In a repeat of the 2024 UEFA Champions League final, Real Madrid take on Borussia Dortmund in the quarter-finals of the FIFA Club World Cup (CWC) on Saturday evening. Both teams won their last-16 ties by single-goal margins, with Real beating Juventus 1-0 and Dortmund overcoming Monterrey 2-1.
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Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund prediction: Real to race into semis?
Key stats
- Both teams are unbeaten in seven games in total in all competitions.
- Furthermore, Real are unbeaten in the six previous H2Hs.
- Both teams have scored in five of those six meetings.
Correct score prediction: Real Madrid 3-1 Borussia Dortmund
Real have won the previous four H2Hs against Dortmund, and will be favourites to progress to the semis. What is almost guaranteed is goals, with 18 in total scored over those four victories at an average of 4.5 goals per game.
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Pre-game odds and win probability: Madrid Real favourites with bookmakers
- HOME: 8/13 (1.62) – 61.9%
- DRAW: 10/3 (4.33) – 23.1%
- AWAY: 18/5 (4.60) – 21.7%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
As shown by the implied probabilities, Real are huge favourites with bookmakers to progress into the semis. A draw is rated just above a Dortmund win in normal time.
Also, feel free to check out our dedicated Football Betting Tips Today page.
Most recent H2Hs: Real aiming for five in a row
As mentioned previously, Real have won the previous four meetings, and are aiming to make it five in a row. Five of the last six H2Hs have also seen four or more goals scored in total, so we are expecting plenty of goalmouth action.
UEFA Champions League 22/10/24
Real Madrid
Borussia Dortmund
UEFA Champions League 01/06/24
Borussia Dortmund
Real Madrid
UEFA Champions League 06/12/17
Real Madrid
Borussia Dortmund
UEFA Champions League 26/09/17
Borussia Dortmund
Real Madrid
UEFA Champions League 07/12/16
Real Madrid
Borussia Dortmund
Real Madrid preview: Will Mbappe start?
Kylian Mbappe made his return from gastroenteritis against Juventus last time out, and will be pushing for a start. Eduardo Camavinga, David Alaba, Endrick and Ferland Mendy all remain out injured for Real.
Predicted lineup: Courtois (GK); Rudiger, Tchouameni, Huijsen; Alexander-Arnold, Bellingham, Valverde, Guler, Garcia; Mbappe & Vinicius
Spain La Liga 11/05/25
L
Barcelona
4
Real Madrid
3
Spain La Liga 04/05/25
W
Celta Vigo
2
Real Madrid
3
Spain Copa del Rey 26/04/25
L
Barcelona
3
Real Madrid
2
Spain La Liga 23/04/25
W
Getafe
0
Real Madrid
1
Spain La Liga 20/04/25
W
Athletic Bilbao
0
Real Madrid
1
Borussia Dortmund preview: Bellingham suspended
The big news for Dortmund is that Jobe Bellingham is suspended after picking up a second yellow card of the tournament against Monterrey last time out, and so will not face his older brother Jude. Emre Can, Salih Ozcan and Nico Schlotterbeck are also ruled out of this match for the Bundesliga heavyweights.
Predicted lineup: Kobel (GK); Sule, Anton, Bensebani; Ryerson, Nmecha, Gross, Svensson; Sabitzer, Adeyemi & Guirassy
Germany Bundesliga I 11/05/25
W
Bayer Leverkusen
2
Borussia Dortmund
4
Germany Bundesliga I 03/05/25
W
Wolfsburg
0
Borussia Dortmund
4
Germany Bundesliga I 26/04/25
W
TSG Hoffenheim
2
Borussia Dortmund
3
Germany Bundesliga I 20/04/25
W
Borussia M'gladbach
2
Borussia Dortmund
3
UEFA Champions League 15/04/25
W
Barcelona
1
Borussia Dortmund
3
Player to watch: Jude Bellingham
All eyes will be on Jude Bellingham against his former club. Unfortunately, he will not be able to play against his younger brother Jobe, but that will not distract him from trying to get the job done.
Bellingham has picked up two assists in Real Madrid's previous two wins against Borussia Dortmund, including in the UEFA Champions League (UCL) final last year. He has a goal and assist in the CWC too, and is certainly a player for the big occasion.