Three valuable points will be at stake when Mallorca visit Estadio de Vallecas for their La Liga encounter with Rayo Vallecano on Sunday, 11 January 2026.
View our free Rayo Vallecano vs Mallorca predictions below.
Contents
Rayo Vallecano vs Mallorca predictions: Goals at both ends
Key stats
- Six of Mallorca's last eight matches produced goals at both ends.
- Mallorca opened the scoring in five of their last seven clashes with Rayo Vallecano.
- Spoils were shared in each of Rayo Vallecano's last four home league games.
Correct score prediction: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Mallorca
It is important to note that only one team has drawn more games than Rayo Vallecano in La Liga this season. In fact, they have played eight home games in the Spanish top flight this season, and six of them ended in stalemates.
Interestingly, not only were the spoils shared in Mallorca's last two away league matches, but their last two trips to this stadium also ended in stalemates.
Keeping in mind that Rayo Vallecano's last four home games in La Liga ended in draws, we believe these teams will be on level terms after 90 minutes.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Rayo Vallecano clearly favoured
- HOME: 17/20 (1.85) – 54.1%
- DRAW: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4%
- AWAY: 10/3 (4.33) – 23.1%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Rayo Vallecano are coming off a 3-1 win against La Liga 2 side Granada in the Copa del Rey. While they have fared well in other competitions, the hosts are currently on an eight-match winless streak in the Spanish top flight.
Mallorca, on the other hand, suffered a 2-1 home defeat against Girona last weekend. They are currently on a three-match winless streak and have won only one of their nine away games in the Spanish top flight this season.
Ahead of this clash, Rayo Vallecano and Mallorca are 15th and 16th in La Liga, respectively.
Keeping that in mind, Rayo Vallecano are the expected winners at 17/20 (1.85). Teams with these odds usually have a 54.1% probability of winning.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Rayo Vallecano vs Mallorca predictions.
We have also established that both teams were on the scoresheet in six of Mallorca's last eight games. For this reason, BTTS – Yes has an appealing look at 11/10 (2.10). That one has a 47.6% chance of landing.
Most recent H2Hs: Mallorca have bragging rights
Mallorca have been the dominant side in recent clashes between these outfits, as they are unbeaten in their last seven H2Hs. Their last defeat against Rayo Vallecano came in February 2022.
Spain La Liga 24/05/25
Rayo Vallecano
Mallorca
Spain La Liga 20/10/24
Mallorca
Rayo Vallecano
Spain La Liga 11/02/24
Mallorca
Rayo Vallecano
Spain La Liga 30/09/23
Rayo Vallecano
Mallorca
Spain La Liga 04/06/23
Mallorca
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano preview: Eyeing their second home win
Rayo will definitely be without Luiz Felipe and Diego Mendez due to injury, while Abdul Mumin, Ivan Balliu, and Alemao have question marks surrounding their availability for this game.
Pathe Ciss is still in Morocco with the Senegalese national team for the Africa Cup of Nations and is unavailable for selection.
Predicted lineup: Cardenas (GK), Ratiu, Mendy, Vertrouwd, Pacha, Diaz, Gumbau, De Frutos, Trejo, Perez & Camello.
Last five matches
- Granada 1-3 Rayo Vallecano
- Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Getafe
- Elche 4-0 Rayo Vallecano
- Rayo Vallecano 3-0 Drita
- Rayo Vallecano 0-0 Real Betis
Mallorca preview: Looking to improve their fortunes
Heading into this match, Mallorca have injury problems with Manu Morlanes, who is ruled out, while Antonio Raillo and Ivan Cuellar remain questionable due to fitness concerns.
Predicted lineup: Roman (GK), Maffeo, Valjent, Raillo, Mojica, Mascarell, Costa, Joseph, Darder, Virgili & Muriqi.
Last five matches
- Mallorca 1-2 Girona
- Valencia 1-1 Mallorca
- Deportivo 1-0 Mallorca
- Mallorca 3-1 Elche
- Real Oviedo 0-0 Mallorca
Player to watch: Vedat Muriqi
Mallorca have scored 20 goals in La Liga this season and 10 of them came from Vedat Muriqi. The former Lazio forward found the net last weekend and will look to score in back-to-back league assignments for the first time since September.