Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club prediction, odds & betting tips – 25/05/2024

Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club prediction, odds & betting tips – 25/05/2024
Nico Williams in action in the reverse meeting in December - Photo by Icon Sport

Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Club meet in Vallecas in this matchday 38 showdown in La Liga. Our Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club prediction considers whether either side will have enough to sign off with a win.

rayo vallecano vs athletic club prediction
Nico Williams in action in the reverse meeting in December – Photo by Icon Sport

Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club prediction: Hosts to edge low-scoring game

Although the bookies see the guests as the favourites, we can see Rayo Vallecano winning at home to close out the season, in a match without too many goals.

Key Stats

  • Our Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club betting tips take into account the Basque side’s dip in form with only two wins in their last eight league games.
  • Ernesto Valverde’s men have been less effective away all season, winning only 33% of their road games and losing 39% in La Liga.
  • There have been under 2.5 goals in 61% of Rayo home games and 72% of Athletic away games this season in the Spanish top flight.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Athletic the slight favourites

  • HOME: 2/1 (3.00) – 33.3%
  • DRAW: 23/10 (3.30) – 30.3%
  • AWAY: 13/10 (2.30) – 43.5%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The visitors are the relatively slight favourites according to the Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club odds with an implied probability of 43.5% that they end the campaign with a win.

Athletic come into the game after a 2-0 win in their final home fixture against Sevilla and it was the perfect ending for long-serving duo Iker Muniain and Raul Garcia who both scored in their final matches at San Mames ahead of summer departures.

Rayo meanwhile lost 3-0 at Barcelona last time out, but still secured safety thanks to Cadiz only drawing.

For more analysis and the latest picks, today’s betting tips will guide you around the best bets from this week’s football action.

Last five H2Hs: Basque dominance in recent times

Spain Primera Liga 02/12/23

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

4
Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

0

Spain Primera Liga 05/03/23

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

0
Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

0

Spain Primera Liga 17/09/22

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

3
Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

2

Spain Primera Liga 23/01/22

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

0
Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

1

Spain Primera Liga 21/09/21

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

1
Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

2

Our Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club prediction goes against recent history with Athletic having taken 10 points from the last four meetings. There have been just three goals scored in total in the last three clashes in Madrid.

Rayo Vallecano Preview: Two final weekend suspensions

There’ll be no Abdul Mumin or Oscar Valentin due to suspension for Rayo Vallecano. They are expected to go strong though as they aim to finish as high as possible which would bring more prize money.

Predicted Lineup: Dimitrievski (GK), Espino, Aridane, Lejeune, Balliu, Ciss, Unai Lopez, Alvaro Garcia, Trejo, Isi, Falcao

Spain Primera Liga 25/05/24

L

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

1

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

0

Spain Primera Liga 19/05/24

L

Barcelona

Barcelona

3

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

0

Spain Primera Liga 15/05/24

W

Granada

Granada

1

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

2

Spain Primera Liga 12/05/24

D

Valencia

Valencia

0

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

0

Spain Primera Liga 05/05/24

L

Almeria

Almeria

1

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

0

Athletic Club Preview: Injury problems for Valverde

The Basques could be without a number of key men with Oihan Sancet, Gorka Guruzeta and Iñaki Williams all injury concerns while Iker Muniain is also a doubt for his final game for the club.

Predicted Lineup: Simon (GK), Yuri, Vivian, Paredes, De Marcos, Prados, Galarreta, Berenguer, Unai Gomez, Nico Williams, Villalibre

Spain Primera Liga 25/05/24

W

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

0

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

1

Spain Primera Liga 19/05/24

W

Sevilla

Sevilla

0

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

2

Spain Primera Liga 15/05/24

L

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

2

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

1

Spain Primera Liga 11/05/24

D

Osasuna

Osasuna

2

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

2

Spain Primera Liga 03/05/24

W

Getafe

Getafe

0

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

2

Player to watch – Alvaro Garcia

With their strikers misfiring, Rayo Vallecano have really needed the six goals winger Alvaro Garcia has scored. He’s their top scorer in La Liga with two more than Isi Palazon who has also outscored all of their forwards.

rayo vallecano vs athletic club predictions
Alvaro Garcia celebrates against Granada last week – Photo by Icon Sport

A source of early goals

33% of Alvaro Garcia’s goals in La Liga this term have come in the opening 15 minutes with the speedy winger often fast out of the blocks. This is also the third season in a row in which he’s scored more First Half goals than Second Half ones.


Mark is a freelance football writer based in Madrid. He regularly attends and covers La Liga matches around Spain, whilst also following football across Europe.