All eyes will be on Estadio de Vallecas when Rayo Vallecano host Real Madrid in the 12th round of La Liga on Sunday, 9 November 2025.
View our free Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid predictions below.
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Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid predictions: Goals at both ends
Key stats
- Five of Rayo Vallecano's last six meetings with Real Madrid produced goals at both ends.
- Real Madrid have won 10 of 11 La Liga games this season.
- There were at least 11 corners in eight of Rayo Vallecano's last 10 matches in all competitions.
Correct score prediction: Rayo Vallecano 1-3 Real Madrid
Although Rayo Vallecano have had a modest 4-2-5 win-draw-loss record in 11 La Liga games this season, they are up against the best team in the Spanish top flight, as Real Madrid have won 10 of 11 league matches.
Moreover, Los Blancos have a solid track record against Rayo, with no defeats in the last five meetings between these sides.
Taking everything into account, we are confident that the visitors will claim all the spoils after 90 minutes.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Real Madrid are overwhelming favourites
- HOME: 19/4 (5.75) – 17.4%
- DRAW: 18/5 (4.60) – 21.7%
- AWAY: 1/2 (1.50) – 66.7%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Real Madrid's six-match winning streak ended with a disappointing 1-0 defeat at the hands of Liverpool in the UEFA Champions League earlier this week.
Xabi Alonso's troops are leading the La Liga standings with 30 points from a possible 33 and have earned five more points than second-placed Barcelona.
On the other hand, Rayo Vallecano earned a hard-fought 3-2 victory over Lech Poznan after trailing by two goals at half-time. They have been impressive of late, winning six of their last eight matches across all competitions.
Moreover, Rayo, who are 10th in La Liga, have won their last three home games.
Ahead of this skirmish, Real Madrid are the expected winners at 1/2 (1.50). Teams with these odds usually have a 66.7% probability of winning.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid predictions.
Also, keeping in mind that both teams were amongst the goals in five of the last six clashes between these teams, BTTS – Yes has an appealing look at 1/1 (2.00). That one has a 50% chance of landing.
Most recent H2Hs: Real Madrid's dominance set to continue?
Real Madrid have no losses in the last five clashes between these teams and have lost only twice in their last 28 encounters.
Interestingly, Los Blancos have no wins in their last three trips to this stadium.
Spain La Liga 09/03/25
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
Spain La Liga 14/12/24
Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid
Spain La Liga 18/02/24
Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid
Spain La Liga 05/11/23
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
Spain La Liga 24/05/23
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano preview: A clean bill of health
Rayo concluded their UEFA Conference League round three clash against Lech Poznan on Thursday night without any health problems. This means coach Inigo Perez will have only Abdul Mumin ruled out of this contest due to injury.
Jorge de Frutos, Isi Palazon and Alemao started from the bench against Lech, but all three attacking players are expected to be back in the starting XI here, as Rayo look to keep their unbeaten run at home against Real Madrid intact.
Predicted lineup: Batalla (GK), Chavarria, Vertrouwd, Lejuene, Ratiu, Valentin, Lopez, Garcia, Palazon, De Frutos & Alemao.
Last five matches
- Rayo Vallecano 3-2 Lech Poznan
- Villarreal 4-0 Rayo Vallecano
- CD Yuncos 1-6 Rayo Vallecano
- Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Alaves
- Hacken 2-2 Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid preview: Looking to return to winning ways
Aurelien Tchouameni is the latest addition to Real Madrid's injury ranks, as the defensive midfielder is ruled out with a hamstring issue picked up during Tuesday's UEFA Champions League defeat to Liverpool at Anfield.
Captain Dani Carvajal is confirmed out for at least two months with a knee injury. Antonio Rudiger, with a thigh injury, is also out, alongside David Alaba, who has calf problems, and Franco Mastantuono, who will be needing surgery for hernia removal.
Predicted lineup: Courtois (GK), Alexander-Arnold, Militao, Huijsen, Carreras, Camavinga, Valverde, Guler, Bellingham, Mbappe & Vinicius Jr.
Last five matches
- Liverpool 1-0 Real Madrid
- Real Madrid 4-0 Valencia
- Real Madrid 2-1 Barcelona
- Real Madrid 1-0 Juventus
- Getafe 0-1 Real Madrid
Player to watch: Kylian Mbappe
Although Kylian Mbappe drew blanks in Real Madrid's defeat against Liverpool, he has been nothing short of impressive, scoring in eight consecutive La Liga appearances.
The former Paris Saint-Germain forward will look to extend his scoring streak in the Spanish top flight this weekend.