Real Madrid vs Getafe prediction, odds & betting tips 02/03/2026

All eyes will be on the Bernabeu as Real Madrid host local rivals Getafe in the 26th round of La Liga on Monday, 2 March 2026.

View our free Real Madrid vs Getafe predictions below.

Real Madrid vs Getafe predictions: Hosts to claim all the spoils

Key stats

• Real Madrid have won eight consecutive encounters with Getafe.
• Five of Getafe's last six matches went below the 2.5-goal threshold.
• Fewer than three goals were scored in 10 of the last 11 H2Hs.

Correct score prediction: Real Madrid 2-0 Getafe

Real Madrid emerged victorious the last eight times these teams clashed, keeping seven clean sheets in the process. Los Blancos scored exactly two goals in four of those victories, three of which ended 2-0.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Real Madrid clearly favoured

• HOME: 3/10 (1.30) – 76.9%
• DRAW: 9/2 (5.50) – 18.2%
• AWAY: 17/2 (9.50) – 10.5%

*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Getafe suffered a 1-0 home defeat against Sevilla in their last La Liga outing. Prior to that loss, they had won back-to-back games and were unbeaten in four consecutive matches.

Real Madrid, on the other hand, secured a place in the last 16 of the UEFA Champions League last week after winning both legs of their playoff tie with Benfica.

Alvaro Arbeloa's men have five wins in their last six matches across all competitions and are second in La Liga ahead of this clash with 13th-placed Getafe.

Keeping that in mind, it is unsurprising that Real Madrid are the expected winners at 3/10 (1.30). Teams with these odds generally have a 76.9% probability of winning.

Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Real Madrid vs Getafe predictions.

Also, considering that 10 of the last 11 meetings between these teams produced fewer than three goals, under 2.5 total goals has an appealing look at 1/1 (2.00). That one has a 50% chance of landing.

Most recent H2Hs: Business as usual for Real Madrid?

It is safe to say that Getafe do not particularly look forward to meeting Real Madrid, as they have lost eight consecutive skirmishes between these outfits and did not score in their last four encounters.

Spain La Liga 19/10/25

Getafe

0

Real Madrid

1

Spain La Liga 23/04/25

Getafe

0

Real Madrid

1

Spain La Liga 01/12/24

Real Madrid

2

Getafe

0

Spain La Liga 01/02/24

Getafe

0

Real Madrid

2

Spain La Liga 02/09/23

Real Madrid

2

Getafe

1

Real Madrid preview: Few key absences

Real Madrid will definitely be without Eder Militao, Dani Ceballos, and star forward Kylian Mbappe for this home game, with these players ruled out due to injury.

Jude Bellingham, Rodrygo Goes, Raul Asencio, and Dean Huijsen are all available for this game after injury and fitness setbacks, but none of these players is expected to be in the starting XI on Monday night.

Vinicius Junior, who has been in fantastic form in recent weeks, will lead the line for Real Madrid, with Gonzalo Garcia expected to be his partner in attack.

Predicted lineup: Courtois (GK), Carvajal, Rudiger, Alaba, Carreras, Valverde, Tchouameni, Camavinga, Guler, Vinicius Jr & G. Garcia

Last five matches

• 25/02/26: Real Madrid 2-1 Benfica (Champions League)
• 21/02/26: Osasuna 2-1 Real Madrid (La Liga)
• 17/02/26: Benfica 0-1 Real Madrid (Champions League)
• 14/02/26: Real Madrid 4-1 Real Sociedad (La Liga)
• 08/02/26: Valencia 0-2 Real Madrid (La Liga)

Getafe preview: Eyeing their biggest win of the season

Getafe are expected to be without Abu Kamara, Davinchi, Juanmi, and Abdelkabir Abqar, with these players ruled out for Los Azulones due to various injuries.

Djene’s sending off against Sevilla last week means the Togolese defender is suspended for this game, while Borja Mayoral is doubtful due to fitness issues, but Mario Martin, who has recovered from an ankle problem, should be back in the team's squad for this game.

Predicted lineup: Soria (GK), Femenia, Duarte, Rico, Romero, Iglesias, Arambarri, Milla, Martin, Vazquez & Satriano

Last five matches

• 22/02/26: Getafe 0-1 Sevilla (La Liga)
• 14/02/26: Getafe 2-1 Villarreal (La Liga)
• 08/02/26: Deportivo Alaves 0-2 Getafe (La Liga)
• 01/02/26: Getafe 0-0 Celta Vigo (La Liga)
• 26/01/26: Girona 1-1 Getafe (La Liga)

Player to watch: Vinicius Jr

Vinicius Jr scored the winner in Real Madrid's 2-1 victory over Benfica last week. The former Flamengo player has now scored in five consecutive matches and will look to extend that streak on Monday night.