Real Madrid travel to Italy for their latest European game. Our Atalanta vs Real Madrid prediction and UEFA Champions League betting tips consider whether Los Blancos can claim a much needed three points.
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Atalanta vs Real Madrid prediction: Retegui to score in home win
Key stats
- Our Atalanta vs Real Madrid betting tips take into account that the visitors have lost five of their last 12 matches in all competitions.
- Carlo Ancelotti’s side have lost three of their last four in the Champions League.
- Atalanta average 3.11 goals per game overall since drawing their last Champions League home game against Celtic.
Correct score prediction: Atalanta 2-1 Real Madrid
Real Madrid have been nowhere near their best in recent weeks, with injury problems and a difficult start for summer signing Kylian Mbappe combining to make them much more vulnerable than was the case last term.
In the toughest fixtures, against the likes of Athletic Club and Barcelona in La Liga, as well as a number of Champions League games, they’ve been found wanting. With Atalanta absolutely flying right now at the top of Serie A, this could go the way of the hosts.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookies struggling to pick a favourite
- HOME: 13/8 (2.63) – 38.1%
- DRAW: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.8%
- AWAY: 29/20 (2.45) – 40.8%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The visitors are the slight favourites according to the Atalanta vs Real Madrid odds with an implied probability of 40.8% that they win this match.
They head into the game after an improved display, with Jude Bellingham on target again in the 3-0 win at Girona on Saturday.
As for Atalanta, they were 2-1 home winners against Milan on Friday, with Ademola Lookman and Charles De Ketelaere scoring.
For more from the upcoming matches in Europe and beyond, today’s football betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Madrid hoping to repeat Super Cup win
Our Atalanta vs Real Madrid prediction suggests we’ll get a different outcome to the three previous meetings, all of which ended with the Spanish side winning.
Los Blancos were 2-0 victors earlier this term when the sides contested the UEFA Super Cup.
UEFA Super Cup 14/08/24
Real Madrid
Atalanta
UEFA Champions League 16/03/21
Real Madrid
Atalanta
UEFA Champions League 24/02/21
Atalanta
Real Madrid
Atalanta preview: No fresh issues for the hosts
The Italians are missing Gianluca Scamacca, Davide Zappacosta and Juan Cuadrado to injuries. They’ve not been dealt any further setbacks since beating Milan.
Predicted Lineup: Carnesecchi (GK), Djimsiti, Hien, Toloi, Bellanova, Ederson, De Roon, Ruggeri, De Ketelaere, Retegui & Lookman
Italy Serie A 12/05/25 W Roma 1 Atalanta 2 Italy Serie A 04/05/25 W Monza 0 Atalanta 4 Italy Serie A 27/04/25 D Lecce 1 Atalanta 1 Italy Serie A 20/04/25 W AC Milan 0 Atalanta 1 Italy Serie A 13/04/25 W Bologna 0 Atalanta 2
Real Madrid preview: Vinicius to return
There’s a boost for Ancelotti, with key man Vinicius Junior fit again. Dani Carvajal, Eder Militao, David Alaba and Ferland Mendy are out injured, while Eduardo Camavinga remains a doubt.
Predicted Lineup: Courtois (GK), Vazquez, Tchouameni, Rudiger, Fran Garcia, Modric, Valverde, Bellingham, Guler, Mbappe & Vinicius
Spain La Liga 11/05/25 L Barcelona 4 Real Madrid 3 Spain La Liga 04/05/25 W Celta Vigo 2 Real Madrid 3 Spain Copa del Rey 26/04/25 L Barcelona 3 Real Madrid 2 Spain La Liga 23/04/25 W Getafe 0 Real Madrid 1 Spain La Liga 20/04/25 W Athletic Bilbao 0 Real Madrid 1
Player to watch – Mateo Retegui
The stunning form of Atalanta striker Mateo Retegui has been one of the stories of the season in Serie A. He should return from a rest here and will be hoping to add to a tally of 14 goals in 21 competitive appearances for his club.
Retegui firing early
43% of the Italy international’s goals this term have come in the opening 30 minutes. He scored in the ninth minute to set Atalanta on their way to a 6-1 win at Young Boys on the previous Champions League matchday.