Rayo Vallecano will hope to halt their losing streak when they welcome Atletico Madrid to Estadio de Vallecas for their La Liga encounter on Sunday, 15 February 2026.
View our free Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid predictions below.
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Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid predictions: Visitors to claim all the spoils
Key stats
- Rayo Vallecano have lost four matches in a row.
- Atletico Madrid are unbeaten in their last 19 clashes with Rayo Vallecano.
- Five of the last six H2Hs produced at least three goals.
Correct score prediction: Rayo Vallecano 1-3 Atletico Madrid
Rayo Vallecano have lost four games in a row, three of which were by at least two-goal margins. They also have a poor track record against Atletico Madrid, with four draws and 15 defeats in the last 19 meetings between these sides.
Considering Atletico Madrid are coming off an impressive 4-0 victory over Barcelona, we are confident that they will secure a fairly comfortable victory.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Atletico clearly favoured
- HOME: 10/3 (4.33) – 23.1%
- DRAW: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4%
- AWAY: 17/20 (1.85) – 54.1%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Atletico Madrid have impressed and disappointed in equal measure in recent weeks.
In their last five matches, Diego Simeone's troops have beaten Barcelona and Real Betis by four-plus-goal margins, keeping clean sheets in both victories. Conversely, they have lost at home to Bodo/Glimt, failed to score against Levante, and lost at home to Real Betis just three days after beating them 5-0 on the road.
Unlike their opponents, Rayo Vallecano have certainly not been inconsistent, as they have lost four in a row, conceding multiple goals in each defeat.
Ahead of this skirmish, Atletico Madrid and Rayo Vallecano are third and 18th in La Liga, respectively.
Considering Rayo Vallecano's recent struggles, it is unsurprising that Atletico Madrid are the expected winners at 17/20 (1.85). Teams with these odds usually have a 54.1% probability of winning.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid predictions.
It is also worth mentioning that five of Rayo Vallecano's last six matches went above the 2.5-goal threshold. Keeping in mind that three or more goals were scored in five of the last six H2Hs, over 2.5 total goals has an appealing look at 1/1 (2.00). That one has a 50% chance of landing.
Most recent H2Hs: Business as usual for Atletico Madrid?
Atletico Madrid came out on top the last two times these teams clashed and are unbeaten in their last 19 H2Hs (W15, D4).
In fact, Simeone's troops have not lost to Rayo Vallecano since February 2013.
Spain La Liga 24/09/25
Atletico Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
Spain La Liga 24/04/25
Atletico Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
Spain La Liga 22/09/24
Rayo Vallecano
Atletico Madrid
Spain La Liga 31/01/24
Atletico Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
Spain La Liga 28/08/23
Rayo Vallecano
Atletico Madrid
Rayo Vallecano preview: Plagued by injuries
Rayo Vallecano will have to cope without several first-team players for this game, with Diego Mendez nursing a knee injury and Unai Lopez still battling physical discomforts, while Pep Chavarria and Pathe Ciss are unavailable after picking up suspensions, limiting options in defence and midfield.
Predicted lineup: Batalla (GK), Ratiu, Lejeune, Mendy, Espino, Martin, Gumbau, Akhomach, Palazon, Garcia & De Frutos.
Last five matches
- 01/02/26: Real Madrid 2-1 Rayo Vallecano (La Liga)
- 24/01/26: Rayo Vallecano 1-3 Osasuna (La Liga)
- 18/01/26: Celta Vigo 3-0 Rayo Vallecano (La Liga)
- 14/01/26: Deportivo Alaves 2-0 Rayo Vallecano (Copa del Rey)
- 11/01/26: Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Mallorca (La Liga)
Atletico Madrid preview: No new absences
Once again, Simeone will have to do without the services of injured Pablo Barrios, who has thigh problems, while Jonny Cardoso is listed as doubtful ahead of Sunday's game.
Buoyed by their recent success over Barcelona in the first leg of their Copa del Rey semifinal clash, Atleti will look to mark a return to winning ways in Spain's top flight after failing to win their last two La Liga outings.
Predicted lineup: Oblak (GK), Llorente, Pubill, Hancko, Ruggeri, Simeone, Mendoza, Koke, Baena, Sorloth & Lookman.
Last five matches
- 12/02/26: Atletico Madrid 4-0 Barcelona (Copa del Rey)
- 08/02/26: Atletico Madrid 0-1 Real Betis (La Liga)
- 05/02/26: Real Betis 0-5 Atletico Madrid (Copa del Rey)
- 31/01/26: Levante 0-0 Atletico Madrid (La Liga)
- 28/01/26: Atletico Madrid 1-2 Bodo/Glimt (UEFA Champions League)
Player to watch: Ademola Lookman
Ademola Lookman put in another impressive performance a few days ago, scoring once and providing an assist in Atletico Madrid's 4-0 victory over Barcelona. The former Atalanta player has four goal contributions in three appearances since he joined the club.