Granada vs Real Madrid prediction, odds & betting tips – 11/05/2024

11/05/24 - 17:30

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Granada - Real Madrid

Spain La Liga - Estadio Nuevo Los Carmenes

Having clinched the title and a place in the Champions League Final already this week, Real Madrid are in La Liga action at Granada this Saturday. Our Granada vs Real Madrid prediction considers whether it’ll be another win for Carlo Ancelotti’s side.

Granada vs Real Madrid prediction: Los Blancos to claim narrow win with Joselu on the mark again

Key Stats

• Our Granada vs Real Madrid betting tips take into account the visiting team’s excellent record of just one defeat in 50 competitive matches this term, excluding Extra Time.
• Granada have the second worst defensive record in La Liga with 1.88 goals per game conceded on average.
• Los Blancos have taken 22 points from their last eight league games, five more than any other side heading into this matchday.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Real Madrid the strong favourites

• HOME: 19/4 (5.75) – 17.4%
• DRAW: 10/3 (4.33) – 23.1%
• AWAY: 8/15 (1.53) – 65.2%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Despite expected rotation, the visitors are the favourites according to the Granada vs Real Madrid odds with an implied probability of 65.2% that they win this one.

Real Madrid rotated but still won 3-0 against Cadiz last weekend with the title sealed by virtue of Barcelona’s defeat at Girona later in the day. They then staged another remarkable late comeback in the Champions League with Joselu’s brace at the death sealing a 4-3 aggregate win over Bayern Munich.

Granada come into this game after a 3-0 defeat at Sevilla on Monday and they may be relegated this weekend, even if they win this match.

For more analysis and the latest picks, today’s free betting tips take a look at some of the best bets from the weekend’s games in Europe.

Last five H2Hs: Domination for Madrid

Spain La Liga 02/12/23

Real Madrid

2

Granada

0

Spain La Liga 06/02/22

Real Madrid

1

Granada

0

Spain La Liga 21/11/21

Granada

1

Real Madrid

4

Spain La Liga 13/05/21

Granada

1

Real Madrid

4

Spain La Liga 23/12/20

Real Madrid

2

Granada

0

Our Granada vs Real Madrid prediction is backed up by recent history with Los Blancos winning each of the last 15 clashes in all competitions. They won the reverse fixture 2-0 in December.

Granada Preview: Relegation imminent despite improved form

There’ll be no salvation for Granada, despite a run of seven points from their last four games. They are missing Miguel Angel Rubio to suspension here while Antonio Puertas and Raul Torrente are doubts.

Predicted Lineup: Batalla (GK), Neva, Miquel, Ricard, Mendez, Jozwiak, Sergio Ruiz, Gumbau, Pellistri, Uzuni, Boye

Spain Segunda 12/05/25

L

Eibar

2

Granada

0

Spain Segunda 03/05/25

L

Malaga

1

Granada

0

Spain Segunda 26/04/25

D

Elche

1

Granada

1

Spain Segunda 20/04/25

W

FC Cartagena

2

Granada

3

Spain Segunda 13/04/25

W

Albacete

0

Granada

2

Real Madrid Preview: Ancelotti to ring the changes again

We can expect plenty of rotation once more from the Champions League eleven on Wednesday. David Alaba and Aurelien Tchouameni are the only expected injury absentees.

Predicted Lineup: Courtois (GK), Fran Garcia, Militao, Rudiger, Vazquez, Modric, Camavinga, Ceballos, Bellingham, Joselu, Rodrygo

Spain La Liga 11/05/25

L

Barcelona

4

Real Madrid

3

Spain La Liga 04/05/25

W

Celta Vigo

2

Real Madrid

3

Spain Copa del Rey 26/04/25

L

Barcelona

3

Real Madrid

2

Spain La Liga 23/04/25

W

Getafe

0

Real Madrid

1

Spain La Liga 20/04/25

W

Athletic Bilbao

0

Real Madrid

1

Player to watch – Joselu

It has been an extraordinary season for Joselu in many respects, despite his bit-part role for Carlo Ancelotti. A huge Real Madrid fan, he jumped at the unexpected chance to play for the club last summer and wrote his name into club folklore with two late goals on Wednesday to move onto 17 this term for Los Blancos in all competitions.

Goals per minute stats up there with the best

Joselu now averages a ridiculous goal every 54 minutes in the Champions League this term. His league numbers aren’t quite so good, but he still averages a strike every 166 minutes in La Liga which is very healthy.