barcelona vs rayo vallecano predictions
Barca came from behind to beat Rayo earlier this term - Photo by IMAGO.
🔥 Our Hot tip

Barcelona to win (-2 handicap)

65% of Barca’s victories this season have been by three goals or more.

Barcelona are in action on Monday night in the Spanish top flight. Our Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano prediction and La Liga betting tips consider whether the visitors can continue their good form and spring a surprise.

Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano prediction: Lewandowski to score first in comfortable home win

Key stats

  • Our Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano betting tips take into account that the Catalans are unbeaten in 11 competitive games, winning nine of them.
  • Rayo average only 0.83 goals per game on their travels in La Liga.
  • All of their away fixtures in the league have produced under 3.5 goals in total.

Correct score prediction: Barcelona 3-0 Rayo Vallecano

Rayo take really good form into this game, but Barcelona are a significant step up on all of their recent opponents.

Hansi Flick’s side have been blowing even the very best teams away this term. With free midweeks either side of this match, the home players should be in peak physical condition and they ought to dominate this game.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Barca the red hot favourites

  • HOME: 2/9 (1.22) – 81.8%
  • DRAW: 6/1 (7.00) – 14.3%
  • AWAY: 10/1 (11.00) – 9.1%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The hosts are the clear favourites according to the Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano odds, with an implied probability of 81.8% that they win this match.

They were 4-1 winners at Sevilla last weekend, with Robert Lewandowski’s early goal setting them on their way to another victory.

As for Rayo Vallecano, they saw off bottom club Real Valladolid 1-0 at home, with Alvaro Garcia grabbing the only goal.

For more from the upcoming matches in Europe, today’s free football betting tips look at some of the best picks.

Most recent H2Hs: Are Barca over their Rayo curse?

Our Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano prediction suggests the hosts can make it three straight wins against this opposition.

Rayo were a real bogey team for Barca prior to that, with the Madrid club going five without defeat against the Catalan giants between 2021 and 2023.

Spain La Liga 27/08/24

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

1
Barcelona

Barcelona

2

Spain La Liga 19/05/24

Barcelona

Barcelona

3
Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

0

Spain La Liga 25/11/23

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

1
Barcelona

Barcelona

1

Spain La Liga 26/04/23

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

2
Barcelona

Barcelona

1

Spain La Liga 13/08/22

Barcelona

Barcelona

0
Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

0

Barcelona preview: Fermin serves ban

Fermin Lopez is suspended for the hosts following his red card at Sevilla. Marc-Andre ter Stegen, Marc Bernal and Andreas Christensen are also out, while Ronald Araujo is a major doubt.

Predicted Lineup: Szczesny (GK), Balde, Martinez, Cubarsi, Kounde, Pedri, De Jong, Raphinha, Gavi, Yamal & Lewandowski

Spain La Liga 12/04/25

W

Leganes

Leganes

0

Barcelona

Barcelona

1

UEFA Champions League 09/04/25

W

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

0

Barcelona

Barcelona

4

Spain La Liga 05/04/25

D

Real Betis

Real Betis

1

Barcelona

Barcelona

1

Spain Copa del Rey 02/04/25

W

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

0

Barcelona

Barcelona

1

Spain La Liga 30/03/25

W

Girona

Girona

1

Barcelona

Barcelona

4

Rayo Vallecano preview: Double injury blow for Perez

Inigo Perez has lost striker Sergio Camello and midfielder Unai Lopez to injuries. They join Raul de Tomas and Jonathan Montiel on the sidelines.

Predicted Lineup: Batalla (GK), Chavarria, Mumin, Lejeune, Ratiu, Ciss, Valentin, A. Garcia, Isi Palazon, De Frutos & Nteka

Spain La Liga 13/04/25

L

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

3

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

1

Spain La Liga 04/04/25

L

Espanyol

Espanyol

4

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

0

Spain La Liga 29/03/25

W

CD Alaves

CD Alaves

0

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

2

Spain La Liga 16/03/25

D

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

2

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

2

Spain La Liga 09/03/25

L

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

2

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

1

Player to watch – Robert Lewandowski

Following his early goal in Seville, Lewandowski is onto 19 goals in 22 appearances in La Liga this term. He averages a goal every 92 minutes.

barcelona vs rayo vallecano prediction
Lewandowski celebrates scoring at the Ramon Sanchez-Pizjuan – Photo by IMAGO.

Lewandowski scoring early

63% of Lewandowski’s league goals have come in the first half. His earliest goals have come in the seventh minute, against Sevilla last weekend and Alaves on matchday nine.


Mark is a freelance football writer based in Madrid. He regularly attends and covers La Liga matches around Spain, whilst also following football across Europe.