Three valuable points will be at stake when Rayo Vallecano host Osasuna in the 21st round of La Liga at Estadio de Vallecas on Saturday, 24 January 2026.
View our free Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna predictions below.
Contents
Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna predictions: Goals at both ends
Key stats
- Both teams were on the scoresheet in five of Rayo Vallecano's last six encounters with Osasuna.
- The last six H2Hs went above the 4.5-card threshold.
- At least five cards were awarded in five of both teams’ last six respective games.
Correct score prediction: Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Osasuna
While Rayo Vallecano have lost only one home game in La Liga this season, Osasuna have been the league's worst travellers with a 0-2-8 win-draw-loss record in 10 matches away from home.
Moreover, although Osasuna lost their last three trips to this stadium, they scored exactly one goal in each of those defeats, two of which ended 2-1.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookies favour Rayo
- HOME: 23/20 (2.15) – 46.5%
- DRAW: 11/5 (3.20) – 31.3%
- AWAY: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Rayo Vallecano suffered their second consecutive defeat last weekend, falling 3-0 at Celta Vigo. They have now finished with 10 men in each of their last three matches across all competitions.
It is important to note, however, that Inigo Perez's men are unbeaten in nine consecutive home games, stretching back to September last year.
On the other hand, Osasuna came from behind to defeat Real Oviedo 3-2 last time out. They are still in the hunt for their first away win of the season and have managed to score only three goals in 10 games on the road.
Ahead of this skirmish, Osasuna and Rayo Vallecano are 12th and 13th in La Liga, respectively, with both teams earning 22 points from their first 20 league matches.
With that in mind, Rayo Vallecano are the expected winners at 23/20 (2.15). Teams with these odds generally have a 46.5% probability of winning.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna predictions.
We have also pointed out that Rayo Vallecano finished with 10 men in their last three matches. Keeping in mind that Osasuna's last two La Liga games featured at least one red card, over 0.5 red cards has an appealing look at 3/1 (4.00). That one has a 25% chance of landing.
Most recent H2Hs: Even contest
In the last five encounters between Rayo Vallecano and Osasuna, both teams have two wins apiece with a draw between them. However, it is fair to note that Osasuna lost their last three trips to Estadio de Vallecas.
Spain La Liga 14/09/25
Osasuna
Rayo Vallecano
Spain La Liga 19/01/25
Osasuna
Rayo Vallecano
Spain La Liga 16/09/24
Rayo Vallecano
Osasuna
Spain La Liga 20/04/24
Rayo Vallecano
Osasuna
Spain La Liga 15/12/23
Osasuna
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano preview: Few injury concerns
Rayo will definitely be without Abdul Mumin (ACL), and Diego Mendez (knee) due to the aforementioned injuries, while Ivan Balliu, Luis Felipe, Andrei Ratiu, Unai Lopez, and Sergio Camello all have question marks regarding their availability for this game.
Due to the shortage of personnel because of health problems, captain Isi Palazon is expected to start in midfield, while Carlos Martin, Jorge de Frutos, and Alvaro Garcia line up in the final third.
Predicted lineup: Batalla (GK), Balliu, Lejeune, Vertrouwd, Chavarria, Valentin, Palazon, Ciss, Martin, De Frutos & Garcai.
Last five matches
- Celta Vigo 3-0 Rayo Vallecano
- Alaves 2-0 Rayo Vallecano
- Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Mallorca
- Granada 1-3 Rayo Vallecano
- Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Getafe
Osasuna preview: Still eyeing their first away win
Osasuna are still dealing with the injury issue of Iker Benito, who is recovering from cruciate ligament surgery.
Veteran defender Alejandro Catena will be unavailable for this weekend as he serves a one-game suspension following his late sending off during the win over Real Oviedo last time out.
Without any doubts, Ante Budimir is set to lead the line for Osasuna. The Croatian has scored four goals in his last four La Liga games.
Predicted lineup: Herrera (GK), Rosier, Herrando, Boyomo, Cruz, Moncayola, Torro, Munoz, Gomez, Garcia & Budimir.
Last five matches
- Osasuna 3-2 Real Oviedo
- Real Sociedad 2-2 (4) AP (3) Osasuna
- Girona 1-0 Osasuna
- Osasuna 1-1 Athletic Bilbao
- Osasuna 3-0 Alaves
Player to watch: Raul Garcia
Raul Garcia may have only three goals in La Liga this season, but it is important to note that the former Real Betis forward tends to perform well against Rayo Vallecano. In fact, Osasuna scored four goals in their last three meetings with Rayo, and three of those came from Garcia. He has at least one goal contribution in five consecutive clashes between these teams and will look to extend that streak this weekend.