marvin Park and Viti Rozada are out injured.
Predicted Lineup: Cillessen (GK), Marmol, McKenna, Herzog, A. Suarez, Loiodice, J. Muñoz, Moleiro, Kirian, Sandro & Fabio Silva
Spain La Liga 13/05/25
L Sevilla 1 Las Palmas 0 Spain La Liga 09/05/25
L Rayo Vallecano 1 Las Palmas 0 Spain La Liga 03/05/25
L Valencia 3 Las Palmas 2 Spain La Liga 23/04/25
L Athletic Bilbao 1 Las Palmas 0 Spain La Liga 19/04/25
W Atletico Madrid 0 Las Palmas 1
Player to watch – Jude Bellingham
With no Vinicius, Bellingham should get more freedom to attack down the left side and cut into the penalty area. He’s in fine scoring form right now and has seven goals and five assists overall this term in La Liga from 15 appearances.
Bellingham firing just before the interval
The 21-year-old has been at his most effective just before the break in La Liga. 43% of his goals in the league have come between the 31st and 45th minutes.