Real Madrid are back in action at the Santiago Bernabeu this weekend. Our Real Madrid vs Girona prediction and La Liga betting tips consider whether they can build on an impressive win in midweek.
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Real Madrid vs Girona prediction: Mbappe to score more than once in home win
Key stats
- Our Real Madrid vs Girona betting tips take into account that the Catalans have lost six out of seven in all competitions.
- Girona have lost all three matches against top-three opponents this term by three-goal margins.
- Los Blancos have a 100% record at home to teams outside the top three in La Liga 2024/25.
Correct score prediction: Real Madrid 3-0 Girona
Girona were in title contention when they visited the Bernabeu last February, but this is a very different situation, with their current form pretty bleak in both domestic and European competitions.
With Real Madrid feeling confident after a dominant win over Man City, they should put their recent league struggles behind them and claim three points with relative ease.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Los Blancos the red hot favourites
- HOME: 2/7 (1.29) – 77.8%
- DRAW: 5/1 (6.00) – 16.7%
- AWAY: 8/1 (9.00) – 11.1%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The hosts are the favourites according to the Real Madrid vs Girona odds, with an implied probability of 77.8% that they win this match.
They head into this game having beaten City 3-1 in the Champions League on Wednesday, with Kylian Mbappe scoring a fine hat-trick.
As for Girona, they were beaten 2-1 at home by Getafe in their last game, with Yangel Herrera scoring and then getting sent off.
For more from the upcoming matches in Europe, today’s free football betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Madrid the dominant force
Our Real Madrid vs Girona prediction suggests for the fourth meeting in a row, Carlo Ancelotti’s side will win by three or more goals against this opposition.
Girona haven’t even scored against Los Blancos since a 4-2 home win in April 2023.
Spain La Liga 07/12/24
Girona
Real Madrid
Spain La Liga 10/02/24
Real Madrid
Girona
Spain La Liga 30/09/23
Girona
Real Madrid
Spain La Liga 25/04/23
Girona
Real Madrid
Spain La Liga 30/10/22
Real Madrid
Girona
Real Madrid preview: Bellingham suspended for the hosts
There’s no Jude Bellingham here, after the midfielder was sent off for swearing last weekend at Osasuna. Dani Carvajal and Eder Militao are the only injury absentees.
Predicted Lineup: Courtois (GK), F. Garcia, Asencio, Rudiger, Valverde, Camavinga, Modric, Vinicius, Brahim, Rodrygo & Mbappe
Spain La Liga 11/05/25 L Barcelona 4 Real Madrid 3 Spain La Liga 04/05/25 W Celta Vigo 2 Real Madrid 3 Spain Copa del Rey 26/04/25 L Barcelona 3 Real Madrid 2 Spain La Liga 23/04/25 W Getafe 0 Real Madrid 1 Spain La Liga 20/04/25 W Athletic Bilbao 0 Real Madrid 1
Girona preview: Michel missing Herrera
There’ll be no Herrera in midfield for the visitors after his red card last time out. Girona are doing better on the injury front now, although Arnaut Danjuma is rated doubtful.
Predicted Lineup: Gazzaniga (GK), Blind, Krejci, D. Lopez, A. Martinez, M. Gutierrez, Arthur, Romeu, Gil, A. Ruiz & Tsygankov
Spain La Liga 10/05/25 L Villarreal 1 Girona 0 Spain La Liga 05/05/25 W Mallorca 0 Girona 1 Spain La Liga 24/04/25 D Leganes 1 Girona 1 Spain La Liga 21/04/25 L Real Betis 3 Girona 1 Spain La Liga 13/04/25 L Osasuna 2 Girona 1
Player to watch – Kylian Mbappe
Right now, Mbappe is on the very top of his game, with four goals across two legs against City taking him to 28 goals this season in all competitions. He has registered 17 in 22 appearances in La Liga.
Mbappe striking just before the break
The Frenchman has often come alive in the latter stages of the first half this season. 25% of his goals in all competitions have come between the 30th and 45th minutes.