Real Madrid vs Alaves prediction, odds & betting tips – 14/05/2024

Real Madrid
14/05/24 - 20:30

Finished

5

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CD Alaves

Real Madrid - CD Alaves

Spain Primera Liga - Santiago Bernabeu

real madrid vs alaves prediction
Toni Kroos in the reverse fixture which Real Madrid won 1-0 – Photo by Icon Sport

Real Madrid are back in La Liga action on Tuesday night with Alaves the visitors to the Santiago Bernabeu. Our Real Madrid vs Alaves prediction considers whether the Basque side can continue their good form in the toughest of fixtures.

Real Madrid vs Alaves prediction: Hosts to claim convincing win to nil

Real Madrid vs Alaves predictions
Our pick

🔥Hot tip

Real Madrid -1 handicap

⚽ Correct score prediction

Real Madrid 3-0 Alaves

⚽ Win to nil prediction

Real Madrid to win to nil

Key Stats

  • Our Real Madrid vs Alaves betting tips take into account the home team’s fine form with Los Blancos winning five of their last six league games to nil.
  • Carlo Ancelotti’s side average 2.76 points per home game this term, conceding just 0.53 goals per game on average in front of their own fans.
  • Alaves have lost 53% of their away games this season in La Liga.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Real Madrid the red hot favourites

  • HOME: 2/7 (1.29) – 77.8%
  • DRAW: 19/4 (5.75) – 17.4%
  • AWAY: 9/1 (10.00) – 10.0%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Unsurprisingly, the home team are the favourites according to the Real Madrid vs Alaves odds with an implied probability of 77.8% that they win this game.

Carlo Ancelotti rested all of his regulars, but they still won 4-0 against Granada last time out in La Liga with Brahim Diaz scoring twice on a very comfortable afternoon for the side from the capital.

Alaves meanwhile were last in action on Friday night and their strong recent form continued with a 2-2 home draw against Girona. Jon Guridi was the unlikely hero with both goals.

For more of the latest picks, today’s betting tips will guide you around the best bets from the midweek action around Europe.

Last five H2Hs: Los Blancos targeting fifth straight win

Spain Primera Liga 21/12/23

CD Alaves

CD Alaves

0
Real Madrid

Real Madrid

1

Spain Primera Liga 19/02/22

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

3
CD Alaves

CD Alaves

0

Spain Primera Liga 14/08/21

CD Alaves

CD Alaves

1
Real Madrid

Real Madrid

4

Spain Primera Liga 23/01/21

CD Alaves

CD Alaves

1
Real Madrid

Real Madrid

4

Spain Primera Liga 28/11/20

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

1
CD Alaves

CD Alaves

2

Our Real Madrid vs Alaves prediction is backed up by recent history with Los Blancos winning each of the last four meetings, including three wins by three goal margins. Alaves did claim a 2-1 victory in this fixture back in 2020 though.

Real Madrid Preview: Rotating and winning

Carlo Ancelotti has rested virtually all of his regulars in the last three league games but they’ve won the lot. He may recall a number of his more experienced players here but David Alaba and Aurelien Tchouameni are still out.

Predicted Lineup: Courtois (GK), Garcia, Nacho, Militao, Carvajal, Kroos, Camavinga, Modric, Brahim, Vincius, Rodrygo

UEFA Champions League 01/06/24

W

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

0

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

2

Spain Primera Liga 25/05/24

D

Real Betis

Real Betis

0

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

0

Spain Primera Liga 19/05/24

D

Villarreal

Villarreal

4

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

4

Spain Primera Liga 14/05/24

W

CD Alaves

CD Alaves

0

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

5

Spain Primera Liga 11/05/24

W

Granada

Granada

0

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

4

Alaves Preview: Sedlar the only man missing

Long-term injury absentee Aleksandar Sedlar is the only player likely to be out for the visitors who are expected to rotate in a number of positions following Friday’s draw with Girona.

Predicted Lineup: Owono (GK), Lopez, Marin, Abqar, Gorosabel, Guridi, Blanco, Guevara, Rioja, Omorodion, Sola

Spain Primera Liga 26/05/24

D

Las Palmas

Las Palmas

1

CD Alaves

CD Alaves

1

Spain Primera Liga 18/05/24

W

Getafe

Getafe

0

CD Alaves

CD Alaves

1

Spain Primera Liga 14/05/24

L

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

5

CD Alaves

CD Alaves

0

Spain Primera Liga 10/05/24

D

Girona

Girona

2

CD Alaves

CD Alaves

2

Spain Primera Liga 05/05/24

W

Valencia

Valencia

0

CD Alaves

CD Alaves

1

Player to watch – Vinicius Junior

Vinicius Junior could be in for his first league start since El Clasico with Carlo Ancelotti likely to be keen to keep his stars ticking over before the Champions League Final on June 1st. The Brazilian has registered 13 goals and five assists in La Liga this term.

real madrid vs alaves predictions
Vinicius Junior in action again Bayern last week – Photo by Icon Sport

Doing the damage midway through the Second Half

There has been a real trend this season of Vinicius striking in the middle of the Second Half. 38% of his goals in La Liga have come between the 60th and 75th minutes.


Mark is a freelance football writer based in Madrid. He regularly attends and covers La Liga matches around Spain, whilst also following football across Europe.