Barcelona head to what has been their bogey ground in recent years on Tuesday. Our Rayo Vallecano vs Barcelona prediction considers whether they can enjoy better luck in Vallecas this week.
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Rayo Vallecano vs Barcelona prediction: Lewandowski to score but visitors to drop points
Key stats
- Our Rayo Vallecano vs Barcelona betting tips take into account that Inigo Perez’s side have only lost two of their last eight at home in the league.
- There were just 1.63 total goals per game on average across those matches.
- Both teams have scored in four of Barca’s last five league games.
Correct score prediction: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Barcelona
Rayo’s intense pressing has caused Barca all kinds of problems in recent years. With the visitors still short on midfield options and not totally convincing, despite winning their opening two matches under Hansi Flick, they may have to settle for a point here against another team that has started the season well.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Barca the clear favourites
- HOME: 17/5 (4.40) – 22.7%
- DRAW: 29/10 (3.90) – 25.6%
- AWAY: 8/11 (1.73) – 57.9%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The visitors are the favourites according to the Rayo Vallecano vs Barcelona odds with an implied probability of 57.9% that they win the game.
They made it two wins from two under Flick with goals from Lamine Yamal and Robert Lewandowski seeing off Athletic Club 2-1 on Saturday.
As for Rayo, they head into this match with four points after a 0-0 draw in their weekend derby at Getafe.
For more picks, today’s football betting tips take a look at some of the best options from the action across Europe.
Most recent H2Hs: A problematic opponent for Barca
Our Rayo Vallecano vs Barcelona prediction suggests the Madrid side will avoid defeat for the sixth time in seven meetings overall. The last league win for the Catalans on this ground came in 2018 by a 3-2 margin.
Spain Primera Liga 19/05/24
Barcelona
Rayo Vallecano
Spain Primera Liga 25/11/23
Rayo Vallecano
Barcelona
Spain Primera Liga 26/04/23
Rayo Vallecano
Barcelona
Spain Primera Liga 13/08/22
Barcelona
Rayo Vallecano
Spain Primera Liga 24/04/22
Barcelona
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano preview: Two doubts for Perez
Defender Andrei Ratiu and forward Raul De Tomas are rated doubtful for the home team. Sergio Camello may return to lead the line.
Predicted Lineup: Cardenas (GK), Chavarria, Mumin, Lejeune, Balliu, Lopez, Valentin, Alvaro Garcia, Isi, De Frutos & Camello
Spain Primera Liga 31/08/24 L Espanyol 2 Rayo Vallecano 1 Spain Primera Liga 27/08/24 L Barcelona 2 Rayo Vallecano 1 Spain Primera Liga 24/08/24 D Getafe 0 Rayo Vallecano 0 Spain Primera Liga 18/08/24 W Real Sociedad 1 Rayo Vallecano 2 Elite Club Friendlies 10/08/24 W Wolverhampton 0 Rayo Vallecano 1
Barcelona preview: Olmo registration saga lingers on
New Barca signing Dani Olmo has still not played with the club needing to move players on in order to register him. They are also missing Andreas Christensen, Gavi, Ronald Araujo and Frenkie de Jong to injury.
Predicted Lineup: Ter Stegen (GK), Balde, Martinez, Cubarsi, Kounde, Casado, Bernal, Fermin, Raphinha, Lewandowski & Yamal
Spain Primera Liga 31/08/24 W Valladolid 0 Barcelona 7 Spain Primera Liga 27/08/24 W Rayo Vallecano 1 Barcelona 2 Spain Primera Liga 24/08/24 W Athletic Bilbao 1 Barcelona 2 Spain Primera Liga 17/08/24 W Valencia 1 Barcelona 2 Elite Club Friendlies 12/08/24 L Monaco 3 Barcelona 0
Player to watch – Robert Lewandowski
It’s three goals already this season in La Liga for Lewandowski who appears to be enjoying life back under his old Bayern Munich boss. The striker is now on 45 goals in La Liga overall since moving to Spain in 2022.
Lewandowski’s decisive strikes
The Barca forward has scored the final goal in each of his team’s two games so far this term. 63% of his strikes last season also came after the break, including seven after the 75th minute.