real madrid vs girona prediction
Los Blancos won 3-0 at Montilivi earlier this term - Photo by IMAGO.
🔥 Our Hot tip

Real Madrid to win (-2 handicap)

47% of Real Madrid’s league victories this term have come by margins of three or more goals.

Real Madrid are back in action at the Santiago Bernabeu this weekend. Our Real Madrid vs Girona prediction and La Liga betting tips consider whether they can build on an impressive win in midweek.

Real Madrid vs Girona prediction: Mbappe to score more than once in home win

Key stats

  • Our Real Madrid vs Girona betting tips take into account that the Catalans have lost six out of seven in all competitions.
  • Girona have lost all three matches against top-three opponents this term by three-goal margins.
  • Los Blancos have a 100% record at home to teams outside the top three in La Liga 2024/25.

Correct score prediction: Real Madrid 3-0 Girona

Girona were in title contention when they visited the Bernabeu last February, but this is a very different situation, with their current form pretty bleak in both domestic and European competitions.

With Real Madrid feeling confident after a dominant win over Man City, they should put their recent league struggles behind them and claim three points with relative ease.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Los Blancos the red hot favourites

  • HOME: 2/7 (1.29) – 77.8%
  • DRAW: 5/1 (6.00) – 16.7%
  • AWAY: 8/1 (9.00) – 11.1%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The hosts are the favourites according to the Real Madrid vs Girona odds, with an implied probability of 77.8% that they win this match.

They head into this game having beaten City 3-1 in the Champions League on Wednesday, with Kylian Mbappe scoring a fine hat-trick.

As for Girona, they were beaten 2-1 at home by Getafe in their last game, with Yangel Herrera scoring and then getting sent off.

For more from the upcoming matches in Europe, today’s free football betting tips look at some of the best picks.

Most recent H2Hs: Madrid the dominant force

Our Real Madrid vs Girona prediction suggests for the fourth meeting in a row, Carlo Ancelotti’s side will win by three or more goals against this opposition.

Girona haven’t even scored against Los Blancos since a 4-2 home win in April 2023.

Spain La Liga 07/12/24

Girona

Girona

0
Real Madrid

Real Madrid

3

Spain La Liga 10/02/24

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

4
Girona

Girona

0

Spain La Liga 30/09/23

Girona

Girona

0
Real Madrid

Real Madrid

3

Spain La Liga 25/04/23

Girona

Girona

4
Real Madrid

Real Madrid

2

Spain La Liga 30/10/22

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

1
Girona

Girona

1

Real Madrid preview: Bellingham suspended for the hosts

There’s no Jude Bellingham here, after the midfielder was sent off for swearing last weekend at Osasuna. Dani Carvajal and Eder Militao are the only injury absentees.

Predicted Lineup: Courtois (GK), F. Garcia, Asencio, Rudiger, Valverde, Camavinga, Modric, Vinicius, Brahim, Rodrygo & Mbappe

Spain La Liga 11/05/25

L

Barcelona

Barcelona

4

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

3

Spain La Liga 04/05/25

W

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

2

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

3

Spain Copa del Rey 26/04/25

L

Barcelona

Barcelona

3

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

2

Spain La Liga 23/04/25

W

Getafe

Getafe

0

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

1

Spain La Liga 20/04/25

W

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

0

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

1

Girona preview: Michel missing Herrera

There’ll be no Herrera in midfield for the visitors after his red card last time out. Girona are doing better on the injury front now, although Arnaut Danjuma is rated doubtful.

Predicted Lineup: Gazzaniga (GK), Blind, Krejci, D. Lopez, A. Martinez, M. Gutierrez, Arthur, Romeu, Gil, A. Ruiz & Tsygankov

Spain La Liga 10/05/25

L

Villarreal

Villarreal

1

Girona

Girona

0

Spain La Liga 05/05/25

W

Mallorca

Mallorca

0

Girona

Girona

1

Spain La Liga 24/04/25

D

Leganes

Leganes

1

Girona

Girona

1

Spain La Liga 21/04/25

L

Real Betis

Real Betis

3

Girona

Girona

1

Spain La Liga 13/04/25

L

Osasuna

Osasuna

2

Girona

Girona

1

Player to watch – Kylian Mbappe

Right now, Mbappe is on the very top of his game, with four goals across two legs against City taking him to 28 goals this season in all competitions. He has registered 17 in 22 appearances in La Liga.

real madrid vs girona predictions
Mbappe scored his second Madrid hat-trick on Wednesday – Photo by IMAGO.

Mbappe striking just before the break

The Frenchman has often come alive in the latter stages of the first half this season. 25% of his goals in all competitions have come between the 30th and 45th minutes.

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Mark is a freelance football writer based in Madrid. He regularly attends and covers La Liga matches around Spain, whilst also following football across Europe.