Las Palmas are in relegation trouble in the Spanish top flight, and they really need a win this Friday night. Our Las Palmas vs Rayo Vallecano prediction and La Liga betting tips consider whether they’ll be able to get it.
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Las Palmas vs Rayo Vallecano prediction: McBurnie to shine in game with goals
Key stats
- Our Las Palmas vs Rayo Vallecano betting tips take into account that five of the last eight matches involving the visitors have served up over 2.5 goals.
- Rayo have only won two of their last 11 games.
- There have been over 2.5 goals in four of the last seven Las Palmas games.
Correct score prediction: Las Palmas 2-1 Rayo Vallecano
Las Palmas endured a miserable start to 2025, but they’ve been playing better in recent weeks and can take confidence from a home win over Atletico Madrid last month.
Rayo have a couple of major absentees which will hamper them from a defensive standpoint, and the hosts look capable of edging this one to boost their survival prospects.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Hosts the slight favourites
- HOME: 7/5 (2.40) – 41.7%
- DRAW: 9/4 (3.25) – 30.8%
- AWAY: 19/10 (2.90) – 34.5%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The hosts are the favourites according to the Las Palmas vs Rayo Vallecano odds, with an implied probability of 41.7% that they win this match.
They head into this game following a major setback last weekend, with Valencia winning 3-2 in Gran Canaria, despite goals from Sandro Ramirez and Oli McBurnie.
As for Rayo, they were 1-0 derby winners against Getafe last time out, with Florian Lejeune heading home early on.
For more from the upcoming matches in Europe, today’s free football betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Home advantage rarely counts for much
Our Las Palmas vs Rayo Vallecano prediction suggests this game could buck the recent trend that has seen all of the last three meetings won by the team playing away.
Rayo are unbeaten on four trips to Gran Canaria since a 1-0 Copa del Rey defeat in 2012.
Spain La Liga 08/11/24
Rayo Vallecano
Las Palmas
Spain La Liga 20/01/24
Rayo Vallecano
Las Palmas
Spain La Liga 22/10/23
Las Palmas
Rayo Vallecano
Spain Segunda 06/03/21
Las Palmas
Rayo Vallecano
Spain Segunda 20/12/20
Rayo Vallecano
Las Palmas
Las Palmas preview: Martinez sweating over Silva’s fitness
Top scorer Fabio Silva is a fitness doubt for Las Palmas. They’ve also lost key defender Scott McKenna to an injury.
Predicted Lineup: Cillessen (GK), A. Munoz, Marmol, A. Suarez, Rozada, Bajcetic, Essugo, J. Munoz, Moleiro, McBurnie & S. Ramirez
Spain La Liga 13/05/25
L Sevilla 1 Las Palmas 0 Spain La Liga 09/05/25
L Rayo Vallecano 1 Las Palmas 0 Spain La Liga 03/05/25
L Valencia 3 Las Palmas 2 Spain La Liga 23/04/25
L Athletic Bilbao 1 Las Palmas 0 Spain La Liga 19/04/25
W Atletico Madrid 0 Las Palmas 1
Rayo Vallecano preview: Ciss blow for the visitors
Midfielder Pathe Ciss is suspended for the away team. They are also missing key defender Abdul Mumin, while Randy Nteka is a major doubt up top.
Predicted Lineup: Batalla (GK), Chavarria, A. Hernandez, Lejeune, Ratiu, U. Lopez, Valentin, I. Palazon, Embarba, A. Garcia & De Frutos
Spain La Liga 09/05/25
W Las Palmas 0 Rayo Vallecano 1 Spain La Liga 02/05/25
W Getafe 0 Rayo Vallecano 1 Spain La Liga 24/04/25
L Atletico Madrid 3 Rayo Vallecano 0 Spain La Liga 19/04/25
D Valencia 1 Rayo Vallecano 1 Spain La Liga 13/04/25
L Athletic Bilbao 3 Rayo Vallecano 1 
Player to watch – Oli McBurnie
It took McBurnie until April to break his La Liga duck, but he had already chalked up six assists by that point. He’s also found form in front of goal in recent weeks, scoring or assisting in five of his last nine matches.
McBurnie striking after the break
The 28-year-old tends to do his damage in the second half. All five of his Las Palmas goals have come after the interval, as did five of his six Premier League strikes for Sheffield United last term.