There’s a second Madrid derby of the week at the Bernabeu on Sunday. Our Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano prediction and La Liga betting tips consider whether Inigo Perez’s side can spring a surprise.
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Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano prediction: Brahim to score and hosts to win low-scoring game
Key stats
- Our Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano betting tips take into account that all 13 of Rayo’s away league fixtures this term have served up under 3.5 goals.
- The side from Vallecas have let in just 0.77 goals per game on their travels.
- 73% of Real Madrid’s fixtures in La Liga have served up under 3.5 goals.
Correct score prediction: Real Madrid 2-0 Rayo Vallecano
The visitors are a competitive team, but they are missing a number of their main attacking threats right now, and it’s very hard to see where their goals will come from here.
We may see some light rotation from Carlo Ancelotti, but his side has consistently taken care of business at the Bernabeu this term, and they should win this one too.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Los Blancos the clear favourites
- HOME: 2/7 (1.29) – 77.8%
- DRAW: 19/4 (5.75) – 17.4%
- AWAY: 9/1 (10.00) – 10.0%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The hosts are the favourites according to the Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano odds, with an implied probability of 77.8% that they win this match.
They were 2-1 winners over Atletico Madrid in the Champions League on Tuesday, with Rodrygo and Brahim Diaz on target.
As for Rayo Vallecano, they drew 1-1 at home to Sevilla last time out, with full-back Andrei Ratiu scoring a fine goal.
For more from the upcoming matches in Europe, today’s free betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Rayo usually competitive
Our Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano prediction suggests a run of three straight draws between these clubs will end here.
Rayo drew 0-0 at the Bernabeu last term, but they had lost on each of their previous five visits.
Spain La Liga 14/12/24
Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid
Spain La Liga 18/02/24
Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid
Spain La Liga 05/11/23
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
Spain La Liga 24/05/23
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
Spain La Liga 07/11/22
Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid
Real Madrid preview: Bellingham to return
Jude Bellingham will return for the hosts, after the Englishman missed three of their last four games due to suspension. Fede Valverde is rated doubtful, while Dani Carvajal, Eder Militao and Dani Ceballos are definitely out injured.
Predicted Lineup: Courtois (GK), F. Garcia, Alaba, Asencio, L. Vazquez, Bellingham, Modric, Camavinga, Brahim, Vinicius & Mbappe
Spain La Liga 13/04/25 W CD Alaves 0 Real Madrid 1 UEFA Champions League 08/04/25 L Arsenal 3 Real Madrid 0 Spain La Liga 05/04/25 L Valencia 2 Real Madrid 1 Spain Copa del Rey 01/04/25 D Real Sociedad 4 Real Madrid 4 Spain La Liga 29/03/25 W Leganes 2 Real Madrid 3
Rayo Vallecano preview: Big selection problems for Perez
The visitors are missing a number of regulars, with Abdul Mumin, Sergio Camello and Isi Palazon all injured. Jorge de Frutos is suspended once more.
Predicted Lineup: Batalla (GK), Chavarria, A. Hernandez, Lejeune, Ratiu, Ciss, Diaz, Gumbau, A. Garcia, Guardiola & Embarba
Spain La Liga 13/04/25 L Athletic Bilbao 3 Rayo Vallecano 1 Spain La Liga 04/04/25 L Espanyol 4 Rayo Vallecano 0 Spain La Liga 29/03/25 W CD Alaves 0 Rayo Vallecano 2 Spain La Liga 16/03/25 D Real Sociedad 2 Rayo Vallecano 2 Spain La Liga 09/03/25 L Real Madrid 2 Rayo Vallecano 1
Player to watch – Brahim Diaz
While not the first name on the team sheet, Brahim has been a really useful squad player for Los Blancos over the past two years. He has scored six goals from 15 starts across La Liga and Champions League matches this term.
Brahim scoring late and coming into form
Having scored two of Real Madrid’s last three goals, the Moroccan looks to be coming into form. Two of his six strikes this season have come after the 75th minute.